ADP...Good or Bad?
Posted: Fri Feb 19, 2010 5:51 am
We draft like criminals. We want to get away clean, with the most we can get away with. Adp helps us as a determining factor in how we can make our getaway with players we covet. But adp is determined by satelites and Mocks. Venues that are rookie laden.
For the most part, they build up our confidence that "our guy" is going to be there in the x round. Trouble is, that five other sharks at that Main Event table have the same thoughts.
Each draft is different, we all know that. Some times during the draft, we realize that we're going to go to plan B, then plan C. It is the nature of the beast. Adp becomes secondary and the construction of the team becomes primary.
Adp gives us a false sense of security. But, we are numbers guys, and in a few cases, some numbers are better than no numbers. Not in this case.
ADP makes us feel good about getting Chipper Jones in the 15th round, makes us feel like we got gypped with Milton Bradley in that same 15th round. If Bradley goes on to have a better year, few will remember who won the adp war.
Few will remember where they drafted Wang last year, heck, he could have been a VALUE pick No, they will probably only remember how he screwed them.
ADP can be a useful tool. But, KNOW how the adp was formulated.
Unfortunatly for us, the best adp report will come too late, the one tabulaing the Main Event Drafts.
For the most part, they build up our confidence that "our guy" is going to be there in the x round. Trouble is, that five other sharks at that Main Event table have the same thoughts.
Each draft is different, we all know that. Some times during the draft, we realize that we're going to go to plan B, then plan C. It is the nature of the beast. Adp becomes secondary and the construction of the team becomes primary.
Adp gives us a false sense of security. But, we are numbers guys, and in a few cases, some numbers are better than no numbers. Not in this case.
ADP makes us feel good about getting Chipper Jones in the 15th round, makes us feel like we got gypped with Milton Bradley in that same 15th round. If Bradley goes on to have a better year, few will remember who won the adp war.
Few will remember where they drafted Wang last year, heck, he could have been a VALUE pick No, they will probably only remember how he screwed them.
ADP can be a useful tool. But, KNOW how the adp was formulated.
Unfortunatly for us, the best adp report will come too late, the one tabulaing the Main Event Drafts.
