Looking At Current KDS Choices & Preferences Received

[Greg Ambrosius]

Here is New York 2 of the Main Event:

KDS Preferences:
1,3,4,5,2,6,7,8,9,10,13,12,11,15,14
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,3,4,5
1,2,3,6,5,7,4,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,15,14,13,12,11,10,9
2,1,5,4,6,3,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,12,13,14,15,6,7,8,9,10,11
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,5,6,7,8,12,14,15,9,10,11,3,4,13
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
9,10,11,8,7,6,3,2,1,5,4,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15

Choice Order Draft Preference Draft Order
3 2 3

7 6 6


14 14 14

9 8 8

1 1 1

10 7 10

11 11 11

8 7 7

12 12 12

2 2 2

13 13 13

15 9 15

6 5 5

5 1 9

4 4 4

This one didn't fare as well since 13 owners all had No. 1 as their first preference. The average KDS preference received was 6.8, which isn't much better than a full random selection. Two owners got their top preference, but only five owners got a Top 4 preference. Picks 11, 12, 13, 14 and 15 got picks at the back, where nobody else wanted them. Good luck all.

[Greg Ambrosius]

Here is New York 3 of the Main Event:

KDS Preferences:
1,2,3,4,5,6,9,10,7,8,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,6,5,4,7,10,9,8,15,14,13,12,11
1,2,3,4,9,10,8,7,6,5,11,12,13,15,14
1,2,11,12,13,10,14,15,9,8,7,6,5,4,3
1,3,4,2,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,8,9,10,5,11,12,13,14,7,15,6
1,2,3,4,7,8,5,6,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,8,9,10,7,11,12,13,14,15,3,4,5,6
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,7,6,8,9,10,5,4,11,3,12,13,14,15
2,1,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,10,11,12,13,14,15,3,4,5,6,7,8,9

Choice Order Draft Preference Draft Order
1 1 1

14 14 14

7 4 6

11 11 11

2 2 2

4 3 4

15 15 15

3 3 3

12 12 12

6 5 5

10 4 9

9 8 8

8 3 7

13 13 13

5 3 10

Same for this league as 14 owners had Pick 1 as their preferred draft spot. The average KDS preference received was 6.73, again just slightly above a random selection. Only one owner got their top preference, but eight owners did get a Top 4 preference. But picks 11, 12, 13, 14 and 15 got picks they didn't want, a trend we are seeing in 15-team leagues.

[Greg Ambrosius]

Let's look at the Sunday New York Main Event league, where draft spots were announced this morning:

KDS Preferences:
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,10,9,3,4,8,7,6,5,11,12,13,14,15
15,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,10,11,14,13,12,8,9
1,2,4,7,6,8,5,9,10,11,3,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,9,8,7,5,6,10,11,12,13,15,14
1,2,8,7,9,6,5,4,10,11,12,13,14,15,3
1,2,15,4,7,6,8,9,5,3,14,11,10,12,13
1,2,3,4,14,15,13,7,5,8,9,10,11,12,6
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,4,5,6,7,8,9,3,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,7,8,9,6,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,15,10,9,12,11,14,13
8,7,9,6,10,5,11,4,12,3,13,2,14,1,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15

Choice Order Draft Preference Draft Order
15 14 14

14 13 13

9 9 10

13 12 12

4 4 4

1 1 1

6 3 15

3 3 3

10 8 8

2 2 2

12 11 11

8 7 7

5 5 5

11 3 9

7 6 6

Similar results here as the average KDS preference received was 6.73 as 13 owners had No. 1 as their first preference. Five owners got a Top 3 preference, but picks 11, 12, 13 and 14 got among their lowest preferences. Here's one league where pick 15 was actually desired by a couple of owners, with one owner getting that pick as his third preference.

[Greg Ambrosius]

Here's the March 16th Main Event Online League 2:

KDS Preferences:
1,2,5,6,3,4,10,11,9,12,7,8,13,14,15
3,5,6,7,4,8,9,10,11,12,1,2,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,8,9,7,10,11,12,13,15,14,6,5,4,3
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,5,4,3,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,6,7,8,9,3,5,4,10,11,14,15,13,12
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,15,14,13,11,12
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
7,8,9,10,11,12,15,14,13,1,2,3,4,5,6
6,7,5,8,9,1,10,11,12,4,3,2,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,4,5,3,6,8,7,13,14,12,11,15,10,9
3,2,4,1,13,12,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,14,15

Choice Order Draft Preference Draft Order
8 3 9

6 4 6

12 10 10

9 7 7

2 2 15

11 9 11

4 3 4

10 8 8

14 9 13

5 3 5

13 12 12

7 3 3

1 1 1

3 2 2

15 14 14

The average KDS preference received for this league was 6.0 as eight owners got a Top 4 preference. Lowest KDS preferences received in this league were 10, 12 and 14 as 15 was a No. 2 preference for this owner.

