2007 NFBC Draft Day Facts

Greg Ambrosius · Post by **Greg Ambrosius** » Mon Mar 26, 2007 5:47 am

It's fun to look at the Average Draft Positions of our 28 live drafts (25 main event leagues plus three Ultimate Draft Leagues) and look at the trends that took place. Here are a few quick facts as I scanned the boards this morning:

** Albert Pujols went No. 1 in 27 of the 28 live drafts. In the one league that he didn't go No. 1 in (New York 1), he went third as Alfonso Soriano went first and Jose Reyes went second. Here's a look at the range of picks from the consensus Top 15:

1. Albert Pujols (as high as 1st, as low as 3rd)

2. Jose Reyes (high of 2nd, low of 5th)

3. Alfonso Soriano (high of 1st, low of 4th)

4. Alex Rodriguez (high of 2nd, low of 7th)

5. Carl Crawford (high of 3rd, low of 8th)

6. Ryan Howard (high of 3rd, low of 10th)

7. Chase Utley high of 4th, low of 12th)

8. Johan Santana (high of 4th, low of 21st)

9. Carlos Beltran (high of 4th, low of 16th)

10. David Ortiz (high of 6th, low of 18th)

11. Miguel Cabrera (high of 4th, low of 20th)

12. Vladimir Guerrero (high of 7th, low of 20th)

13. David Wright (high of 8th, low of 20th)

14. Lance Berkman (high of 9th, low of 22nd)

15. Grady Sizemore (high of 11th, low of 24th)

** Jose Reyes went second overall in 16 of 28 leagues. He went second in five of eight New York leagues, with Alex Rodriguez going second in one of the New York leagues.

** Johan Santana went in the first round 25 of 28 times. He went as high as fourth twice and as low as 21st. That team drafted 10th in Las Vegas League 8 and took Ryan Howard in the first round, Santana in the second and Bill Hall in the third. He also went 19th overall and 16th overall.

** Jimmy Rollins was one of the more interesting picks as he went as high as eighth and as low as 25th. Two prominent NFBC owners grabbed Rollins early, 6th and 8th overall.

** The 15th spot was the most successful draft spot last year and it was interesting to watch that spot again this year. The starting combo of Lance Berkman-Jimmy Rollins or Grady Sizemore-Jimmy Rollins or speed plus Mark Teixeira or Travis Hafner was an interesting start.

** Owners obviously targeted speed in the early rounds. As a result, Sizemore jumped into the first round, Jimmy Rollins went 16th, Derek Jeter went 20th, Hanley Ramirez moved up to 21st, Rafael Furcal went 33rd, Chone Figgins 38th, Brian Roberts 42nd, and Juan Pierre 45th. Here’s where the other SB threats went: Willy Taveras 83rd, Ryan Freel 145th, Chris Duffy 171st and Scott Podsednik 174th.

** Jonathon Papelbon went 117th overall as a starter, but now that he's a closer he should have more value. Consider that Francisco Rodriguez went 44th overall and Joe Nathan went 47th overall and you can see where Papelbon would have gone as a closer.

** Even though the first round seemed pretty set, 25 different players went among the first 15 picks. Pretty interesting, I'd say. The second round was a little more obvious as only 39 different players were among the first 30 picks. Interesting again, wouldn't you say?

** One of the widest ranges for a Top 100 pick was Rocco Baldelli, who ranked 70th overall. He went as high as 46th and as low as 108th. Rich Harden went 84th overall with a high of 46 and a low of 122.

** Daisuke Matsuzaka went 72nd overall with a high of 51 and a low of 104. Alex Gordon went 115th overall as another top rookie, with a high of 66 and a low of 183. Delmon Young followed Daisuke among rookies as he went 76th overall with a range of 61 and 123.

** Barry Bonds went 161st overall with a range of 110 to 223. Roger Clemens went 240th overall, with a high of 195 and a low of 300.

[ March 26, 2007, 02:05 PM: Message edited by: Greg Ambrosius ]

Edwards Kings · Post by **Edwards Kings** » Mon Mar 26, 2007 5:57 am

Greg,

According to the ADP, Miguel Cabrera (whom I picked at #10 in Tampa #1) was chosen in 27 of the 28 targeted drafts. He really cannot be out there in someone's FA pool, can he?

