NFBC Message Boards

Greg/Tom,

I am not rushing...just asking...when do the live chats begin? They are always fun and even when I miss them, I like going back and reading all the q&a's. They really help to spur some great discussions. I know it is early, but just trying to remember when they begin.

In the meantime...here is one...last year, Chris Davis and Yu Darvish outperformed expectations. What methods do you use to help identify these types of breakouts and could you give us a couple names for 2014?

poopytooth wrote:Greg/Tom,

I am not rushing...just asking...when do the live chats begin? They are always fun and even when I miss them, I like going back and reading all the q&a's. They really help to spur some great discussions. I know it is early, but just trying to remember when they begin.

In the meantime...here is one...last year, Chris Davis and Yu Darvish outperformed expectations. What methods do you use to help identify these types of breakouts and could you give us a couple names for 2014?

I don't think Darvish outperformed expectations.

Heads he outperforms and tails he doesn't!!

I need to apologize to The Mouth for giving away his projections tool!!

ALL-IN JD wrote:Heads he outperforms and tails he doesn't!!

The real question is: Did Dobies outperform his skill set?

I can answer that, HELL YEAH!!

CC's Desperados wrote:

poopytooth wrote:Greg/Tom,

I am not rushing...just asking...when do the live chats begin? They are always fun and even when I miss them, I like going back and reading all the q&a's. They really help to spur some great discussions. I know it is early, but just trying to remember when they begin.

In the meantime...here is one...last year, Chris Davis and Yu Darvish outperformed expectations. What methods do you use to help identify these types of breakouts and could you give us a couple names for 2014?

I don't think Darvish outperformed expectations.

you are right but didn't see the K total as large as it ended up being. I think he was a top 5 SP...maybe top 10...not sure he was there at draft time for everyone. For those who did though, what did you see that others, like myself, missed.

You can't predict a surprise or outlier - if you could they wouldn't be a surprise.

All you can do is look for someone that

if **THIS** goes right, **THIS** can happen.

You're not predicting it WILL happen, but looking for some plausible outcome.

IF Chris Davis can hit more fly balls (his FB% was 36%, very low for a power hitter) he can hit 45+ HR.

Basically, you're looking to give yourself a reasonable chance to be right.

ToddZ wrote:You can't predict a surprise or outlier - if you could they wouldn't be a surprise.

All you can do is look for someone that

if **THIS** goes right, **THIS** can happen.

You're not predicting it WILL happen, but looking for some plausible outcome.

IF Chris Davis can hit more fly balls (his FB% was 36%, very low for a power hitter) he can hit 45+ HR.

Basically, you're looking to give yourself a reasonable chance to be right.

got ya...ty!
And haven't seen many of your fb one liners in a while.

poopytooth wrote:
got ya...ty!
And haven't seen many of your fb one liners in a while.

It's projection time -- I celebrated finishing them with a Tweet/FB one-liner.

When will the projections be up on the site?

fwicker wrote:When will the projections be up on the site?

Projections are ready today. 2013 subscriptions run through Nov 30 so I can't post the link on the site but those that have paid for the 2014 subscription and NFBC Primer contributors will get an e-mail with the link once the caffeine kicks in and I'm sure I'm not screwing up.

poopytooth wrote:Greg/Tom,

I am not rushing...just asking...when do the live chats begin? They are always fun and even when I miss them, I like going back and reading all the q&a's. They really help to spur some great discussions. I know it is early, but just trying to remember when they begin.

In the meantime...here is one...last year, Chris Davis and Yu Darvish outperformed expectations. What methods do you use to help identify these types of breakouts and could you give us a couple names for 2014?

Wow, we've never had a request for Live Chats before!! We're honored.

Sure, we can start one up this week once we have DCs rolling. If folks have questions about the upcoming season we'll gladly answer them in one spot for all to see. Anything that helps folks better understand what's ahead of us is good for everyone. We're just doing all we can behind the scenes to get the DCs rolling and the season started. Thanks for the request.

Greg Ambrosius wrote:

poopytooth wrote:Greg/Tom,

I am not rushing...just asking...when do the live chats begin? They are always fun and even when I miss them, I like going back and reading all the q&a's. They really help to spur some great discussions. I know it is early, but just trying to remember when they begin.

In the meantime...here is one...last year, Chris Davis and Yu Darvish outperformed expectations. What methods do you use to help identify these types of breakouts and could you give us a couple names for 2014?

Wow, we've never had a request for Live Chats before!! We're honored.

Sure, we can start one up this week once we have DCs rolling. If folks have questions about the upcoming season we'll gladly answer them in one spot for all to see. Anything that helps folks better understand what's ahead of us is good for everyone. We're just doing all we can behind the scenes to get the DCs rolling and the season started. Thanks for the request.

YW, I really enjoy them.