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Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Fri Dec 02, 2016 7:52 pm
by Deadheadz
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(includes picks posted for the first 10 Draft Champions leagues)
Until there's an official ADP from NFBC we can use the data from the picks posted already to derive a wildy misleading ADP:

First Last Pos Min Max Avg
1 Mike Trout OF 1 2 1.1
2 Mookie Betts OF 1 4 2.2
3 Kris Bryant 3B 3 8 4.5
4 Jose Altuve 2B 3 7 4.5
5 Nolan Arenado 3B 3 7 5.6
6 Paul Goldschmidt 1B 2 10 5.7
7 Clayton Kershaw P 2 10 5.8
8 Manny Machado 3B 7 11 8.0
9 Max Scherzer P 3 15 10.2
10 Bryce Harper OF 8 13 10.5
11 Josh Donaldson 3B 8 16 10.7
12 Anthony Rizzo 1B 9 15 12.8
13 Trea Turner 2B 8 18 13.3
14 Charlie Blackmon OF 11 22 14.8
15 Miguel Cabrera 1B 9 24 15.3
16 Madison Bumgarner P 12 18 15.3
17 Carlos Correa SS 12 21 16.2
18 Corey Seager SS 15 26 19.3
19 Chris Sale P 14 29 20.3
20 Jonathan Villar SS 11 28 21.0
21 Noah Syndergaard P 17 30 23.0
22 Edwin Encarnacion DH 19 38 23.7
23 Corey Kluber P 20 31 25.2
24 Freddie Freeman 1B 21 38 26.5
25 Starling Marte OF 19 35 26.9
26 Xander Bogaerts SS 16 38 28.7
27 Brian Dozier 2B 17 43 28.8
28 Joey Votto 1B 20 41 29.2
29 Francisco Lindor SS 19 46 31.3
30 George Springer OF 15 45 32.3
31 Trevor Story SS 22 45 32.6
32 Robinson Cano 2B 18 42 32.9
33 Jake Arrieta P 21 48 34.0
34 Daniel Murphy 2B 24 50 34.9
35 Buster Posey C 26 48 35.5
36 A.J. Pollock OF 19 50 36.1
37 Rougned Odor 2B 22 46 38.1
38 Jon Lester P 31 55 39.1
39 Giancarlo Stanton OF 21 48 40.0
40 Yu Darvish P 22 56 40.1
41 Aroldis Chapman P 31 60 44.3
42 Justin Verlander P 31 57 45.1
43 Nelson Cruz DH 33 59 45.4
44 Dee Gordon 2B 28 64 45.5
45 Johnny Cueto P 34 59 45.9
46 Gary Sanchez C 36 67 48.2
47 David Price P 31 66 48.8
48 J.D. Martinez OF 33 69 49.8
49 Jonathan Lucroy C 45 64 49.8
50 Jean Segura SS 37 69 50.5
51 Ryan Braun OF 35 65 50.6
52 Kenley Jansen P 40 64 51.8
53 Billy Hamilton OF 33 68 54.0
54 Wil Myers 1B 36 78 54.8
55 Mark Trumbo OF 43 71 55.7
56 Christian Yelich OF 41 72 55.8
57 Stephen Strasburg P 44 72 56.4
58 Zach Britton P 50 69 58.0
59 Chris Archer P 49 69 58.1
60 Yoenis Cespedes OF 48 66 58.5
61 Carlos Carrasco P 47 70 59.1
62 Kyle Seager 3B 40 78 64.8
63 Jose Abreu 1B 50 79 65.2
64 Gregory Polanco OF 48 81 66.3
65 Kyle Hendricks P 43 82 67.0
66 Carlos Gonzalez OF 51 91+ 68.3
67 Todd Frazier 3B 41 82 68.4
68 Kyle Schwarber OF 34 89 70.5
69 Andrew McCutchen OF 44 91+ 72.4
70 Mark Melancon P 53 91+ 73.2
71 Craig Kimbrel P 60 84 74.2
72 Ian Kinsler 2B 60 86 74.4
73 Ian Desmond OF 20 91+ 76.0
74 Carlos Martinez P 62 86 76.9
75 Matt Carpenter 1B 40 91+ 76.9
76 Chris Davis 1B 44 91+ 79.3
77 Seung Oh P 67 91+ 79.7
78 Jacob deGrom P 65 91+ 79.9
79 Adrian Beltre 3B 73 91+ 84.0
80 Roberto Osuna P 69 91+ 88.6
81 Cole Hamels P 56 91+ 89.2
82 Evan Gattis DH 66 91+ 89.5
83 Justin Upton OF 62 91+ 91.4
84 Anthony Rendon 3B 58 91+ 94.7
85 DJ LeMahieu 2B 71 91+ 95.1
86 Hanley Ramirez 1B 70 91+ 96.2
87 Edwin Diaz P 71 91+ 97.0
88 Masahiro Tanaka P 57 91+ 97.4
89 David Dahl OF 77 91+ 100.1
90 Wade Davis P 64 91+ 101.5
91 Matt Kemp OF 71 91+ 101.6
92 Dellin Betances P 73 91+ 106.5
93 Zack Greinke P 75 91+ 107.1
94 Jason Kipnis 2B 74 91+ 107.4
95 Khris Davis OF 75 91+ 108.0
96 Jose Ramirez OF 81 91+ 108.1
97 Alex Bregman 3B 77 91+ 108.4
98 Rick Porcello P 73 91+ 109.8
99 Miguel Sano OF 73 91+ 110.1
100 Eric Hosmer 1B 64 91+ 111.5
101 Jeurys Familia P 80 91+ 111.6
102 Evan Longoria 3B 78 91+ 111.9
103 A.J. Ramos P 84 91+ 112.4
104 Willson Contreras C 80 91+ 112.6
105 Aaron Sanchez P 75 91+ 112.9
106 Alex Colome P 88 91+ 113.0
107 Jameson Taillon P 71 91+ 114.2
108 Andrew Miller P 75 91+ 114.6
109 Cody Allen P 76 91+ 114.7
110 Julio Teheran P 76 91+ 114.7
111 Maikel Franco 3B 77 91+ 114.8
112 Albert Pujols DH 78 91+ 114.9
113 Matt Harvey P 82 91+ 115.3
114 Salvador Perez C 84 91+ 115.5
115 Ken Giles P 84 91+ 115.5
116 J.T. Realmuto C 85 91+ 115.6
117 Eduardo Nunez 3B 87 91+ 115.8
118 Gerrit Cole P 88 91+ 115.9
119 Javier Baez 3B 90 91+ 116.1


