Stuff
Posted: Wed May 06, 2020 10:57 am
Did stolen bases dry up in 2019?
Yes.
For the first time since 1972, there was NOT an average of a stolen base a game.
Before Babe Ruth and the live ball, games averaged more than two stolen bases per game.
Is last years pace of stolen bases record breaking?
No.
During the 1950's, there was little interest in stealing bases.
The average for a stolen base was close to one every TWO games.
In 1920, batters struck out over 7,000 times
In 1934, over 8,000 times
In 1937, over 9,000 times
It wasn't till 1952 that it would reach 10,000 strike outs.
1960 saw 12,000 strike outs
1969 broke the 20,000 barrier.
Through the 70's, 80's and half of the 90's, strike outs stayed between 20,000 and 27,000 strike outs.
The steroid era changed that.
Over 30,000 strike outs became the norm.
Now, we are on a strike out streak.
Strike outs have risen 15 straight years.
In 2017, the 40,000 mark was broken with 40,104 K's.
2018, 41,207
2019, 42,823
If increasing by the same amount over the next full year, it will be the first time in baseball history, that teams will average striking out nine times per game. Or once per inning.
Were there more home runs last year?
Yes.
When Babe Ruth hit 60 homers in 1927, it was a treat for fans.
That year, those fans saw an average of less than a homer per game. Even with the Babe's stats.
In fact, fans couldn't expect a homer per game until integration in 1947.
40 Years later in 1987, two homers a game were produced.
In 2017, 2 1/2 homers per game.
Now, close to three per game.
Are we scoring more runs?
Not really.
With a couple of exceptions during the steroid era, teams have been scoring an average of four to five runs a game since the 1970's.
You would think the home runs increase would change run output, but it hasn't.
Why?
Because with the rise of home runs comes the rise of SOLO home runs.
It has replaced the 'rally'.
1930 was the best hitters year in baseball.
Players AVERAGED hitting .296
1930 set a record for most homers too, but it was the paltry sum of just over one homer a game.
Rallies, along with the increase in homers delighted fans with over 11 runs scored per game.
Has Sabremetrics and their love for the OBP changed our game in that way?
No.
At least, if looking for increases or decreases.
Since 2010, OBP has never seen a year under .314 or a year over .325
OBP has been a constant.
1968, the 'Year of the Pitcher', OBP fell to .299
Since then, it has remained between .300 and .345
We saw 785 triples last year.
The least in any full season since 1972.
The triple is dying.
Many factors play into this.
Singles hitters in baseball have all but evaporated. For singles hitters, a triple was their 'home run'.
Ball parks are bringing fences in. Less space in the outfield means that fielders get to the ball quicker.
And worse, the modern player admires most balls struck deeply.
This takes vital seconds when realizing the ball stayed in the park.
Most modern players are more than happy to 'settle' for a double rather than hustle out a triple.
1930 changed one other thing. The Sacrifice.
1930 was the last year that fans would see two sacrifices per game.
With hitting so easy, why sacrifice an out?
Sabermetricains feel much the same way.
Here is where they have had an impact.
We hardly see a sacrifice any longer.
In 2019, teams sacrificed an average of once every six games. A record low.
Sacrifices are as seldom seen as a triple.
There were 776 Sacrifices, 785 triples.
The 1960's was 'The Golden Era' of baseball.
Mays, Aaron, Robinson. Kaline, Carew, Brock, Banks, McCovey, Mantle,,,the list goes on.
Until this era, pitchers were more than happy to face each batter except maybe a Ruth, Gehrig, Foxx, or Williams.
During the Golden Era, Intentional Base on Balls set records.
It would be the first time we would see more than 1,000 Intentional Walks in a year.
This practice would continue until our modern day.
That is until pitchers (and Managers) figured out that these players had home run fever and little else.
In 2014, we saw less intentional walks since the 1960's. Less than 1,000.
They've been headed south since.
Last year, only 753 Intentional Walks were given.
That's right, for the first time in this century, we saw less Intentional Walks than Triples or Sacrifices.
Individually, four players led the league with 10 triples.
Three played at the same venue, Merrifield, Escobar, and Dozier with Eduardo Escobar also reaching that total with Arizona.
Clayton Kershaw led baseball with 15 Sacrifices.
And Cody Bellinger was Intentionally Walked 21 times.
