NFBC Message Boards

Originally posted by JerseyPaul: Have to say it 1 more time.... Nobody should be required to keep a player he doesn't want. The right solution is to not allow certain players to be picked up... a "no-add" list, as opposed to a "no-drop" list. Current solution, overturning drops... just plain wrong. ...

SlackerDan: Did you have conditional bids for other players that would have gone into effect if not for the Bonds bid? Greg: Suppose Dan had a winning bid for Ryan Wagner as his conditional bid. Would you then give Wagner to Dan and take him away from whoever had won him originally? How would such a...

With individual closers who maintain their jobs, it's hard to predict their saves total just like it's hard to predict win totals for a starting pitcher. But the difference is that relivers can go from 30th round value to 10th round value overnight. Urbina could be worthless all year or tomorrow he ...

Saves greatly increase the amount of luck and randomness in the game. Fantasy baseball would be more of a contest of skill without the saves category.

Originally posted by UFS: With all the fuss about the all RP, and/or all Single A pitcher teams, I'd like to know where these guys are at this early stage. Anyone know? The 6 teams (unless I'm missing any) are ranked 146, 193, 231, 254, 294 and 299. Oddly enough 5 of the 6 have more pitching points ...

Originally posted by Edwards Kings: I believe I understand and appreciate the analysis that was prepared and I still like it (even though it totally jammed me). But I will say again that the analysis should be prepared with actual 2005 stats on those players drafted at the end of the season. Then co...

Originally posted by mulberry: Funny I just looked at the same thing. How can the top 2 overall finishers last year rank 248th and 208th coming out of the draft and all the league winners be that far down as well. Plus the straight draft guru for hq is 245th? One would think these guys come prepared...

Originally posted by Jackstraw: I felt like I was pretty much on track with my ranking system because it seemed everyone was drafting right along my list. Who knows though, we may have all been idiots... Probably so, since I think LV 4 is still at the bottom of the list of league rankings The list o...

Originally posted by ToddZ: There is a big difference between projected value and bid value. If there were not, wouldn't the bid value for all 4 auctions be basically the same? Are they?That’s why I use all 4 auctions to determine the value. With 1 auction the values would be way off. Four auctions ...

Originally posted by hughes: As a huge generalization, it seems to me that, in auctions, while anyone is willing to throw $20 at on of like Giles or Gonzo, they are more willing to use the corresponding draft pick to go after a guy because of position. Stated another way: auctions value positional s...

Originally posted by ToddZ: Great--therefore you can't assume the winners will emanate from the top-150 as it is the value obtained from superior knowledge that separates the winners from the losers. Your superior knowledge will be reflected by having worse results by this means of evaluation, hence...

Originally posted by ToddZ: No--my contention is you feel he is a better player than everyone else so his auction value is low and his ADP is low. He will not be bid up to 4th round value because you are theonly one who feels he is worth 4th round value. There are several examples of players I felt ...

Viper, I agree that category and position scarcity are overpaid for, but it’s the same way in the drafts. Additionally, there are a couple problems with using average draft position. First, the difference in value in consecutive picks decreases as the pick number increases. For example, the differen...

Lance,



There are some players at the very end of the auction who go for unusual values. But because I used the median values from the 4 auctions, the outlier values are ignored. Jacque Jones went for just $2 in one auction but that outlier did not affect the dollar value I used for him--7.5.

ToddZ: I appreciate the criticisms as I acknowledge that there are numerous flaws with using mixed league auction values as the player values. The system is dependent on the quality of owners in the auction leagues. If there were too many poor owners in the auctions, the values will be off. But I do...

Who had the best draft? What were the best (and worst) draft picks? What is the best draft position? I attempted to answer these questions using player values from the mixed auctions to rate the NFBC teams. You can see my analysis at: http://www.playingthepercentages.com/baseball/nfbc/

To me the reason for needing a longer draft is so that there will be room for some healthy players on your bench once injuries strike. One team in my league is starting off the season with 6 players on the DL. It won't be long before he faces the choice of either dropping someone like Kevin Brown or...

I vote a. By having access to the bids of all the other leagues, you get a sense of the range of bids and more info is not needed. Option c is a very bad idea as I wouldn't want my competition to see which other players are on my "watch list".