A Sabr Victory
Posted: Mon Jul 08, 2019 9:51 am
It was the 10th inning and the Yankees had already scored a run in extra innings against the home team, Tampa Bay Rays. The reliever who gave up that run, Ryne Stanek, was still in the game. There were two outs, runners on second and third and left handed Brett Gardner at the plate. In the on deck circle was Gary Sanchez. In seven at bats, Sanchez has never gotten a hit or even solid wood against Stanek.
The situation cried for Stanek to pitch around Gardner or intentionally walk him.
I was watching, and having Gardner on some important teams, I, of course, was rooting for the Rays to pitch to Gardner.
Looking at this situation through a sabermetric eye, Gardner could do little wrong. Sabrs love their walks. They do not break down walks, like Statcasts does with each hit in having a trajectory and bat speed.
Nope, to sabrs, all walks are gold. Even when a pitcher intentionally walks a batter, the batter inflates his OBP. In what can only be described as defensive manipulation, sabrs reward these walkers with brownie points for taking their base.
In todays game, OBP is dominated by sluggers. It is not that sluggers, necessarily, have a better eye than other players. It is that sluggers are the types that pitchers want to avoid 'grooving' a pitch, so they'll see less strikes than say, Dee Gordon types.
Sabrs don't get this and laud the OBP. I have the belief that most sabrs were stuffed into lockers as kids. Usually at the hands of Jocks.
These sabrs tried to play Little League and when they did, they hit ninth. Hitting ninth, they would constantly hear this from their coach....
"A WALK IS AS GOOD AS A HIT!"
For those kids batting ninth, it was a way to contribute to the team. For the Coach, it was a way to imply that the ninth hitter need not swing and embarrass himself. Not to mention, the automatic out that occurred when swinging.
These ninth-hitting kids, of course, grew up and now they are pushing what their coaches pushed on them. That, no matter what, a walk is a good thing in baseball.
Sabrs champion a certain first baseman in Cincinnati (I promised that I wouldn't mention his name till the year's over).
But now that that hitter is no longer feared due to underproduction, voila, he doesn't walk as much.
Its happened to every good hitter fighting age.
The fear factor disappears.
Albert Pujols walked an average of 90 times while playing with St. Louis.
With the Angels, Pujols has walked a little over 40 times a year.
Nothing happened to Pujols eye. It's still keen.
He is just not the threat with the Angels that he was with the Cardinals.
In most cases, as in Pujols, OBP causes a good OBP.
That is to say, Over Blown Production (OBP) always makes for a good OBP (On Base Percentage)
Superstar players have OBP so they have a good OBP.
As fantasy players, we hate walks.
We hate 'em when our pitcher allows them. We hate 'em when our hitter receives them.
Unless our player can run and steal a base, a walk is a real pain in the ass.
A walk necessitates us to root for that player to score. And even if scoring, he does so by a probable hit and rbi from somebody that we are trying to beat in our league. A lose-lose situation.
There is nothing worse than a roto writer trying to make a base on balls look good to me.
"Brett Gardner went 2-for-4 and reached base three times WITH A WALK and scored a run on Friday"
BFD!
THAT, is what his roto write-up would have looked like had Stanek walked Gardner.
He didn't. Stanek pitched to Gardner. He hit a home run.
Here is what the blurb said....
"Brett Gardner went 3-for-5 with a three-run homer and two runs scored in an extra-inning win over the Rays on Friday."
Better!
It is my belief that ninth-hitting kids, while spending overnights in lockers at their schools, plotted and devised a plan that would take over baseball statistically.
They grew up and Championed what their coach yearned for, the base on balls.
Calling themselves, sabermetricians, to sound smarter, they infiltrated the world of the jock.
The same jocks that had stuffed them in lockers.
They took a little known stat, OBP, and made it larger than life.
They sold OBP to scribes, broadcasters, even to fantasy sites.
They even made us believe that a walk to our hitter was a good thing!
Some batting average fantasy leagues even turning to OBP leagues.
These nerds made Adam Dunn a Star!
These same nerds want us to still love Mookie Betts. Even put him on a pedestal as we did last year, when drafting him ahead and just behind Mike Trout.
They say there is nothing wrong with Mookie Betts.
After all, Mookie is second in baseball in drawing walks!
His OBP is near .400, they cry!
They say that Betts is on pace for well over 100 base on balls. He's never done that before! Awesome!
He has more walks than strike outs! Hooray!
Meanwhile, in the real world that we call fantasy, Betts is a disappointment.
He has stolen just 10 bases.
Only hit 13 homers.
Betts is not seeing the strikes that he did last year.
He is seeing balls. And after seeing balls, he is not stealing much.
In our world, that blows.
But somewhere, born out of a locker years ago, there are smiles.
Smiles because Betts is doing what a coach told that locker-bound kid to do so many years ago.
Walk.
In their world, a victory.
For us, aggravation.
Fantasy writers are still fooled by the base on balls.
They'll print that a batter walked three times and scored a run as if gold.
