NFBC Message Boards

Will Carl Crawford have a career similar to Kenny Lofton or does he approach Ricky Henderson? I don't like making comparisons like this because you are never really sure just what skills are being compared. In terms of skills, Crawford might not walk as many times in his career as Ricky did in one ...

Strictly in terms of raw value, if you believe Crawford will repeat or better his 2004 numbers, he is worthy of a late first round selection--steals are "worth" that much in terms of raw value. That said, there are at least three reasons why I would personally pass on him in Round 1, even if he was ...

Yes, you table the player and an opening bid.

Originally posted by JerseyPaul: This is also where ADP become critical, except there is no reliable ADP information available, especially ADP for larger leagues like NFBC has. While one may quibble over the reliability, the ADP is available from last year's NFBC plus all NFBC members can access the...

Thanks for the kind words JP, I know you were just having a little fun. I have some new draft theories to present to my adoring (cough, cough) public soon, much of it based on some NFBC analysis. I assume you know so pardon me if this is old news, but Joe Bryant, the architect of the VBD method in f...

Much of Beltran's is derived from steals. His fantastic-power laden playoff aside, he won't be challenging for the home run title. Projecting steals is living on a slippery slope. Expecting 40+ bags from Beltran and paying accordingly is quite dangerous. I'd expect about 30 and price accordingly. St...

Unless you're coming to tell me I'm needed back at the office and I need to catch the next plane back home, nothing will spoil my day.



Bring it on!!!



I'll be in NY for the First Pitch Forum (date TBA soon). Feel free to try to spoil my day there as well.

We gotta get this thing on PPV...



[ December 10, 2004, 12:51 PM: Message edited by: ToddZ ]

I'll offer a slightly different view than Greg. While I agree that there is no such thing as an all-encompassing "fantasy baseball expert", I do believe one can be expert in a particular aspect of the game. The catch is being expert in an isolated element by no means assures one of overall success. ...

WHAT ME WORRIED?



Oops.



What? Me worried?

I have never seen a rotisserie league that allowed a move of that sort. And I know I would not want to play in a league that did.

Here's the answer to the question above, the top-10 hitters using OBP in a mixed 5x5 league. These factor in "position scarcity" by comparing each position to the replacement set at their specified position. Bonds-$66 Abreu-$58 Beltran-$52 ARod-$42 Pujols-$41 Vlad-$41 Crawford-$39 Podsednik-$39 Berk...

I'm a purist. For me, BA is the only way for 5X5 Hmm, a true purist would still be playing single league 4x4 auction.



[ November 19, 2004, 05:33 PM: Message edited by: ToddZ ]

By means of example, here are some photos from the 2002 Tout Wars draft where you can see the projected spreadsheet. The rosters as well as budget are tracked and available for everyone to see.



Draft Board



[ November 17, 2004, 11:25 AM: Message edited by: ToddZ ]

not sure if you meant "rib" as good or bad? Neither good nor bad, just a failed attempt at getting a chuckle from those following both boards. You're welcome.

although we both would admit that will be a 6+ hour auction. Not a bad thing, but it will be long. Not necessarily. There is an art to auctioneering as well as participating. Give me 15 minutes with the auctioneers and I can get them to do the AL one in 5 hours and the NL one in 5 1/2. It would take...

For clarification, this Hey, how about we use our FAAB to bid on our reserve spot? Um, never mind.was meant a little rib to the football discussion about draft spot--upon further review it may not have come off that way. My preference would be to add $10 to the overall budget and let us draft 29 pla...

Hey, how about we use our FAAB to bid on our reserve spot?



Um, never mind.

The actual budget is all relative--we could do the whole kit and caboodle with $117 if we wanted. But to keep the prices of the regular 23-actives as close to "book" value as possible, the entire 29-man budget could be $270 or $275. One drawback is owners that would have left money on the table get ...

Personally, I see nothing wrong with the present system. I don't like the idea of waiting a week or two as the makeup of the player pool will change with players being traded, getting cut and picked up by the other league or simply just signing. I know the easy thing to do is either lock the pool as...

Next year's Arizona First Pitch is Nov 4-Nov 6. Ron is adding a weekend Tampa stop (March 11 & 12) to his spring first pitch tour--maybe I'll be able to slip in a few NFBC nuggets there, although the NFBC event will be the following weekend. [ November 11, 2004, 09:41 AM: Message edited by: ToddZ ]

Try Doug's Stats



If you need help getting them into Excel, feel free to shoot me an e-mail [email protected]



[ November 10, 2004, 09:14 PM: Message edited by: ToddZ ]

If you could get Todd Helton and Scott Rolen with your first two picks in the NFBC this year, would you be a happy man?Ignoring the fact for a second that the NFBC has 3 extra teams, the chances of that happening are as good as the Red Sox winning the Worl...oh wait, never mind. I was indeed pleased...

In terms of 2004, 5x5 roto-value based on this format (12-team mixed, OBP instead of BA) anyone care to guess the top-5 hitters, with ARod being considered still as a shortstop?



[ November 10, 2004, 04:19 PM: Message edited by: ToddZ ]

If a player's BA goes down, so does his OBP. What am I missing? The point, genious. The point was made that batting average does not incorporate luck. I refuted that point. And now I'll show that OBP serves to actually reduce the effect of that element of randomness. A .280 hitter with 500 AB and 6...