Sunday Night Draft Champions Express Thread

[Deadheadz]

Teams in danger at 1B:

Team A - Morales, Loney, Guzman, (Cuddyer if he plays 10+)
Team B - C Santana, Miggy after 10 games (what if he goes back to 3B full time?)
Team C - Lind, G Jones (platoon), Keppinger, Medica
Team D - Encarnation, Pacheco
Team E - Hosmer, Blanks, Singleton (minors)
Team F - C Carter, I Davis, G Sanchez (platoon)

Have I missed any players on these rosters who have 1B elig or are expected to gain it?

Now ask me again folks, why did I load up on 1B eligible bats early in the draft...

[ALL-IN JD]

That's an awesome strategy! I think I am going to use it more!

[Deadheadz]

for example, projecting wins?

Projections are just that, projections and are subjective. Stats should be objective but people like to cherry pick their stats in order to make them subjective.

Good point though.

[Deadheadz]

That's an awesome strategy! I think I am going to use it more!

If lightning strikes and any one of my goofball strategies wins an overall prize...
YOU WILL SEE MORE PEOPLE USE THAT GOOFBALL STRATEGY.

[Mudster]

Had a blast even though the pace was sooo much faster than the regular DC's I've been used to.

C-Gattis- 400-500 ab's could land 30 bombs
C-Navarro- Aren't Toronto catchers required to hit 20 hrs?
1B- Encarnacion- Was on this guy for years, didn't do fantasy last year and look what happens
2B- LeMathieu or Rutledge- Weird year in weather, Denver will have zero gravity
SS- Aybar- Servicable and could steal 20 if he gets a bug up his bum
3B- Beltre- Such a weak position, was stoked to see him there
CI- Frazier- See Below
MI- See 2B...golden if Tulu goes down as usual
OF- Crisp- Cpt. Crunch wasn't available plus if Crisp stays healthy, very solid numbers
OF- K.Davis- Hoping the power wasn't a fluke
OF- Pence- Keep giving 4 catagories and hope for even half of the 5th
OF- Revere- BA, Runs, SB, SB and SB
OF- T. Hunter- One more year, baby....power's kinda gone, but solid performance
DH- Ortiz- "Sabotaged" my ass...I'll take what he does in the 6th with a smile even without the flexability

P- Sale- Clemens, Jr
P- Bailey- Finally figured out what he was capable of
P- Latos- Always solid, walking normal day after surgery
P- Estrada- Please stay healthy for 200
P- Pineda- High hopes for this kid...should see a start every 5th day
P- Miley- Doesn't hurt ya
P- Hughes- NY does weird things to a persons psyche...maybe the move to the Twins gives him the confidence he needs
P- Holland- 40 saves and 100 K's...helps the whip and era more than you think also
P- Hunter- IF he keeps the job, the orioles have had a 50 save guy the last two years with less talent

Extras
B.J. Upton- They say he got his swing back...I'll take the upside even with the low BA
Sanu and Franco- Need one of these kids to break camp cause Frazier sucks
Baez- Could shore up my MI by July...sooner would be great
C.Young- talent is there, depends if it comes out again
Gregorious- Defense counts, right?
Buck- Zunino not a sure thing, plus a cool name
Castillo- Could be some speed late in the year
Denorfia- In case of emergency, break glass
Pierre- If someone needs speed, his crusty old bones'll be there
Molina- I was drunk and mentally put Navarro back down in florida
Despainge- Defect you rat bastard

D.Holland- Hopefully gets close to full form in July or so
Feldman- Don't be a mirage
Stults- Servicable
Slew of Set up men- another possible 20 saves...more would be huge

Feedback?

[ALL-IN JD]

Teams in danger at 1B:

Team A - Morales, Loney, Guzman, (Cuddyer if he plays 10+)
Team B - C Santana, Miggy after 10 games (what if he goes back to 3B full time?)
Team C - Lind, G Jones (platoon), Keppinger, Medica
Team D - Encarnation, Pacheco
Team E - Hosmer, Blanks, Singleton (minors)
Team F - C Carter, I Davis, G Sanchez (platoon)

Have I missed any players on these rosters who have 1B elig or are expected to gain it?

Now ask me again folks, why did I load up on 1B eligible bats early in the draft...

Teams in danger at Catcher:

Team 12 - Voght, Laird, Nieto, Hayes

Teams in danger at 3B

Team 12 - Chris Johnson and Martin Prado (what if both get hurt)

Teams in danger at 2B:

Team 12 - Lowrie, Wong (not very impressive last year), Scutaro (over/under for stints on the DL (3)?)

