Bryce Harper Called Up

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Gekko
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Gekko » Wed Jun 06, 2012 3:37 pm

scoreboard speaks and he's doing better than his past has suggested. i'm guessing regression to the mean is in order shortly

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KJ Duke
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by KJ Duke » Wed Jun 06, 2012 7:49 pm

Gekko wrote:scoreboard speaks and he's doing better than his past has suggested. i'm guessing regression to the mean is in order shortly
The mean he should be reverting to is exactly what he has done so far in the majors. For much of his already too short time at AAA to be statistically reliable, he was playing with a hand injury. Another reason stats can be misleading.

Scared $ Dont Make $
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Scared $ Dont Make $ » Thu Jun 07, 2012 10:03 am

Gekko wrote:scoreboard speaks and he's doing better than his past has suggested. i'm guessing regression to the mean is in order shortly
Gekko, have you ever admitted you were wrong in life??? I am guessing you are one of them. Just keep repeating yourself to stick to your original argument until people just tune you out and forget your argument once you are proven wrong

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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Dak » Thu Jun 07, 2012 10:37 am

Scared $ Dont Make $ wrote:
Gekko wrote:scoreboard speaks and he's doing better than his past has suggested. i'm guessing regression to the mean is in order shortly
Gekko, have you ever admitted you were wrong in life??? I am guessing you are one of them. Just keep repeating yourself to stick to your original argument until people just tune you out and forget your argument once you are proven wrong
Scared? You are my newest hero!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by The Mighty Men » Thu Jun 07, 2012 10:42 am

Scared $ Dont Make $ wrote:
Gekko wrote:scoreboard speaks and he's doing better than his past has suggested. i'm guessing regression to the mean is in order shortly
Gekko, have you ever admitted you were wrong in life??? I am guessing you are one of them. Just keep repeating yourself to stick to your original argument until people just tune you out and forget your argument once you are proven wrong
"Scoreboard speaks" is his way of admitting he's incorrect so far, but he didn't want to overdo it so he hedged with the fancy phrase "regression to the mean". :D

My former football partner used to say in football he had to "watch the guy play". (Shout out to you HH!) Sometimes that is just as important, if not more important, than the love of statistics.
Who is this, robed in splendor, striding forward in the greatness of his strength? “It is I, proclaiming victory, mighty to save.” Isaiah 63:1

headhunters
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by headhunters » Thu Jun 07, 2012 11:26 am

funny jack- i was just watching sharapova move to final at french. MUCH rather watch her play than look at her statistics. guys that play with injuries come to mind. if you just throw justin uptons 2012 in with all his other years- it will be misleading. he is playing with a bad thumb and it shows. peds- same thing.

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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by DOUGHBOYS » Thu Jun 07, 2012 11:45 am

It brings up something else too.
We admire guys like Pedroia for playing through injuries, his presence alone is probably helping his team, but our fantasy teams may take a hit for it.
Pedroia is 0-7 fighting through the injury....
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headhunters
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by headhunters » Thu Jun 07, 2012 12:12 pm

totally agree dough- but since konerko has been playing with a bad wrist for about 5 years it is tough to judge what to do because for the most part he has found a way to play with the injury.

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Gekko
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Gekko » Fri Jun 08, 2012 6:16 pm

The Mighty Men wrote:
"Scoreboard speaks" is his way of admitting he's incorrect so far, but he didn't want to overdo it so he hedged with the fancy phrase "regression to the mean". :D
:lol:

Money
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Money » Tue Jun 12, 2012 8:05 am

Outlaw wrote:
Money wrote:Trout - First round next year.

ahead of Albert, Hanley, Reyes, Hosmer, Ellsbury, Agon, Tex, Lawrie?
For the rest of this season, would you trade him for any of the guys listed? I don't think so.
Joe

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Outlaw
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Outlaw » Tue Jun 12, 2012 8:44 am

It will be interesting in next years draft how each of them are viewed. power seems comparable, Trout is showing more speed and better avg so far. Harpers avg has been rising past 3 weeks. Haprer seems to have slighlty better plate discipline. looks like both should win the ROY awards though in thier leagues.


