2004 Regular Season Wins

Rotoplay.com · Post by **Rotoplay.com** » Sun Feb 22, 2004 1:31 am

I always found the over/under win totals for each team easy pickings to make money each year. Here are a few RotoPlay likes.

Orioles - Under 81.5. This team is in the deepest division in baseball, has garbage overall starting pitching, yet Vegas has them at .500. They won't even be close to 82. This is like stealing money.

Cubs - Over 92.5. With that pitching, I see the Cubs being a 100 win team this year.

Marlins - Over 81.5. I know they lost some bats but the starting pitching remains and A.J. Burnett will be back as well. I can't see how they don't reach .500

Mets - Under 81. Glavine is over the hill, Leiter is getting old as well and the rest of the staff scares no one. Combine that with another shaky line-up and this team won't sniff 81.

Padrees - Over 84.5. Improved pitching and hitting in a division where everyone else went down or stayed the same. Like their chance to win the West Division.

A's - Over 89.5. It's all about pitching. With Zito, Mulder, Hudson, Redman, & Harden, I think they post 90+ wins even without Tejada.

Angels - Under 90.5. Tough division and an overrated starting pitching staff makes this number too high.

I would love to hear from others on teams they like for over/under wins.

BONGIZMO · Post by **BONGIZMO** » Sun Feb 22, 2004 5:29 am

Now this is the kind of stuff that also gets one pumped for the games to begin...I have to say I'm a little shaky on a few of your calls but then again we all have our own thoughts HOWEVER I do believe the Pads call is spot on. I would and will also place $$$ on the A's as well although the American league could be a tough one to handicapo this year.

Great Post and Info!

Pitt Fan · Post by **Pitt Fan** » Sun Feb 22, 2004 6:12 am

Do you know of any Vegas casino that offer over/under win totals for baseball ?I have done for football but have nevere seen for baseball.Looks interesting.Perhaps some board members can bet some cookies when they are out there.

KJ Duke · Post by **KJ Duke** » Sun Feb 22, 2004 11:39 am

my take -

Orioles un 81.5 - odds are about right, I think they pick up some wins over the Jays and from out-of-division weakening, wouldn't bet it.

Cubs ov 92.5 - easily the best bet, maybe not 100 wins but very close.

Marlins ov 81.5 - look for history to repeat as they fall below .500 - maybe below the Mets. All the stars aligned last year, but they're below average this year. I'd definitely take the other side on this one.

Mets un 81 - an OK bet, I could see them in the mid to upper 70's in wins.

Padres ov 84.5 - they're much better than last yr and might win the division, but probably not far over .500, too close to call.

A's ov 89.5 - I don't see Oakland easily getting to 90, a weaker line-up, weaker bullpen, and potential starting health issues. Not an easy call but would lean towards the under - low-budget magic runs out this year?

Angels un 90.5 - I see them winning the division, probably 90+ wins, close call but I'd go small on the over.

Looks like we could have some side bets and save the vig, roto ...

Rotoplay.com · Post by **Rotoplay.com** » Sun Feb 22, 2004 2:48 pm

KJ...I'll definitely take you up on the Orioles one. There is no way that team gets near 82 wins in that divison and with their questionable starting pitching.

I appreciate the response back and we'll chat in Vegas. Take care.

Pitt Fan...most all the sportsbooks in Vegas have over/under win totals for baseball. You should find one no problem when you're there.

Sack · Post by **Sack** » Mon Feb 23, 2004 12:40 am

check out the imperial palace with anything in regards to baseball futures. they offer generous odds as compared to other strip casino's and last season thay had a bunch of interesting props. cya in vegas, hopefully on teh 'leaderboard' as well.

a · Post by a » Mon Feb 23, 2004 3:05 am

Originally posted by Pitt Fan:

Do you know of any Vegas casino that offer over/under win totals for baseball ?I have done for football but have nevere seen for baseball.Looks interesting.Perhaps some board members can bet some cookies when they are out there. I don't think the over/under will come out yet for baseball until the middle of spring training. But when they do, you might want to check out www.luckyoddscasino.com

BONGIZMO · Post by **BONGIZMO** » Mon Feb 23, 2004 5:00 pm

Hmmmm, methinks I sense a shameless plug...

Looking forward to seeing ya both in Vegas again Vegas...

Pitt Fan · Post by **Pitt Fan** » Fri Feb 27, 2004 9:51 pm

I like the Baltimore under.Agree tough division and poor pitching.Could gey ugly early.