Stars...Duds...And the in Between
Posted: Sat Jan 16, 2016 10:27 am
Are you a 'Stars and Studs' drafter or do you like to get a balanced team?
We usually think of auctions when choosing between the two.
What if we had a draft where we could take 'Stars and Duds' or average players in a 50 round DC format?
I'm not proposing that we do such a draft.
This is more of an exercise in which camp, you as individual drafter would have your allegiance.
The premise would be as follows.
Seven drafters would see a limited pool of Stars and Duds.
They would draft players whose ADP's are 1-188 and 565-750
Seven drafters would pick only from ADP's of 189-564
And one drafter would pick as we pick now.
If choosing 'Stars and Duds', we are 'front loading' our team. On paper, it may look better than most.
Unfortunately, the season has to start.
Like a new car off the lot, the team starts depreciating with injury and under performance.
But, shooting Stars can carry those falling Stars.
If there is too much flickering among the Stars, the duds offer little help.
If choosing the middle, your roster is more balanced.
But really, is it?
You'll have 50 players.
50 reliable (in our minds) players.
Some will over achieve and may even become a Star.
Some, like the Stars will fade or get hurt.
Then, there is the guy drafting as we do now.
We already know those advantages and disadvantages.
So, which group would you pick?
Who would win more often or have the better chance of winning?
The answer may tell you something about yourself.
We usually think of auctions when choosing between the two.
What if we had a draft where we could take 'Stars and Duds' or average players in a 50 round DC format?
I'm not proposing that we do such a draft.
This is more of an exercise in which camp, you as individual drafter would have your allegiance.
The premise would be as follows.
Seven drafters would see a limited pool of Stars and Duds.
They would draft players whose ADP's are 1-188 and 565-750
Seven drafters would pick only from ADP's of 189-564
And one drafter would pick as we pick now.
If choosing 'Stars and Duds', we are 'front loading' our team. On paper, it may look better than most.
Unfortunately, the season has to start.
Like a new car off the lot, the team starts depreciating with injury and under performance.
But, shooting Stars can carry those falling Stars.
If there is too much flickering among the Stars, the duds offer little help.
If choosing the middle, your roster is more balanced.
But really, is it?
You'll have 50 players.
50 reliable (in our minds) players.
Some will over achieve and may even become a Star.
Some, like the Stars will fade or get hurt.
Then, there is the guy drafting as we do now.
We already know those advantages and disadvantages.
So, which group would you pick?
Who would win more often or have the better chance of winning?
The answer may tell you something about yourself.