Ubaldo Stinks
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mallorys killers
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Ubaldo Stinks
Not sure he's been the same since his no-no last year. Someone else can look it up but I believe he threw 145 pitches or so that game.
Richard Kulaski
Fairview, TN
Fairview, TN
Ubaldo Stinks
Originally posted by rkulaski:
Not sure he's been the same since his no-no last year. Someone else can look it up but I believe he threw 145 pitches or so that game. No hitter in April he tossed 128 and continued to pitch very well for the next 2 months. On the last day of May he again went 128 pitches and had an 0.78/ 0.90 era/whip at that point, walking 2.9 per 9ip.
Since then ... 4.53/ 1.35 and bb 4.6 per 9.
So were those 2 months of 2010 a fluke, or has something mentally or physically changed since then?
Not sure he's been the same since his no-no last year. Someone else can look it up but I believe he threw 145 pitches or so that game. No hitter in April he tossed 128 and continued to pitch very well for the next 2 months. On the last day of May he again went 128 pitches and had an 0.78/ 0.90 era/whip at that point, walking 2.9 per 9ip.
Since then ... 4.53/ 1.35 and bb 4.6 per 9.
So were those 2 months of 2010 a fluke, or has something mentally or physically changed since then?
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Edwards Kings
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Ubaldo Stinks
I have always been concerned about his walk rate. Just as KJ pointed out, BB rate under 3.0, batters have to take their bats off their shoulders and try to hit Ubaldo's choice pitches. Higher walk rate, hitters are in the cat-bird seat. Sit back an wait for the groove pitch.
Nothing new, but I just do not think it is a real injury (one may "appear" so he can get straightened out in AAA). Somehow reminds me of Russ Ortiz in his "prime". Keep the walks at 100 or a little south for the year, and you are golden.
Nothing new, but I just do not think it is a real injury (one may "appear" so he can get straightened out in AAA). Somehow reminds me of Russ Ortiz in his "prime". Keep the walks at 100 or a little south for the year, and you are golden.
Baseball is a slow, boring, complex, cerebral game that doesn't lend itself to histrionics. You 'take in' a baseball game, something odd to say about a football or basketball game, with the clock running and the bodies flying.
Charles Krauthammer
Charles Krauthammer
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Hells Satans
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Ubaldo Stinks
Originally posted by KJ Duke:
quote:Originally posted by rkulaski:
Not sure he's been the same since his no-no last year. Someone else can look it up but I believe he threw 145 pitches or so that game. No hitter in April he tossed 128 and continued to pitch very well for the next 2 months. On the last day of May he again went 128 pitches and had an 0.78/ 0.90 era/whip at that point, walking 2.9 per 9ip.
Since then ... 4.53/ 1.35 and bb 4.6 per 9.
So were those 2 months of 2010 a fluke, or has something mentally or physically changed since then? [/QUOTE]The first two months of last year were absolutely a fluke in many ways. His LOB rate in April and May was 91.7% and 93.1%. That's both insane and impossible to come anywhere close to on a consistent basis. Equally unsustainable were the BABIPs of .253 and .205 in those months. Those numbers are so far out in the extreme (especially for someone who pitches in Coors where the BABIP is always significantly higher because it is so big) that regression was inevitable.
That doesn't explain why he sucks though. This year there are two reasons, I think, beyond normal regression (and the fact that we're talking about 30 innings, which doesn't mean much):
(1) The BB rate is terrible.
(2) HIs GB rate is down to 37.5%, which is hard to believe. In 2009 it was 53%. Last year it was 49%. More flyballs = more homeruns and more BBs and more homeruns = bad news. HIs HR/9 is almost 3x last year.
Combined with the fact that his average FB is down to 92.7 from 96.1 last year and I think he's either hurt or has a serious mechanical flaw that is affecting his velocity and his ability to get sink on his FB.
quote:Originally posted by rkulaski:
Not sure he's been the same since his no-no last year. Someone else can look it up but I believe he threw 145 pitches or so that game. No hitter in April he tossed 128 and continued to pitch very well for the next 2 months. On the last day of May he again went 128 pitches and had an 0.78/ 0.90 era/whip at that point, walking 2.9 per 9ip.
Since then ... 4.53/ 1.35 and bb 4.6 per 9.
So were those 2 months of 2010 a fluke, or has something mentally or physically changed since then? [/QUOTE]The first two months of last year were absolutely a fluke in many ways. His LOB rate in April and May was 91.7% and 93.1%. That's both insane and impossible to come anywhere close to on a consistent basis. Equally unsustainable were the BABIPs of .253 and .205 in those months. Those numbers are so far out in the extreme (especially for someone who pitches in Coors where the BABIP is always significantly higher because it is so big) that regression was inevitable.
That doesn't explain why he sucks though. This year there are two reasons, I think, beyond normal regression (and the fact that we're talking about 30 innings, which doesn't mean much):
(1) The BB rate is terrible.
(2) HIs GB rate is down to 37.5%, which is hard to believe. In 2009 it was 53%. Last year it was 49%. More flyballs = more homeruns and more BBs and more homeruns = bad news. HIs HR/9 is almost 3x last year.
Combined with the fact that his average FB is down to 92.7 from 96.1 last year and I think he's either hurt or has a serious mechanical flaw that is affecting his velocity and his ability to get sink on his FB.