glenlake22 wrote:Hi Shawn
Dickerson or Springer? Or both?
I like Springer, but he is going awfully high for his batting average risk plus we need to see him run. If you like Springer, you should plan for his possible failure in average. Dickerson seems more stable, but he has less upside.
Real tough call.
Dickerson struggled to get regular at bats (30) in April while having some success (.333 with 2 HR's and 3 RBI). His production and a couple of injuries led to him getting more at bats at the season went on. Over the first 3 months, Corey hit .342 with 10 HR's and 33 RBI in 178 at bats). He crushed righties (.328 with a .606 SLG %) while not being dead in the water against LH pitching (.253 with 3 HR's and 14 RBI in 91 at bats). Dickerson continued to play well over the 2nd half of the year (.291 with 14 HR's and 43 RBI in 258 at bats). His K rate (21.1 %) showed more upside in the minors (17.9 %) while his walk rate (7.7 %) is just below league average. His HR/FB rate (19.6 %) was in an elite area. Corey hit .323 in his minor league career with 79 HR's, 291 RBI, and 51 SB's in 1559 at bats. His AVH (1.816) is rising with an elite contact batting average (.406). His run rate (43 %) has been impressive in the last 2 years. His bat was also much better at home (.363 with a .684 SLG %). This season he is getting a ton of respects in fantasy drafts. He does have some playing time risk against lefties with Stubbs still on the roster. With 550 at bats, he has 30/100 upside with a .300+ batting average with some growth in his strikeouts. Last year he hit .408 while batting 2nd in the batting order.
With a full season of at bats, Springer was on pace for 90 runs, 40 HR's, 102 RBI, and 228 K's. His K rate (33.0 %) was off the chart while showing some ability to take walks (11.3 %). George only hit .194 against lefties (.335 in his minor league career). After a slow start in April (.182 with 19 K's in 61 at bats), Springer crushed the ball in May (10 HR's, 25 RBI, and a .647 SLG %). His K rate was still 30.1 % in his best month. Over his next month and half, pitchers gave him less pitches to drive, which led to 59 K's in 167 at bats (35.3 %) with 10 HR's and 22 RBI. His season ended with a quad/knee injury. His HR/FB rate (27.8 %) was massive. This supports his 40 HR upside. Over the previous 2 seasons in the minors, George hit well over .400 when he made contact. That number dropped to .376 last year. His 200 K ability will really limit his upside in batting average. Springer's AVH (2.029) is trending upward. Last year he really didn't run, which a big part of his minor league resume. In the minors, he hit .302 with 65 HR's and 207 RBI, and 87 SB's in 1087 at bats. His K rate was 26.4 %. Excellent shot at 35+ HR's with 20+ SB's with a sub .250 batting average. If his K rate improves and his contact batting average approaches his minor league career, we could have Giancarlo Stanton with speed.