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Hey all you laser sighted fantasy baseball prophets who can see through the b.s. and forecast a roster...



Here's more meat for your plate...you starving Lions!



C: Jorge Posada

C: Ivan Rodriguez

1B: Albert Pujols

2B: Luis Castillo

SS: Nomar Garciaparra

3B: Adrian Beltre

MI: B.J. Upton/Ray Durham

CI: Carlos Pena/Phil Nevin

OF: Brian Giles

OF: Magglio Ordonez

OF: Moises Alou

OF: Barry Bonds

OF /UT youngsters...

Lastings Milledge

Stephen Drew

Carlos Quentin

Shane Victorino

J.D. Closser



P: Jake Peavy

P: Carlos Zambrano

P: Pedro Martinez

P: Kevin Millwood

P: Kerry Wood

P: Armando Benitez

P: Jesse Crain

P: Jon Papelbon

P: Rafael Soriano

P: Brandon McCarthy

P: Tony Armas



I need speed and saves...but it's not too bad.



~Lance



[ March 08, 2006, 11:32 PM: Message edited by: sportsbettingman ]

The thing that stands out the most? You took Pujols ahead of A-Rod.



Peavy/Pedro/Zambrano is about as good as it gets.



Your offense is in trouble.

Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

Hey all you laser sighted fantasy baseball prophets who can see through the b.s. and forecast a roster...



Here's more meat for your plate...you starving Lions!



I need speed and saves...but it's not too bad.



~Lance yes, you need speed and saves, and runs and rbi's --- which begs the question, do you think you punt 4 categories and win?

Why'd you draft Upton? Vizquel would have been a better fit. Seriously, that has to be one of the most geriatric offenses I've ever seen.

Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

OF /UT youngsters...

Lastings Milledge

Stephen Drew

Carlos Quentin

Shane Victorino

J.D. ClosserNo kidding these are youngsters -- the rest of the offense could have fathered this group

Originally posted by King of Queens:

quote:Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

OF /UT youngsters...

Lastings Milledge

Stephen Drew

Carlos Quentin

Shane Victorino

J.D. ClosserNo kidding these are youngsters -- the rest of the offense could have fathered this group [/QUOTE]interesting. The barbell approach. Use offsetting extremes to provide balance. Works in some things. In fantasy baseball I think it works like this: exclude everyone in their prime years (eliminating lower risk players with upside), while having the upside of high risk pre-prime players offset with high injury-risk players with no upside and in fact, more likely downside.



You end up with all the risk and none of the expected return. Ouch. Odds of getting desired production out of a portfolio of 15-20 risky entities simultaneously is close to nil.

I should be ok in Avg, ERA, WHIP, HR, K's. RBI/Runs...not sure...SB/Saves...bad. Wins is a tricky category.



Many of my old timers have fairly good track records of health. (I like to forget one and even two years if the rest are good, and they look to be healthy now)



My gut says Nomar is healthy...Bonds plays 110 games...Beltre (adjusts)and Alou (Bonds back) improve...Ordonez has value...Pujols and Giles and my catchers repeat 2005...my pitching is good...and I root like hell for the youngsters to gain starter status...which is pretty fun to keep track of...you must know that.



Every winning team has bust out kids in the mix.



~Lance

Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

Every winning team has bust out kids in the mix.by mid May you will have dropped Milledge/Quinton/Drew/Victorino and Papelbon to find temp replacements for Alou/Bonds/Garciaparra/Wood and Nevin. MAYBE they'll bust out this year but it wont be until august and they'll probably be gone from your team.

Definitely was a strange draft last night. Not only did alot of "rookie keepers" get drafted but the likes of Sal Fasano got selected as well. I came away with:



Doumit

Mathis

C. Jackson

Kinsler

Tejada

Chavez

Jose Reyes

Rolen

Sheffield

A. Jones

Cameron

Bradley

Nixon

Delmon Young



Zito

Patterson

Livan Hernandez

Cain

F. Liriano

Farnsworth

Fossum

Guardado

Fuentes



Klesko

Aguila

Kubel

Barfield

Spivey

Verlander

Hansen

Always the gambler, Lance. I am a bit surprised that after last season's Pirates Spoils, you didn't take a few less risky options. But I guess that is Lance, always the wild card. Nothing ventured, nothing gained... I guess.

Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

Hey all you laser sighted fantasy baseball prophets who can see through the b.s. and forecast a roster...



Here's more meat for your plate...you starving Lions!



C: Jorge Posada

C: Ivan Rodriguez

1B: Albert Pujols

2B: Luis Castillo

SS: Nomar Garciaparra

3B: Adrian Beltre

MI: B.J. Upton/Ray Durham

CI: Carlos Pena/Phil Nevin

OF: Brian Giles

OF: Magglio Ordonez

OF: Moises Alou

OF: Barry Bonds

OF /UT youngsters...

Lastings Milledge

Stephen Drew

Carlos Quentin

Shane Victorino

J.D. Closser



P: Jake Peavy

P: Carlos Zambrano

P: Pedro Martinez

P: Kevin Millwood

P: Kerry Wood

P: Armando Benitez

P: Jesse Crain

P: Jon Papelbon

P: Rafael Soriano

P: Brandon McCarthy

P: Tony Armas



I need speed and saves...but it's not too bad.



~Lance IS THERE A DOCTOR IN THE HOUSE?

Originally posted by Joe Sambito:

Always the gambler, Lance. I am a bit surprised that after last season's Pirates Spoils, you didn't take a few less risky options. But I guess that is Lance, always the wild card. Nothing ventured, nothing gained... I guess. Hey Joe!



You're correct...it's the gambler in me. Maybe too optimistic...maybe to nostalgic...but I know high talent when I see it...just cross them fingers for the injury big to get lost!



Good luck to yourself and Chest in 2006...see ya in Vegas in 2007!



~Lance (...and nice team fireballs)



[ March 09, 2006, 04:27 PM: Message edited by: sportsbettingman ]

Fireballs, I think you team will do middle of the pack - you have a bit of everything, speed, closers, etc... If some of your risks come up right, you could have a great team (like Liriano)



Spy

How does this team look? What are going to be my major concerns?



C

Jason Varitek

C

Jason Kendall

1B

Prince Fielder

2B

Brian Roberts

SS

Carlos Guillen

3B

Miguel Cabrera

OF

Manny Ramirez

OF

Willy Taveras

OF

Jeff Francoeur

OF

Cory Sullivan

OF

Kenny Lofton

CI

Lyle Overbay

MI

J.J. Hardy

U/DH

Nook Logan

U/DH

Adam Everett

U/DH

Eric Reed

U/DH

Bill Mueller

U/DH

Brandon Wood

U/DH

Chris Burke

U/DH

Todd Walker



SP

Chris Carpenter

SP

Dontrelle Willis

SP

Tim Hudson

SP

Roger Clemens

SP

Kenny Rogers

SP

Jeff Suppan

SP

Jamie Moyer

RP

Brad Lidge

RP

Keith Foulke

RP

J.J. Putz

POWENS -

you had 3 real good/solid SP - you didnt need to waste a pick on Clemens you should have added a power hitting OF instead. Your HR and RBI look real troublesome.

Yeah, I probably overestimated the HR and RBI production from Fielder and Francoeur to complement ManRam and Cabrera. Clemens was still sitting there in the 14th round and I couldn't pass him up.