the value of a round

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bjoak
Posts: 2564
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 6:00 pm

the value of a round

Post by bjoak » Sun Nov 19, 2006 9:04 pm

Here is an interesting question:



In the mock I was frustrated in the 5-6 rounds because it seemed all the premiere pitchers were taken. Now getting in the latter half of round 7 there seem to be plenty of solid maybe second tier pitchers and it makes me wonder how you can get more value. In other words let's assume you can get the same value from 2 pichers in rounds 4-5 as from 3 pitchers in rounds 7-9 and you wanted to do one or the other. What is the more efficient way to go? I guess maybe the answer is to say what hitters/closers you can get in those rounds and see what they're worth.



To simplify things, how about this: if you could, would you trade your 4-5-6 picks for an extra 1 and 2 pick, or more to the point, a 7-8-9 pick for an extra 4 and 5?
Chance favors the prepared mind.

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Edwards Kings
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Location: Duluth, Georgia

the value of a round

Post by Edwards Kings » Mon Nov 20, 2006 12:55 am

Interesting concept. On the choice of four picks in the first two rounds and not have another pick until the seventh, it would be great as far as the bats go. If you used the pick to get a pitcher that would normally go in the fourth or fifth, then you've wasted an opportunity. Since the "First Tier" closers go round four and five (generally over the last couple of years), your at risk in that category and using second tier closers until you can score in the FAAB (which is possible). So, taking the extra picks in the first two rounds, score big for offense and play catch-up in pitching.



The less risk would appear to be taking the extra fourth and fifth and forgoing picks until ten. The second five of a draft have less "sure thing" impact players (i.e. fourty home-run power, 40 stolen bases thought Podsednik is still available in our Mock). With the four picks in two rounds get say two stud SP and an anchor closer plus good bat, I think you could live ok as at least 45 players exit the pool before your next pick.



If I had to choose, I would take the extra fourth and fifth rounder.
Baseball is a slow, boring, complex, cerebral game that doesn't lend itself to histrionics. You 'take in' a baseball game, something odd to say about a football or basketball game, with the clock running and the bodies flying.
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