Teams in danger in the OF:

Team 12 - Craig, J. Hamilton (has he found a suitable valet to watch him), Springer (does he start the year in AAA), Bourjos (does he beat out Jay), McLouth (4th outfielder), Moss (platoon player), EY (is he utility player)

[Greg Ambrosius]

This was a lot of fun last night and I thank everyone for participating.

I'd be interested in hearing Bryan's thoughts on picking Goldy over Miggy. I'd also be interested in hearing comments from the owner who took Kipnis 8th overall. Same with Billy Hamilton going in the 3rd. Any thoughts guys?

[ikenbaseball]

Deadheadz

I think you have a good competitive team. I especially like your strategies, as it improves my game by making me think quickly on my feet. You drafted heavy on 1st base so I had to go heavy on 3rd. I want to learn more.
I will try to be a participant in all your on-line drafts this year.

Krys

[ALL-IN JD]

Greg,

My plan going in was to try and win SB's by grabbing Billy Hamilton and Raja Davis. I knew there was no way Hamilton makes it back to me in the 5th so it was take him at 43 or 48 (my next pick in the 4th) so I decided to play it safe and take him at 43. If he steals 80-100 (big if obviously) and Davis get 45 it's safe to say I will take down the steals category.

[Deadheadz]

Teams in danger at 1B:

Team A - Morales, Loney, Guzman, (Cuddyer if he plays 10+)
Team B - C Santana, Miggy after 10 games (what if he goes back to 3B full time?)
Team C - Lind, G Jones (platoon), Keppinger, Medica
Team D - Encarnation, Pacheco
Team E - Hosmer, Blanks, Singleton (minors)
Team F - C Carter, I Davis, G Sanchez (platoon)

Have I missed any players on these rosters who have 1B elig or are expected to gain it?

Now ask me again folks, why did I load up on 1B eligible bats early in the draft...

Teams in danger at Catcher:

Team 12 - Voght, Laird, Nieto, Hayes

Teams in danger at 3B

Team 12 - Chris Johnson and Martin Prado (what if both get hurt)

Teams in danger at 2B:

Team 12 - Lowrie, Wong (not very impressive last year), Scutaro (over/under for stints on the DL (3)?)

Teams in danger in the OF:

Team 12 - Craig, J. Hamilton (has he found a suitable valet to watch him), Springer (does he start the year in AAA), Bourjos (does he beat out Jay), McLouth (4th outfielder), Moss (platoon player), EY (is he utility player)

Maybe you missed the point, except at 3B perhaps, but by "danger" I'm talking about in danger of having no player to fill the position. I'm in no danger at OF. Valencia is expected to gain 3B elig. If Bogaerts plays SS and Middlebrooks tanks again, Cecchini could be up before you know it. Like them or not, I have several 2B eligible players.

Catcher, yes. We've established a long time ago that I punted catching.

[NorCalAtlFan]

greg, wasn't trying to be cute. there is enough "noise" on miggy that i decided as soon as i was #2 to take goldy. i have miggy on a couple other teams, so this is more or less hedging my bets. if im wrong, im wrong, but i trust my gut.

i think i attained my team goals regardless*

*except saves, my weakness.

[Deadheadz]

Greg,

My plan going in was to try and win SB's by grabbing Billy Hamilton and Raja Davis. I knew there was no way Hamilton makes it back to me in the 5th so it was take him at 43 or 48 (my next pick in the 4th) so I decided to play it safe and take him at 43. If he steals 80-100 (big if obviously) and Davis get 45 it's safe to say I will take down the steals category.

I'm known for reaching so I can't fault your gut instinct on Hamilton.

I would have taken him at 72 if he was there for me. So if you wanted him regardless of value, you made the right choice. If I had your draft slot I would have hoped he was there at 73 and I would have been disappointed.

Good luck with him.

[Outlaw]

Teams in danger at 1B:

Team A - Morales, Loney, Guzman, (Cuddyer if he plays 10+)
Team B - C Santana, Miggy after 10 games (what if he goes back to 3B full time?)
Team C - Lind, G Jones (platoon), Keppinger, Medica
Team D - Encarnation, Pacheco
Team E - Hosmer, Blanks, Singleton (minors)
Team F - C Carter, I Davis, G Sanchez (platoon)

Have I missed any players on these rosters who have 1B elig or are expected to gain it?

Now ask me again folks, why did I load up on 1B eligible bats early in the draft...

Do You actually think Miggy is going back to 3rd or would'nt at least have 1B eligibility?

