Post
by DOUGHBOYS » Sat Nov 28, 2020 6:33 am
You're right that our game has changed. Pitching is being pushed.
I believe it is almost to the point that it is a detriment to some teams.
We project the Hell out of pitchers.
We believe THIS will be the year that the Dodgers let Walker Buehler put on his Big Boy pants and let him pitch a lot of innings.
Even though they have a history of inhibiting (Ryu, Maeda), what they consider tender arms.
So occasionally, we see Buehler in the first round.
Should he be there?
The talent says yes.
The history says no.
We also have a pitcher who is 28 years old next year. He has thrown in five Big League seasons.
This Starter has thrown more than 70 innings just once.
Once.
And has also has struck out 100 hitters once in his career.
Once.
Not 200,... 100.
Yet, he is selected in the third round.
We pocket injury history and project the talent.
Not to mention (although I am) that Glasnow, like Buehler, pitches for a team that pulls Starters (right Mr. Snell?) for no apparent reason.
BUT, Tyler Glasnow has a 10.9 career K/9 percentage.
That percentage, along with an extraordinary 14.3 K/9 percentage from last year, keeps him high in drafts.
Tyler Glasnow has been the Byron Buxton of pitchers.
For some reason, we forgive Pitchers more than hitters.
After all, it wasn't till this year that James Paxton fell out of the top 10 rounds of drafting.
Like Glasnow, he could strike out batters well.
But also like Glasnow, Paxton was better at another skill..... Injury.
Pitchers like Buehler, Glasnow, and others are like trailers to movies. They entice. They leave you wanting more.
Sometimes, the 'regular' baseball folks 'get it' over us fantasy brethren.
Most fantasy enthusiasts project Glasnow to have over 200 strike outs this year.
That...even though he has never had even 150 in his career.
Baseball Reference projects Glasnow to throw 83 innings and have 104 K's.
They see the history. We project the talent.
I'm not berating Glasnow drafters or projectors. This could be THE year. We don't know.
In eight seasons, Paxton had one year of 200 K's and maxed out at 160 innings.
So, it could happen.
I just don't like the odds.
On my tombstone-
Wait! I never had the perfect draft!
So who's ready to donate to the cause? I know this one is up early and it will fill fast, and also feel like an eternity before it gets rolling a week from today, but it will be well worth the wait! The sign-up list is below, and most of you all know the drill by now. Hit me up and let's get ready to work off the tryptophan malaise as we punch another one into the books for the 2021 MLB Season. 
I demand a re-randomization of this league! 