Which brings a smile to my face in knowing that Batting Champion, Tim Anderson walked 15 times all year.
Yes.
For the first time since 1972, there was NOT an average of a stolen base a game.
Before Babe Ruth and the live ball, games averaged more than two stolen bases per game.
Is last years pace of stolen bases record breaking?
No.
During the 1950's, there was little interest in stealing bases.
The average for a stolen base was close to one every TWO games.
In 1920, batters struck out over 7,000 times
In 1934, over 8,000 times
In 1937, over 9,000 times
It wasn't till 1952 that it would reach 10,000 strike outs.
1960 saw 12,000 strike outs
1969 broke the 20,000 barrier.
Through the 70's, 80's and half of the 90's, strike outs stayed between 20,000 and 27,000 strike outs.
The steroid era changed that.
Over 30,000 strike outs became the norm.
Now, we are on a strike out streak.
Strike outs have risen 15 straight years.
In 2017, the 40,000 mark was broken with 40,104 K's.
2018, 41,207
2019, 42,823
If increasing by the same amount over the next full year, it will be the first time in baseball history, that teams will average striking out nine times per game. Or once per inning.
Were there more home runs last year?
Yes.
When Babe Ruth hit 60 homers in 1927, it was a treat for fans.
That year, those fans saw an average of less than a homer per game. Even with the Babe's stats.
In fact, fans couldn't expect a homer per game until integration in 1947.
40 Years later in 1987, two homers a game were produced.
In 2017, 2 1/2 homers per game.
Now, close to three per game.
Are we scoring more runs?
Not really.
With a couple of exceptions during the steroid era, teams have been scoring an average of four to five runs a game since the 1970's.
You would think the home runs increase would change run output, but it hasn't.
Why?
Because with the rise of home runs comes the rise of SOLO home runs.
It has replaced the 'rally'.
1930 was the best hitters year in baseball.
Players AVERAGED hitting .296
1930 set a record for most homers too, but it was the paltry sum of just over one homer a game.
Rallies, along with the increase in homers delighted fans with over 11 runs scored per game.
Has Sabremetrics and their love for the OBP changed our game in that way?
No.
At least, if looking for increases or decreases.
Since 2010, OBP has never seen a year under .314 or a year over .325
OBP has been a constant.
1968, the 'Year of the Pitcher', OBP fell to .299
Since then, it has remained between .300 and .345
We saw 785 triples last year.
The least in any full season since 1972.
The triple is dying.
Many factors play into this.
Singles hitters in baseball have all but evaporated. For singles hitters, a triple was their 'home run'.
Ball parks are bringing fences in. Less space in the outfield means that fielders get to the ball quicker.
And worse, the modern player admires most balls struck deeply.
This takes vital seconds when realizing the ball stayed in the park.
Most modern players are more than happy to 'settle' for a double rather than hustle out a triple.
1930 changed one other thing. The Sacrifice.
1930 was the last year that fans would see two sacrifices per game.
With hitting so easy, why sacrifice an out?
Sabermetricains feel much the same way.
Here is where they have had an impact.
We hardly see a sacrifice any longer.
In 2019, teams sacrificed an average of once every six games. A record low.
Sacrifices are as seldom seen as a triple.
There were 776 Sacrifices, 785 triples.
The 1960's was 'The Golden Era' of baseball.
Mays, Aaron, Robinson. Kaline, Carew, Brock, Banks, McCovey, Mantle,,,the list goes on.
Until this era, pitchers were more than happy to face each batter except maybe a Ruth, Gehrig, Foxx, or Williams.
During the Golden Era, Intentional Base on Balls set records.
It would be the first time we would see more than 1,000 Intentional Walks in a year.
This practice would continue until our modern day.
That is until pitchers (and Managers) figured out that these players had home run fever and little else.
In 2014, we saw less intentional walks since the 1960's. Less than 1,000.
They've been headed south since.
Last year, only 753 Intentional Walks were given.
That's right, for the first time in this century, we saw less Intentional Walks than Triples or Sacrifices.
Individually, four players led the league with 10 triples.
Three played at the same venue, Merrifield, Escobar, and Dozier with Eduardo Escobar also reaching that total with Arizona.
Clayton Kershaw led baseball with 15 Sacrifices.
And Cody Bellinger was Intentionally Walked 21 times.
Which brings a smile to my face in knowing that Batting Champion, Tim Anderson walked 15 times all year.