Good enough to play in NFBC?

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overyourshoulder
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by overyourshoulder » Mon Jan 07, 2008 3:26 pm

Am I good enough to play in the NFBC? Here is my mock draft that I just completed. I picked #10 in a 15 team league. Mock draft central predicted a 6th place finish.



1. Texiera - 1B

2. Beltran - OF

3. Figgins - 3B

4. Papelbon - CL

5. Wells - OF

6. Tejada - SS

7. F. Hernandez - SP

8. D. Young - OF

9. Gordon - CI

10. Cain - SP

11. Johnson - 2B

12. Jered Weaver - SP

13. Guillen - OF

14. Hill - MI

15. Accardo - CL

16. Bailey - SP

17. Butler - UT

18. Garland - SP

19. Duncan - OF

20. Suzuki - C

21. Doumit - C

22. Wood - RP

23. Danks - SP



Would be interested in your thoughts, thanks. Be gentle now!



[ January 07, 2008, 09:55 PM: Message edited by: overyourshoulder ]

sportsbettingman
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by sportsbettingman » Mon Jan 07, 2008 4:19 pm

Yes!



Get out of that snow and into the sun of Vegas!



~Lance
"The only reason for time is so that everything doesn't happen at once."

~Albert Einstein

bjoak
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by bjoak » Mon Jan 07, 2008 4:49 pm

It really depends who you picked against. If it was against a bunch of the dummy teams mdc throws out there, your team should really end up looking well above average.
Chance favors the prepared mind.

Chest Rockwell
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by Chest Rockwell » Mon Jan 07, 2008 4:59 pm

I think you did just fine except round one- why Tex who I like that early- at pick 10 a Crawford, Soriano, Howard, or Miggy Cabrera makes a lot more sense to me.

overyourshoulder
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by overyourshoulder » Tue Jan 08, 2008 5:22 am

Originally posted by Chest Rockwell:

I think you did just fine except round one- why Tex who I like that early- at pick 10 a Crawford, Soriano, Howard, or Miggy Cabrera makes a lot more sense to me. Cabrera went at #8. I took Tex over Howard because I think they will put up similar numbers but Tex will deliver a higher average. I passed on Soriano and Crawford because the differences in HR and RBI will not equal the benefits of their SB so I put more value on Tex. I was also planning to pick up Figgins to give me SB and average and I may have reached for him at #3 but I think he was worth it. That is my reasoning.

Richie
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by Richie » Tue Jan 08, 2008 5:57 am

You can get Atkins with 3rd round pick so getting Crawford, and Atkins in 1 and 3 seems better than Tex and Figgins. But its really personal preference. no doubt Beltran at #2 was the right pick

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Captain Hook
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by Captain Hook » Tue Jan 08, 2008 6:23 am

Looks to me like you have plenty of knowledge to join the NFBC - come down to Vegas, meet the folks and Greg will buy you a beer or three....

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Edwards Kings
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by Edwards Kings » Tue Jan 08, 2008 6:42 am

Before ever looking at your team I would say yes. Just because some of us have been here before and SOUND like we know what we are doing doesn't mean we really do! :D



Everyone has an equal chance. See you in Orlando/Vegas/NYC/Chicago.
Baseball is a slow, boring, complex, cerebral game that doesn't lend itself to histrionics. You 'take in' a baseball game, something odd to say about a football or basketball game, with the clock running and the bodies flying.
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Gordon Gekko
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by Gordon Gekko » Tue Jan 08, 2008 6:46 am

you are putting a lot of faith in YOUNG SP. usually the hype is better than the actual production for young'ns.

overyourshoulder
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by overyourshoulder » Tue Jan 08, 2008 7:38 am

Originally posted by Gordon Gekko:

you are putting a lot of faith in YOUNG SP. usually the hype is better than the actual production for young'ns. A very good observation, a man after my own heart! The problem was that I wanted to hold off on starting pitching but still get an ACE but things did not go as well as I would have hoped. There got to be a pitching run in round 4 and I did not want to jump in at that point. Here is what transpired on the SP front:



2.1 - Santana

2.5 - Peavy

3.6 - Bedard

4.4 - Webb

4.5 - Beckett

4.6 - I took Papelbon - wanted a top notch closer

4.7 - Lackey

4.8 -Young

4.12 - Hamel

4.13 - Sabathia

4.15 - Zambrano

5.2 - Haren

5.7 - Verlander

5.13 - Oswalt



Since I took Figgins at 3 and Papelbon at 4 I figured I needed more hitting before I went SP. That is my logic and I am sticking to it.



The way I see it, drafts are like life, you have to give up something to get something. As they they taught me in economics class, it is all about opportunity cost.



[ January 08, 2008, 01:39 PM: Message edited by: overyourshoulder ]

Chest Rockwell
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by Chest Rockwell » Tue Jan 08, 2008 7:53 am

I think I saw where Mock Draft Central is going to sell the draft avg picks and related info from the satellite leagues? If so I would suggest buying it- it will give you a lot better sense of where folks should go than these mocks which IMO are worthless and dangerous if you get too confident that certain guys will for sure still be there at certain spots.



Overall a nice start still not sure I agree with your Tex and Figgins to Crawford and Atkins logic but that would be splitting hairs at this point. You seem to have a fine grasp on how you have to think to win in this contest.

overyourshoulder
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by overyourshoulder » Tue Jan 08, 2008 7:59 am

Thanks everyone, I really appreciate your comments, particularly to someone that has not signed up to play as yet. I hope that things work out and I can at least join a satellite league. Good luck everyone.

Lunatic
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by Lunatic » Tue Jan 08, 2008 9:46 am

I agree with Rockwell; don't put too much stock in these early mock drafts; it depends on the level of your competition. In other words, don't thin the team you mock drafted will be the team you get when you draft for real. I also agree with the guy who wondered why Tex at 10? Sign up for Vegas, the experience is so much greater than a mock draft.
Your actions speak so loud, I can't hear a word you're saying...Ralph Waldo Emerson

godfather's dean's list
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Good enough to play in NFBC?

Post by godfather's dean's list » Mon Feb 25, 2008 11:59 am

luny (frank here); while not one of the experts in the art of the mock draft, i can't see why that team wouldn't have a shot; so guys are surprised at the teix pick...so what? it goes against the grain, but what if he's a fave of yours and/or you expect that his career year looms? if you don't pick him under those circumstances, you're a sheep...mock, crock...have fun...you can always borrow from sack

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