ADP's and undrafted players
Posted: Mon Feb 04, 2013 4:52 pm
It appears that when a player is not drafted in a league, that result is ignored for the purposes of calculating the player's ADP. I think this could be misleading. For example now that Bryan LaHair signed in Japan, he is no longer being drafted, yet his ADP is still 'stuck' at 585.81. Not a huge deal with such a low-ranked player, but could become more relevant if a big name suffers a season-ending injury (like Victor Martinez last year) - it wouldn't make sense for his ADP to be unchanged because he is no longer being drafted.
I think it also creates some misleading results out in the late rounds of the drafts. For example, we have Esmil Rogers' ADP at 620, which comes from 8 picks, which means he was entirely undrafted in 26 leagues. Then there is Jake Arrieta with an ADP of 625.5, coming from 32 leagues. Maybe I'm wrong, but I think most would agree that from this data, Arrieta's ranking should be higher than Rogers.
Maybe the solution is to assign all players who weren't drafted in a 50 round league a draft position of 751 (50 x 15 + 1) for that draft? What do people think?
I think it also creates some misleading results out in the late rounds of the drafts. For example, we have Esmil Rogers' ADP at 620, which comes from 8 picks, which means he was entirely undrafted in 26 leagues. Then there is Jake Arrieta with an ADP of 625.5, coming from 32 leagues. Maybe I'm wrong, but I think most would agree that from this data, Arrieta's ranking should be higher than Rogers.
Maybe the solution is to assign all players who weren't drafted in a 50 round league a draft position of 751 (50 x 15 + 1) for that draft? What do people think?