Trout:
G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB BB KO BA
40 161 35 57 10 3 6 26 15 16 34 .354

Harper
G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB BB KO BA
39 146 29 43 8 4 6 18 4 20 29 .295

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751542
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by 751542 » Tue Jun 12, 2012 9:44 am

did you take into account" harper will be back in the minors by mid june "??.......gordon gekko industries :o :o :o
" i have never lost...just ran out of time!"

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Outlaw
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Outlaw » Tue Jun 12, 2012 2:17 pm

RoundTrippers wrote:did you take into account" harper will be back in the minors by mid june "??.......gordon gekko industries :o :o :o
No - Mr. Gekko says now the Stats tell the story. it was 50/50 when he came up whether he would cut it, so Gekko figured he needed more seasoning. a point a view that was totally reasonable at the time.

anywho -its all in fun....... the boards are quite without gekko sharing his opinions, hope he's back soon....

Money
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Money » Tue Jun 12, 2012 2:35 pm

Outlaw wrote:It will be interesting in next years draft how each of them are viewed. power seems comparable, Trout is showing more speed and better avg so far. Harpers avg has been rising past 3 weeks. Haprer seems to have slighlty better plate discipline. looks like both should win the ROY awards though in thier leagues.


Trout:
G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB BB KO BA
40 161 35 57 10 3 6 26 15 16 34 .354

Harper
G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB BB KO BA
39 146 29 43 8 4 6 18 4 20 29 .295
I agree that these are two special talents and will probably both be all-stars as well ROY. That's where it ends for me. I agree with Gekko that it's all about this year and Trout is far and away the winner here.

Trout is plus plus plus in AVG and SB's and the plus sets him apart from everyone right now. The gaps are just to big (for us stat ball guys) and create a massive advantage. He is also scoring more and driving in more runs, but he's doing it better than everybody at the moment, not just Harper.

If anything his all out play in the outfield will be his undoing. He plays with a reckless abandon and is the funnest guy to watch play this game in a very long time.
Joe

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Gekko
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Gekko » Tue Jun 12, 2012 5:12 pm

RoundTrippers wrote:did you take into account" harper will be back in the minors by mid june "??.......gordon gekko industries :o :o :o
harper still wont be on any of my teams next year. he will be 100% pure hype. once pitchers figure out his weaknesses (and he does have them), his numbers will go down accordingly. his stats (while great for a 19 year old) are only in small sample size 146AB. history says he will get exposed sooner rather than later.

add that to his seemingly constant injuries (KJ said his hand was hurt last year which doomed all of his stats last year :lol: even those this year's AAA stats were dogshit. AND he's already missed games this year with BACK PAIN :o . if he's this brittle when's he's 19, he won't make it very long in the bigs. if i were in a trading redraft league, i'd be unloading harper right now

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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Gekko » Tue Jun 12, 2012 5:13 pm

Outlaw wrote:
RoundTrippers wrote: the boards are quite without gekko sharing his opinions, hope he's back soon....
sorry, just don't have time to visit the boards much during the season

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KJ Duke
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by KJ Duke » Tue Jun 12, 2012 5:55 pm

Gekko wrote:
RoundTrippers wrote:did you take into account" harper will be back in the minors by mid june "??.......gordon gekko industries :o :o :o
harper still wont be on any of my teams next year. he will be 100% pure hype. once pitchers figure out his weaknesses (and he does have them), his numbers will go down accordingly. his stats (while great for a 19 year old) are only in small sample size 146AB. history says he will get exposed sooner rather than later.

add that to his seemingly constant injuries (KJ said his hand was hurt last year which doomed all of his stats last year :lol: even those this year's AAA stats were dogshit. AND he's already missed games this year with BACK PAIN :o . if he's this brittle when's he's 19, he won't make it very long in the bigs. if i were in a trading redraft league, i'd be unloading harper right now
To clarify, injury was this season at AAA not last.

Harper and his bad back just "hyped" another one into the seats ;) ... seven in <150 ABs.

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Gekko
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Gekko » Tue Jun 12, 2012 7:05 pm

Jed Lowrie has 12hr in sub 200 at bats :lol:

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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by TParsons » Tue Jun 12, 2012 9:16 pm

Money wrote:
I agree that these are two special talents and will probably both be all-stars as well ROY.

Trout is plus plus plus in AVG...
Neither of them are on the AS ballot, so it will probably have to be manager's decision if they make the team. I don't know what the odds are for a player to make it via write-in vote, but I doubt it's very good.