[Greg Ambrosius]

Here's the March 16th Online League 1:

KDS Preferences:
1,2,5,6,3,4,10,11,9,12,7,8,13,14,15
3,5,6,7,4,8,9,10,11,12,1,2,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,8,9,7,10,11,12,13,15,14,6,5,4,3
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,5,4,3,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,6,7,8,9,3,5,4,10,11,14,15,13,12
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,15,14,13,11,12
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
7,8,9,10,11,12,15,14,13,1,2,3,4,5,6
6,7,5,8,9,1,10,11,12,4,3,2,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,4,5,3,6,8,7,13,14,12,11,15,10,9
3,2,4,1,13,12,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,14,15

Choice Order Draft Preference Draft Order
10 7 10

11 9 11

1 1 1

12 8 12

7 7 7

3 2 2

8 5 8

5 5 5

9 9 9

6 6 6

15 7 15

13 13 13

4 4 4

14 10 14

2 1 3

Similar results here as the KDS preference received for each owner was 6.27. Two owners got their first preference, while only four owners got a Top 4 preference. The lowest preferences received were 10 and 13, so not as bad as some other leagues.

[Greg Ambrosius]

Last Main Event league from the First Weekend:

KDS Preferences:
1,2,9,8,5,10,7,15,6,4,11,14,12,13,3
1,2,6,5,4,3,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,10,11,12,13,14,15,9,8,6,5,4,7
1,2,7,8,9,10,6,11,12,13,14,15,5,4,3
3,4,5,6,1,2,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,7,8,5,6,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
2,1,7,8,9,14,15,10,11,4,3,5,6,12,13
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,10,11,12,9,8,7,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,8,7,9,10,11,12,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,10,11,12,8,9,13,14,15
5,1,2,6,3,4,7,8,15,10,9,11,12,14,13
1,2,3,4,5,9,8,7,6,12,11,10,13,14,15
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15

2 2 2

5 3 6

3 3 3

1 1 1

11 11 11

14 14 14

10 3 7

12 12 12

9 7 10

13 13 13

8 7 8

4 4 4

6 1 5

7 6 9

15 15 15

Nothing special here as well with the average KDS preference received being 6.8. Two owners got a top preference and seven owners got a Top 4 preference, but owners also got their 11th, 12th, 13th, 14th and 15th preferences in this one. Good luck all.

[Greg Ambrosius]

I don't like to post for other members, but I thought what KJ Duke tweeted out yesterday about our Main Event draft spots was interesting. I'm stealing this from KJ's Twitter account because he deserves credit for this info.

From KJ Duke:

NFBC KDS analysis. Based on posted KDS preferences for this weekend's main event leagues... 11 of every 15 owners changed their draft slot preference from the 1-15 default.
Among those changing from default ... 78% still wanted a top 2 pick.
However, slot# 7 and 8 were the next two desired draft spots, while slot# 3 and 4 fell to middle of the pack.
Translation, after Trout and Betts, drafters don't see a meaningful edge between the next 6 ADP players (J Ramirez, JD Martinez, Acuna, Turner, Arenado and Scherzer).

[mdecav]

After “scoring” a #15 on the first Main Event, I went for #8 on the second one; I got 9.

That had little to do with the players available in the first round; it was about diversifying my choices/availability in the first few rounds.

[Yah Mule]

I don't like to post for other members, but I thought what KJ Duke tweeted out yesterday about our Main Event draft spots was interesting. I'm stealing this from KJ's Twitter account because he deserves credit for this info.

From KJ Duke:

NFBC KDS analysis. Based on posted KDS preferences for this weekend's main event leagues... 11 of every 15 owners changed their draft slot preference from the 1-15 default.
Among those changing from default ... 78% still wanted a top 2 pick.
However, slot# 7 and 8 were the next two desired draft spots, while slot# 3 and 4 fell to middle of the pack.
Translation, after Trout and Betts, drafters don't see a meaningful edge between the next 6 ADP players (J Ramirez, JD Martinez, Acuna, Turner, Arenado and Scherzer).

When I try to game the second round like that, inevitably someone unbelievable falls to the early third round.