BTW, I had hoped that Teixeira, Holliday, or Rollins would make it back to me at pick #21 in the second round. But noooooo...all three were gone with the 14th, 15th, and 16th picks. Sizemore and Berkman were gone also.

Good stuff!

King of Queens · Post by **King of Queens** » Mon Mar 26, 2007 6:03 am

Originally posted by Greg Ambrosius:

** The 15th spot was the most successful draft spot last year and it was interesting to watch that spot again this year. The starting combo of Lance Berkman-Jimmy Rollins or Grady Sizemore-Jimmy Rollins or speed plus Mark Teixeira or Travis Hafner was an interesting start. I had the 14th pick in one of the Sunday Ultimate drafts, and was hoping to get one of Grady Sizemore and Jimmy Rollins with my first pick. Well, they both got taken ahead of me in the 1st round (Sizemore 11th, Rollins 13th). I still managed to come away with David Wright (1.14) and Lance Berkman (2.02) -- an excellent pair to be sure, but not at all what I expected to come away with.

JohnZ · Post by **JohnZ** » Mon Mar 26, 2007 6:19 am

Originally posted by Edwards Kings:

Greg,

According to the ADP, Miguel Cabrera (whom I picked at #10 in Tampa #1) was chosen in 27 of the 28 targeted drafts. He really cannot be out there in someone's FA pool, can he?

Good stuff! This is a input typo that the owner of Cabrera has not seen yet. LOL. There were about 6-7 of these and most have been fixed.

RTKS · Post by **RTKS** » Mon Mar 26, 2007 6:46 am

Greg,

Not being picky or anything, but merely curious.

In your facts you stated that Pujols was taken 1st 27 of 28 times and that the one time he wasn't it was Alfonso Soriano. I was in that league (in fact the co-manager on the team that got Pujols with 3rd pick)

But you later mention under Reyes that he was picked once as the first pick. Not sure if that was a typo or not.

Thanks

Greg Ambrosius · Post by **Greg Ambrosius** » Mon Mar 26, 2007 7:28 am

Originally posted by RTKS:

Greg,

Not being picky or anything, but merely curious.

In your facts you stated that Pujols was taken 1st 27 of 28 times and that the one time he wasn't it was Alfonso Soriano. I was in that league (in fact the co-manager on the team that got Pujols with 3rd pick)

But you later mention under Reyes that he was picked once as the first pick. Not sure if that was a typo or not.

Thanks Yeah, my typo. I've corrected it in the original post. Sorry.

Greg Ambrosius · Post by **Greg Ambrosius** » Mon Mar 26, 2007 8:06 am

I added these facts to the first post as I'm still diving into the numbers:

** Owners obviously targeted speed in the early rounds. As a result, Sizemore jumped into the first round, Jimmy Rollins went 16th, Derek Jeter went 20th, Hanley Ramirez moved up to 21st, Rafael Furcal went 33rd, Chone Figgins 38th, Brian Roberts 42nd, and Juan Pierre 45th. Here’s where the other SB threats went: Willy Taveras 83rd, Ryan Freel 145th, Chris Duffy 171st and Scott Podsednik 174th.

** Jonathon Papelbon went 117th overall as a starter, but now that he's a closer he should have more value. Consider that Francisco Rodriguez went 44th overall and Joe Nathan went 47th overall and you can see where Papelbon would have gone as a closer.

** Even though the first round seemed pretty set, 25 different players went among the first 15 picks. Pretty interesting, I'd say. The second round was a little more obvious as only 39 different players were among the first 30 picks. Interesting again, wouldn't you say?

** One of the widest ranges for a Top 100 pick was Rocco Baldelli, who ranked 70th overall. He went as high as 46th and as low as 108th. Rich Harden went 84th overall with a high of 46 and a low of 122.

** Daisuke Matsuzaka went 72nd overall with a high of 51 and a low of 104. Alex Gordon went 115th overall as another top rookie, with a high of 66 and a low of 183. Delmon Young followed Daisuke among rookies as he went 76th overall with a range of 61 and 123.