He's good, but a lot of players would be "plus plus plus in AVG" with a .411 BABIP.

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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Money » Tue Jun 12, 2012 9:49 pm

TParsons wrote:
Money wrote:
I agree that these are two special talents and will probably both be all-stars as well ROY.

Trout is plus plus plus in AVG...
Neither of them are on the AS ballot, so it will probably have to be manager's decision if they make the team. I don't know what the odds are for a player to make it via write-in vote, but I doubt it's very good.

He's good, but a lot of players would be "plus plus plus in AVG" with a .411 BABIP.

By hook or by crook both of these players are going to the all star game. This is the future of the game and baseball would be negligent not to showcase it. If Vegas posted odds on this happening I'd grab it at even money if available :D
Joe

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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Outlaw » Tue Jun 12, 2012 10:27 pm

Gekko wrote:
RoundTrippers wrote:did you take into account" harper will be back in the minors by mid june "??.......gordon gekko industries :o :o :o
harper still wont be on any of my teams next year. he will be 100% pure hype. once pitchers figure out his weaknesses (and he does have them), his numbers will go down accordingly. his stats (while great for a 19 year old) are only in small sample size 146AB. history says he will get exposed sooner rather than later.

add that to his seemingly constant injuries (KJ said his hand was hurt last year which doomed all of his stats last year :lol: even those this year's AAA stats were dogshit. AND he's already missed games this year with BACK PAIN :o . if he's this brittle when's he's 19, he won't make it very long in the bigs. if i were in a trading redraft league, i'd be unloading harper right now

the same can be said of Trout, that his numbers will decline once pitchers firgure out his weakness's. Its also quite possible both will end up with very similar Stats this year, with the exception being Steals, as Trout is the leadoff hitter and the Nats are looking for power and run production from Harper. Quite possible Harper exceeds him in HR and RBI.

Either way they are both talented and either one of them could be bext years Hosmer, Lawrie and the myriad of other 2nd year players who dont live up to the hype. However, in 5 years these 2 could be the best 2 in the Game. Its good for baseball and fantasy.

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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Gekko » Wed Jun 13, 2012 7:07 pm

Outlaw wrote:
the same can be said of Trout, that his numbers will decline once pitchers firgure out his weakness's. Its also quite possible both will end up with very similar Stats this year, with the exception being Steals, as Trout is the leadoff hitter and the Nats are looking for power and run production from Harper. Quite possible Harper exceeds him in HR and RBI.

Either way they are both talented and either one of them could be bext years Hosmer, Lawrie and the myriad of other 2nd year players who dont live up to the hype. However, in 5 years these 2 could be the best 2 in the Game. Its good for baseball and fantasy.
trout has the advantage as his sb carry his value far past harper's

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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by DOUGHBOYS » Sat Jun 16, 2012 12:50 pm

As much fun as it is to see a 19 year old kid succeed at the top level, it is even more fun seeing 40 year old Andy Pettitte carve him up.
In three at bats, Pettitte has made Harper looked like that ninth hitter on a Little League team.
A reminder that even the best of rookies still have a lot to learn....
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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by Outlaw » Sat Jun 16, 2012 1:42 pm

DOUGHBOYS wrote:As much fun as it is to see a 19 year old kid succeed at the top level, it is even more fun seeing 40 year old Andy Pettitte carve him up.
In three at bats, Pettitte has made Harper looked like that ninth hitter on a Little League team.
A reminder that even the best of rookies still have a lot to learn....

Petitte did show how to attack him if you are a lefty pitcher and have a decent slider. he threw 11 pitches in 3 AB's and Harper swung and missed at 9 of them. I think eveyr pitch was a slider or curve. Harper did make an adjustment in his 4th AB and crushed one to deep Center that was caught. Petitte yanked after 7 innings and Wade promptly blows the win for him.

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Re: Bryce Harper Called Up

Post by DOUGHBOYS » Sat Jun 16, 2012 2:26 pm

Same game, yet we saw things differently.
Pettitte missed on two curves in Harper's last at bat. 2-0 and a runner on, he gave in with a fastball. You're being kind to Harper (as always) in saying that he made an adjustment.
He merely got a pitch he can handle due to being ahead in the count.
Harper was schooled today. It happens to every player. Even our favorites.
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