Meanwhile, the batter who has three strike outs and a solo homer is treated with a bit of scorn.
Yet, the ladder helped us in three categories.
The former, one.
The nerds forgot to Champion what they did when they did swing. Striking out!
Give them time......
They'll come up with something.
The situation cried for Stanek to pitch around Gardner or intentionally walk him.
I was watching, and having Gardner on some important teams, I, of course, was rooting for the Rays to pitch to Gardner.
Looking at this situation through a sabermetric eye, Gardner could do little wrong. Sabrs love their walks. They do not break down walks, like Statcasts does with each hit in having a trajectory and bat speed.
Nope, to sabrs, all walks are gold. Even when a pitcher intentionally walks a batter, the batter inflates his OBP. In what can only be described as defensive manipulation, sabrs reward these walkers with brownie points for taking their base.
In todays game, OBP is dominated by sluggers. It is not that sluggers, necessarily, have a better eye than other players. It is that sluggers are the types that pitchers want to avoid 'grooving' a pitch, so they'll see less strikes than say, Dee Gordon types.
Sabrs don't get this and laud the OBP. I have the belief that most sabrs were stuffed into lockers as kids. Usually at the hands of Jocks.
These sabrs tried to play Little League and when they did, they hit ninth. Hitting ninth, they would constantly hear this from their coach....
"A WALK IS AS GOOD AS A HIT!"
For those kids batting ninth, it was a way to contribute to the team. For the Coach, it was a way to imply that the ninth hitter need not swing and embarrass himself. Not to mention, the automatic out that occurred when swinging.
These ninth-hitting kids, of course, grew up and now they are pushing what their coaches pushed on them. That, no matter what, a walk is a good thing in baseball.
Sabrs champion a certain first baseman in Cincinnati (I promised that I wouldn't mention his name till the year's over).
But now that that hitter is no longer feared due to underproduction, voila, he doesn't walk as much.
Its happened to every good hitter fighting age.
The fear factor disappears.
Albert Pujols walked an average of 90 times while playing with St. Louis.
With the Angels, Pujols has walked a little over 40 times a year.
Nothing happened to Pujols eye. It's still keen.
He is just not the threat with the Angels that he was with the Cardinals.
In most cases, as in Pujols, OBP causes a good OBP.
That is to say, Over Blown Production (OBP) always makes for a good OBP (On Base Percentage)
Superstar players have OBP so they have a good OBP.
As fantasy players, we hate walks.
We hate 'em when our pitcher allows them. We hate 'em when our hitter receives them.
Unless our player can run and steal a base, a walk is a real pain in the ass.
A walk necessitates us to root for that player to score. And even if scoring, he does so by a probable hit and rbi from somebody that we are trying to beat in our league. A lose-lose situation.
There is nothing worse than a roto writer trying to make a base on balls look good to me.
"Brett Gardner went 2-for-4 and reached base three times WITH A WALK and scored a run on Friday"
BFD!
THAT, is what his roto write-up would have looked like had Stanek walked Gardner.
He didn't. Stanek pitched to Gardner. He hit a home run.
Here is what the blurb said....
"Brett Gardner went 3-for-5 with a three-run homer and two runs scored in an extra-inning win over the Rays on Friday."
Better!
It is my belief that ninth-hitting kids, while spending overnights in lockers at their schools, plotted and devised a plan that would take over baseball statistically.
They grew up and Championed what their coach yearned for, the base on balls.
Calling themselves, sabermetricians, to sound smarter, they infiltrated the world of the jock.
The same jocks that had stuffed them in lockers.
They took a little known stat, OBP, and made it larger than life.
They sold OBP to scribes, broadcasters, even to fantasy sites.
They even made us believe that a walk to our hitter was a good thing!
Some batting average fantasy leagues even turning to OBP leagues.
These nerds made Adam Dunn a Star!
These same nerds want us to still love Mookie Betts. Even put him on a pedestal as we did last year, when drafting him ahead and just behind Mike Trout.
They say there is nothing wrong with Mookie Betts.
After all, Mookie is second in baseball in drawing walks!
His OBP is near .400, they cry!
They say that Betts is on pace for well over 100 base on balls. He's never done that before! Awesome!
He has more walks than strike outs! Hooray!
Meanwhile, in the real world that we call fantasy, Betts is a disappointment.
He has stolen just 10 bases.
Only hit 13 homers.
Betts is not seeing the strikes that he did last year.
He is seeing balls. And after seeing balls, he is not stealing much.
In our world, that blows.
But somewhere, born out of a locker years ago, there are smiles.
Smiles because Betts is doing what a coach told that locker-bound kid to do so many years ago.
Walk.
In their world, a victory.
For us, aggravation.
Fantasy writers are still fooled by the base on balls.
They'll print that a batter walked three times and scored a run as if gold.
Meanwhile, the batter who has three strike outs and a solo homer is treated with a bit of scorn.
Yet, the ladder helped us in three categories.
The former, one.
The nerds forgot to Champion what they did when they did swing. Striking out!
Give them time......
They'll come up with something.