[Deadheadz]

Do You actually think Miggy is going back to 3rd or would'nt at least have 1B eligibility?

Do I actually think he's going back to 3B? No. Would I be surprised if he got a slow start to the season and got moved back? No.

$hit happens in baseball. I hope he stays healthy all season. He's on at least one of my teams.

[rkulaski]

Going into this draft I set my kds at 1,2,3,15,14,13... I knew that with all the talent and success that was signed up for this draft my only hope of not being run out of the room was to pick by one of the ends so I would have a better chance to stick to my gameplan and not be swayed by "runs"... So I ended up picking 14th and here is my team:

C Y. Molina
C J.P. Arenibia
1b Hosmer
2b Cano
3b Arenado
SS Castro
CI Ruf or Davidson
MI Profar
OF Harper
OF Kalhoun
OF Eaton
OF Stubbs or Blackmon
OF Ross
UT Blanks


SP Strasburg
SP Teheran
SP Corbin
SP Beachy
SP Nova
SP Dickey
SP Roark
RP Nathan
RP Reed

Bench

C Kottaras
C Stassi
1b Jon Singleton
2b Amarista
SS Dee Gordon
Ss Pedro Ciriaco
OF Andrew Lambo
OF Brian Bogusevic
OF Jd martinez
OF Joc Pederson
OF Gregory Palanco
UT Steve Pearce

SP Y. Petit
SP Wade Davis
SP Brett Anderson
SP Jake Arrieta
SP Eddie Butler
SP Jimmy Nelson
RP Jose Veras
RP Tyler Clippard
RP D. De La Rosa
RP Bret Cecil
RP Mujica
RP T. Scheppers


Overall I am pretty happy that I may actually have a chance to compete in this league, but I do have a few holes that hopefully will work themselves out during spring training or the first month or two of the season.. My original plan at 14 was to go b2b 5 tool OFs, but when Cano fell to 14 I had to take him and then backed him up with Harper.. Once that happened I focused on other areas besides OF until the 10-15 range considering I had a few targets I thought would be there. At the end of the draft and now looking back I think my OF is my weakest spot but if I can get lucky with one of my fringe guys, like Ross or Palanco (if he gets called up early enough) than I may be ok.. I think the strongest area of my team is pitching, both starters and closers since I have 3 starting closers to begin the season and plenty of next in line options to ride the carousel. I am intersted and looking forward to getting feedback on how I did and some areas of opportunity that I can work on for next time.. Thanks for the time folks and like everybody else has already said, What a great draft with such a great group of players!

I think you summed it up pretty well.
OF, CI, util, and 2nd catcher will slow the offense down. Arencibia,Ross and blanks are only part time players I think. If you could've filled those final hitting spots with full time players or maximized your ABs better, I'd feel better about your counting stats. Too light in all hitting categories except batting avg which you should do well. Polanco would be a big lift but not enough. Just my humble opinion. Good luck

[Edwards Kings]

But so long as NY State allows "carry permits" and knowing that's Alan Greenberg's territory, I'll have to pass.

Just as an FYI, my friend, we will miss you in Las Vegas. Nevada is a "shall issue" state. Shall-issue means the state requires a license to carry a concealed handgun, but where the granting of such licenses is subject only to meeting determinate criteria laid out in the law; the granting authority has no discretion in the awarding of the licenses, and there is no requirement of the applicant to demonstrate "good cause".

New York is a "may-issue" state. A may-issue jurisdiction is one that requires a permit to carry a concealed handgun, and where the granting of such permits is partially at the discretion of local authorities (frequently the sheriff's department or police with a few states consolidating this discretionary power under state-level law enforcement). The law typically states that a granting authority "may issue" a permit if various criteria are met, or that the permit applicant must have "good cause" (or similar) to carry a concealed weapon.

The only territories/districts/states that are no-issue include DC, American Samoa, Northern Marianas, US Virgin Islands, though Guam, Puerto Rico, Hawaii, Maryland and Rhode Island are "no-issue" in practice while typically "may-issue" legally. Several notable counties in California are also "no-issue".

Just trying to help you get your facts straight. Good luck with the travel plans.

Wayne "Gun-toatin', Bible-thumping Redneck" Edwards

[Deadheadz]

But so long as NY State allows "carry permits" and knowing that's Alan Greenberg's territory, I'll have to pass.

Just as an FYI, my friend, we will miss you in Las Vegas. Nevada is a "shall issue" state. Shall-issue means the state requires a license to carry a concealed handgun, but where the granting of such licenses is subject only to meeting determinate criteria laid out in the law; the granting authority has no discretion in the awarding of the licenses, and there is no requirement of the applicant to demonstrate "good cause".