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Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Fri Dec 02, 2016 8:07 pm
by DOUGHBOYS
Oh, for Pete's Sakes!

Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Fri Dec 02, 2016 8:24 pm
by Deadheadz
DOUGHBOYS wrote:Oh, for Pete's Sakes!
Don't get me wrong, I didn't make up the ranks.
It's an actual ADP but with only 3 drafts of data we can all agree the sample size is too small.

It's an early look at possible trends.

I wanted the numbers so I put it in a simple spreadsheet, easy as cut/paste and one formula.
Just getting ready for the DC coming up and figured I'd share it.

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Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Sat Dec 03, 2016 7:04 am
by Bjs2025
Trea Turner is not only OF eligible, correct?

Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Sat Dec 03, 2016 9:38 am
by Deadheadz
Bjs2025 wrote:Trea Turner is not only OF eligible, correct?
There's over 30 multi eligible players going into 2017 and Trea Turner is one of them with 2B/OF.
When we see the early draft results posted by NFBC they generally use only the position played most from the year before.

For example they're listing Pujols as DH but he did play 28 games at 1B in 2016 so is still 1B/CI eligible.

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Re: The Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Tue Dec 13, 2016 11:57 pm
by Deadheadz
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The Fake ADP now has data from the first six rounds of 7 drafts published by Greg in the forum.

Please note players some players were not taken in the first 6 rounds of all 7 slow drafts.
Ranks are unofficial and intended for the curiosity and entertainment of the reader.

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Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Wed Dec 14, 2016 2:03 pm
by Big League Wood
Good stuff.

Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Wed Dec 14, 2016 4:56 pm
by thepats
This has been very helpful to me in an early draft. Thanks for doing it.

Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Thu Dec 15, 2016 11:43 pm
by Deadheadz
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Fake ADP now has data from the first six rounds of 8 slow drafts.


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Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2016 7:00 am
by Bjs2025
Please keep doing this through February

Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2016 8:18 am
by Deadheadz
Bjs2025 wrote:Please keep doing this through February
As soon as there are 5 completed drafts, the NFBC site will post their ADP up to date and keep it current through an automated process.
They'd like you to buy into a league to have access to their data so I won't be doing the work anymore after they go live with it. It would be redundant and a heck of a lot of work once there are new drafts starting every day.

This thread won't get updated after Dec 23 regardless unless someone else decides to do it.

Happy Holidays!

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Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2016 9:30 am
by Bjs2025
Deadheadz wrote:
Bjs2025 wrote:Please keep doing this through February
As soon as there are 5 completed drafts, the NFBC site will post their ADP up to date and keep it current through an automated process.
They'd like you to buy into a league to have access to their data so I won't be doing the work anymore after they go live with it. It would be redundant and a heck of a lot of work once there are new drafts starting every day.

This thread won't get updated after Dec 23 regardless unless someone else decides to do it.

Happy Holidays!

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Yea I'll be in quite a few leagues so doesn't matter I guess. Trying to mitigate risk by doing lots of amateur satellites this year to win more $$$ rather than blowing my wad in the auction champ or ME

Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2016 11:26 am
by thepats
What is an "amateur satellite."? Don't all leagues play for money?

Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Fri Dec 16, 2016 10:30 pm
by Bjs2025
thepats wrote:What is an "amateur satellite."? Don't all leagues play for money?
I just mean the level of competition in even a $250 satellite is nothing compared to higher stakes. Namely FAAB is much tougher in big time money leagues. I still think it's easily possibly to ace a draft in any setting however.

Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Mon Dec 19, 2016 2:45 pm
by Deadheadz
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Fake ADP now has data from 10 slow drafts.

Fake ADP does not endorse "fake news". ;)

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Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2016 8:22 am
by Daren E
Greg what is the status of the first 5 DCs? How close are we to the actual ADP list being posted?

Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2016 9:13 am
by Greg Ambrosius
Daren E wrote:Greg what is the status of the first 5 DCs? How close are we to the actual ADP list being posted?
We have three finished leagues, one that is in Round 48 and two that are in Round 40. We're almost there.

Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Thu Dec 22, 2016 6:52 pm
by Deadheadz
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Fake ADP now includes data from the first 6 rounds of 12 slow drafts.


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Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 5:36 am
by Edwards Kings
Thanks for doing this!

Re: Fake ADP - (first 6 rounds)

Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:35 pm
by Deadheadz
fake.jpg
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