** Barry Bonds went 161st overall with a range of 110 to 223.

Spyhunter · Post by **Spyhunter** » Mon Mar 26, 2007 4:35 pm

Some more fun facts:

Top 100 guy with biggest difference in draft location? Giambi with a range of 127 - from as early as 54 to as late as 181. Now 181 is a hell of a value

Here are the top 10 player with adp < 100 who had a huge range:

Jason Giambi 98.25 54 181 28 -127

Todd Helton 93.07 45 149 28 -104

Scott Kazmir 95.14 65 146 28 -81

Ian Kinsler 100.61 69 147 28 -78

Rich Harden 91 46 122 28 -76

Nick Swisher 98.36 68 142 28 -74

Corey Patterson 93.07 64 132 28 -68

Willy Taveras 90.79 67 134 28 -67

J.J. Putz 85.79 59 125 28 -66

Scott Rolen 95.07 62 128 28 -66

In the superstar category, here are the top guys with ADP < 45

Chone Figgins 39.79 19 58 28 -39

Garrett Atkins 31.04 17 43 28 -26

Michael Young 39.71 27 53 28 -26

Miguel Tejada 29.79 15 40 28 -25

Vernon Wells 30.86 17 41 28 -24

Jermaine Dye 40.21 31 55 28 -24

Jason Bay 26.93 16 39 28 -23

Ichiro Suzuki 25.04 14 36 28 -22

Joe Mauer 34.25 20 42 28 -22

Bobby Abreu 28.82 16 37 28 -21

JohnZ · Post by **JohnZ** » Mon Mar 26, 2007 5:28 pm

Another Draft fact - First ever DC league - 45 rounds - 5 hrs 15 min

Ted's Cracked Head · Post by **Ted's Cracked Head** » Mon Mar 26, 2007 7:21 pm

Another Draft fact - First ever DC league - 45 rounds - 5 hrs 15 min Let me guess, one 2 minute break?

WOOF WHACKERS · Post by **WOOF WHACKERS** » Mon Mar 26, 2007 8:04 pm

My Draft is 2-nite and my head is spinning with combinations of the 1st 4 rounds....... anyone get 3 of there 1st 4 picks.? That would B incredible..!

Dak · Post by **Dak** » Tue Mar 27, 2007 3:25 am

Careful what you ask for Woof! I'm in your draft tonite and will be watching your postings!!!

headhunters · Post by **headhunters** » Tue Mar 27, 2007 4:53 am

so am i. dak will be taking all your odd round picks. i will be taking all the even. you need to go to plan "B"

Nutty Scrats · Post by **Nutty Scrats** » Tue Mar 27, 2007 7:10 am

Originally posted by UFS:

Another Draft fact - First ever DC league - 45 rounds - 5 hrs 15 min And we started 10 - 15 minutes late! YAWWWWN!! LOL

Greg Ambrosius · Post by **Greg Ambrosius** » Tue Mar 27, 2007 7:37 am

Originally posted by Nutty Scrat:

quote:Originally posted by UFS:

Another Draft fact - First ever DC league - 45 rounds - 5 hrs 15 min And we started 10 - 15 minutes late! YAWWWWN!! LOL [/QUOTE]That's amazing everyone. After the slow start, I wasn't sure how long that would take. Good job as I had to bail after the first hour. Maybe we will do that one again!!

Nutty Scrats · Post by **Nutty Scrats** » Tue Mar 27, 2007 8:00 am

Originally posted by Greg Ambrosius:

quote:Originally posted by Nutty Scrat:

quote:Originally posted by UFS:

Another Draft fact - First ever DC league - 45 rounds - 5 hrs 15 min And we started 10 - 15 minutes late! YAWWWWN!! LOL [/QUOTE]That's amazing everyone. After the slow start, I wasn't sure how long that would take. Good job as I had to bail after the first hour. Maybe we will do that one again!!

[/QUOTE]Let's try to keep them on the weekends! LOL

Cooperstown · Post by **Cooperstown** » Tue Mar 27, 2007 9:31 am

Originally posted by UFS:

Another Draft fact - First ever DC league - 45 rounds - 5 hrs 15 min That was faster than Chicago League 3. We got our money's worth for sure.