New York is a "may-issue" state. A may-issue jurisdiction is one that requires a permit to carry a concealed handgun, and where the granting of such permits is partially at the discretion of local authorities (frequently the sheriff's department or police with a few states consolidating this discretionary power under state-level law enforcement). The law typically states that a granting authority "may issue" a permit if various criteria are met, or that the permit applicant must have "good cause" (or similar) to carry a concealed weapon.

The only territories/districts/states that are no-issue include DC, American Samoa, Northern Marianas, US Virgin Islands, though Guam, Puerto Rico, Hawaii, Maryland and Rhode Island are "no-issue" in practice while typically "may-issue" legally. Several notable counties in California are also "no-issue".

Just trying to help you get your facts straight. Good luck with the travel plans.

Wayne "Gun-toatin', Bible-thumping Redneck" Edwards

I got most of my firearm education in Montana during the late 80s. Talk about redneck...I can still hear the sound of a .3030 ringing in my ears.

[Midfield Thinkers]

Glad to explain Greg. I admit Kipnis is a reach and I ranked him below several others that were available. I list Kipnis as only a borderline first rounder. But I wanted to get a MI and I was afraid he would not get back to me in the second. Tulo was there but I do not like his injury issues. I do not like Cano in Seattle's park or lineup. Kipnis is younger and still improving. He will do better than last year which was pretty good. It was a decision made in the heat of the moment but that one pick will not get me beat in the end.

But IMHO, others in the first round were worse picks than mine including both SP and Hanley. I think I did alright and may do it again.

[Captain Hook]

My projections for wins...

Darvish 20
Minor 18
Peavy 17
Ubaldo 15
Chen 15
Hudson 15
Alvarez 12
Skaggs 12
Turner 10

Wins 134 plus closers 6?

Bench of Archie Bradley, Danny Duffy, Charlie Morton, Hellickson and RPs

Not the worst staff...

Would you please share WTH you are smoking?

[Deadheadz]

My projections for wins...

Darvish 20
Minor 18
Peavy 17
Ubaldo 15
Chen 15
Hudson 15
Alvarez 12
Skaggs 12
Turner 10

Wins 134 plus closers 6?

Bench of Archie Bradley, Danny Duffy, Charlie Morton, Hellickson and RPs

Not the worst staff...

Ubaldo signing with Orioles brings his W projection down to 12, AL East hurts his ratios a bit too.

[BK METS]

My projections for wins...

Darvish 20
Minor 18
Peavy 17
Ubaldo 15
Chen 15
Hudson 15
Alvarez 12
Skaggs 12
Turner 10

Wins 134 plus closers 6?

Bench of Archie Bradley, Danny Duffy, Charlie Morton, Hellickson and RPs

Not the worst staff...

Ubaldo signing with Orioles brings his W projection down to 12, AL East hurts his ratios a bit too.

Also brings his ERA up to 4.50

[Ando]

My projections for wins...

Darvish 20
Minor 18
Peavy 17
Ubaldo 15
Chen 15
Hudson 15
Alvarez 12
Skaggs 12
Turner 10

Wins 134 plus closers 6?

Bench of Archie Bradley, Danny Duffy, Charlie Morton, Hellickson and RPs

Not the worst staff...

Ubaldo signing with Orioles brings his W projection down to 12, AL East hurts his ratios a bit too.

No worries, bro. You're still staring at 131 W's plus what your closers give. All good here.

[Deadheadz]

PEDs down, pitchers stats go up. The pendulum swings back again.

In 4-5 years pitchers will be so dominant (again) they'll talk about lowering the height of the mound to give them less of an advantage.

Groundhog Day

[Greg Ambrosius]

Tom and I would personally like to thank this group of drafters for being our first totally visible NFBC draft league. Not only did you guys give folks plenty to look at, but you also did it in record time. I think this draft finished in 3 hours and 35 minutes as you guys did those last 15 rounds in record time. Great job after a few stumbles early on.

I think it's been great to debate the picks and to hear from some of the drafters as well. I think we can get more folks to watch the draft board during the night as well.

Anyway, the goal is to build the draft board that we'll use for our live drafts for this type of viewing in the future. I don't know if anyone is up for this in future Sundays and we need a special person to help with the Google Doc if we do it again, but I like the concept and really love it for football. We're on this going forward.

Thanks and we'll do it again if demand is there. Thanks all.

[Deadheadz]

Have we determined what happened with Team Hughes halfway through the draft?

Was he knocked offline or did he maybe click Auto and crossed his fingers?