NFBC Draft Results

Schwks
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NFBC Draft Results

Post by Schwks » Mon Mar 09, 2009 9:28 am

At the risk of beating a dead horse, drafting ARod also creates draft day difficulties, because you are locked into getting yet another 3b, which could weaken other areas of your draft.
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DOUGHBOYS
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NFBC Draft Results

Post by DOUGHBOYS » Mon Mar 09, 2009 9:36 am





[ March 09, 2009, 03:38 PM: Message edited by: DOUGHBOYS ]
On my tombstone-
Wait! I never had the perfect draft!

rkulaski
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NFBC Draft Results

Post by rkulaski » Mon Mar 09, 2009 5:30 pm

Originally posted by Schwks:

At the risk of beating a dead horse, drafting ARod also creates draft day difficulties, because you are locked into getting yet another 3b, which could weaken other areas of your draft. Out of my control but I hope this scenario doesn't happen:



13 other risk-averse owners in your league on march 21st think the same way, then there is that one person who finally snags Arod in rd 3 and starts his draft with Hanley, some rd 2 stud, and ARod. Arod's rehab goes slightly ahead of schedule and he only misses 2 wks of the regular season. The 90% chance of him making it through the season actually happens and, for the next 24 weeks, he puts up MVP numbers. It's possible.
Richard Kulaski
Fairview, TN

Lost Sailor
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NFBC Draft Results

Post by Lost Sailor » Mon Mar 09, 2009 5:32 pm

Originally posted by DOUGHBOYS:

The ARod-Chipper comparison is poor. Chipper has a history of sitting games with minor injury, killing fantasy owners.

I am really leary of Chipper this year. Last year was actually one of Chipper's better years of not taking days off for minor injuries. I owe it to Smoltz, who admonished Chipper publicly for not playing. Magically, Chipper was in the lineup the next day and missed few days afterward.

I fear that without Smoltz to ride him, Chipper falls back into the same habits of taking four or five days off from an injury that would take others one or two days. A potential pitfall. Nice insight, Dough. Didn't think of the 'Smoltzy Effect', but it sounds pretty solid to me.
Been way too long at sea....

sportsbettingman
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NFBC Draft Results

Post by sportsbettingman » Mon Mar 09, 2009 5:35 pm

Originally posted by rkulaski:

quote:Originally posted by Schwks:

At the risk of beating a dead horse, drafting ARod also creates draft day difficulties, because you are locked into getting yet another 3b, which could weaken other areas of your draft. Out of my control but I hope this scenario doesn't happen:



13 other risk-averse owners in your league on march 21st think the same way, then there is that one person who finally snags Arod in rd 3 and starts his draft with Hanley, some rd 2 stud, and ARod. Arod's rehab goes slightly ahead of schedule and he only misses 2 wks of the regular season. The 90% chance of him making it through the season actually happens and, for the next 24 weeks, he puts up MVP numbers. It's possible.
[/QUOTE]Change the 2 weeks to 3 or 4 weeks and it is probable IMO.
"The only reason for time is so that everything doesn't happen at once."

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Edwards Kings
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NFBC Draft Results

Post by Edwards Kings » Tue Mar 10, 2009 12:20 am

Originally posted by rkulaski:

quote:Originally posted by Schwks:

At the risk of beating a dead horse, drafting ARod also creates draft day difficulties, because you are locked into getting yet another 3b, which could weaken other areas of your draft. Out of my control but I hope this scenario doesn't happen:



13 other risk-averse owners in your league on march 21st think the same way, then there is that one person who finally snags Arod in rd 3 and starts his draft with Hanley, some rd 2 stud, and ARod. Arod's rehab goes slightly ahead of schedule and he only misses 2 wks of the regular season. The 90% chance of him making it through the season actually happens and, for the next 24 weeks, he puts up MVP numbers. It's possible.
[/QUOTE]Possible, not probable. As a matter of fact, I would judge it unlikely. It is also possible Andruw Jones rediscovers his stroke, gets 500 AB from Texas playing for a contract, hits 35+ HR with a .270 BA. Possible, not probable.



I did not draft Pujols with the seventh pick of the first round last year (Rey Diaz got him early in the second before it came back to me), but never regretted it. It was the right play. Kind of like losing on someone else's magic card showing up on 5th Street in Hold'Em. Right play, wrong outcome. Can't be helped.



You can put me down as one of those who has Madonna's boy-toy written off my list.
Baseball is a slow, boring, complex, cerebral game that doesn't lend itself to histrionics. You 'take in' a baseball game, something odd to say about a football or basketball game, with the clock running and the bodies flying.
Charles Krauthammer

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