Time For Live Chats?

Gordon Gekko · Post by **Gordon Gekko** » Thu Jan 31, 2008 2:45 pm

Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

Greg, I'll give it a shot on February 6th. 1st question, will you draft according to your "published" rankings?

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Thu Jan 31, 2008 2:56 pm

Originally posted by Gordon Gekko:

quote:Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

Greg, I'll give it a shot on February 6th. 1st question, will you draft according to your "published" rankings? [/QUOTE]I will have the players listed in those rankings.

I started listing those players in early October. Some players will move up and others will move down. You need to have the players in some reasonable order when it come to draft day. I think I have put them in some sort of order where I can look at a group of names and make a quick decision on who I need to draft at each position.

Gordon Gekko · Post by **Gordon Gekko** » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:39 pm

Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

Greg, I'll give it a shot on February 6th. in your role as an "expert" for the baseballmafia site, have you revealed any Shawn Childs “trade secrets”? If so, do you think it will create a bunch of Shawn Childs clones and ultimately hinder your chances of NFBC success?

Gordon Gekko · Post by **Gordon Gekko** » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:40 pm

Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

I started listing those players in early October. Some players will move up and others will move down. can we get a preview of pudge's ranking?

Greg Ambrosius · Post by **Greg Ambrosius** » Thu Jan 31, 2008 4:36 pm

Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

Greg, I'll give it a shot on February 6th. You're hired. I'll have Tom get you set up for next week. I trust we'll have some fun with this Shawn.

Quahogs · Post by **Quahogs** » Thu Jan 31, 2008 4:38 pm

What does the guy who has never cracked the top 2 in four attempts in the nfbc have to offer via a question and answer session ??

sportsbettingman · Post by **sportsbettingman** » Thu Jan 31, 2008 4:41 pm

Originally posted by Gordon Gekko:

quote:Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

Greg, I'll give it a shot on February 6th. in your role as an "expert" for the baseballmafia site, have you revealed any Shawn Childs “trade secrets”? If so, do you think it will create a bunch of Shawn Childs clones and ultimately hinder your chances of NFBC success? [/QUOTE]You'd better freakin' believe it!

Keep teaching guys like me...convert me from drunken dead money into drunk and "in the money"!!!

This will be the first time that I'll have set goals to reach in each cat for a baseball draft. Honest.

I never thought that deeply about that...so we'll see how that works out come OCT.

~Lance

Lunatic · Post by **Lunatic** » Thu Jan 31, 2008 11:44 pm

Originally posted by Walla Walla:

Other than Todd,(Standup guy!) Are any of these industry experts going to actually fork some bucks to play? I know Shandler won't. God forbid he get caught drafting with the common folk. I'd rather hear from some of our own experts here at the NFBC. Shawn, Eddie etc. [Big Grin]

I'd love to have anyone from BaseballMafia.com that wants to participate. Heck, it can be BaseballMafia.com every Wednesday in February if they want to take that day or night over. Jesse, Shawn, Dustin and Eddie are all invited to grab a spot on here if they'd like to share some baseball insight and have fun on the boards. Whatta say guys?

Wait, Jesse has to cash in the Luny League before he can give roto advice here...

hmmm, for that matter, I have to cash in the Luny League also....

Lunatic · Post by **Lunatic** » Thu Jan 31, 2008 11:54 pm

Now I just guaranteed a Herron win in my league; plus, I forgot how to do the quote thing...

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 12:11 am

Originally posted by Gordon Gekko:

quote:Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

Greg, I'll give it a shot on February 6th. in your role as an "expert" for the baseballmafia site, have you revealed any Shawn Childs “trade secrets”? If so, do you think it will create a bunch of Shawn Childs clones and ultimately hinder your chances of NFBC success? [/QUOTE]I don't think I have any secrects. I'm sure people have looked at my past teams and seen what players I have drafted. I'm sure it is pretty well known that I'm a balanced player.

Eddie Gillis told me the other day he would be surprised if I ended up in the top 10 again. He thought it was just the law of averages. He has read everything I have written and he still doesn't believe in some of my drafting styles.

Everyone pays $1300 for a chance to draft their opinion. I don't think I have or tried to influence anyone to get on board on any players. I stated some observations about all the players. Some obvious and other what I saw when I looked a little deeper.

If I told you I would draft BJ Upton before Brandon Phillips? Would you pull the trigger on draft day? I don't think so.

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 12:13 am

Originally posted by Gordon Gekko:

quote:Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

I started listing those players in early October. Some players will move up and others will move down. can we get a preview of pudge's ranking?

[/QUOTE]He will be the 7th averaged catcher off the draft board on draft day. I won't draft him there as I have already stated.

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 12:14 am

Originally posted by Quahogs:

What does the guy who has never cracked the top 2 in four attempts in the nfbc have to offer via a question and answer session ?? A chance to be taken behind the wood shed!!

[ February 01, 2008, 06:37 AM: Message edited by: CC's Desperados ]

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 12:18 am

Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

quote:Originally posted by Gordon Gekko:

quote:Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

Greg, I'll give it a shot on February 6th. in your role as an "expert" for the baseballmafia site, have you revealed any Shawn Childs “trade secrets”? If so, do you think it will create a bunch of Shawn Childs clones and ultimately hinder your chances of NFBC success? [/QUOTE]You'd better freakin' believe it!

Keep teaching guys like me...convert me from drunken dead money into drunk and "in the money"!!!

This will be the first time that I'll have set goals to reach in each cat for a baseball draft. Honest.

I never thought that deeply about that...so we'll see how that works out come OCT.

~Lance [/QUOTE]A-Will you evaluate your players fairly on draft day to know if you are achieving those goals?

b-Will you make the right decision in certain draft spots on draft day?

[ February 01, 2008, 04:09 PM: Message edited by: CC's Desperados ]

King of Queens · Post by **King of Queens** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 12:52 am

Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

If I told you I would draft BJ Upton before Brandon Phillips? Would you pull the trigger on draft day? I don't think so. I'm with you on this one, Shawn. It's all about buying 2008 stats.

Gordon Gekko · Post by **Gordon Gekko** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 1:07 am

Originally posted by King of Queens:

quote:Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

If I told you I would draft BJ Upton before Brandon Phillips? Would you pull the trigger on draft day? I don't think so. I'm with you on this one, Shawn. It's all about buying 2008 stats. [/QUOTE]Are u both in the misinformation business? Upton's homeruns are going down this year, most likely below 20. you are paying for stats that will never come this year.

Chest Rockwell · Post by **Chest Rockwell** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 2:23 am

Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

quote:Originally posted by Gordon Gekko:

quote:Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

Greg, I'll give it a shot on February 6th. in your role as an "expert" for the baseballmafia site, have you revealed any Shawn Childs “trade secrets”? If so, do you think it will create a bunch of Shawn Childs clones and ultimately hinder your chances of NFBC success? [/QUOTE]I don't think I have any secrects. I'm sure people have looked at my past teams and seen what players I have drafted. I'm sure it is pretty well known that I'm a balanced player.

Eddie Gillis told me the other day he would be surprised if I ended up in the top 10 again. He thought it was just the law of averages. He has read everything I have written and he still doesn't believe in some of my drafting styles.

Everyone pays $1300 for a chance to draft their opinion. I don't think I have or tried to influence anyone to get on board on any players. I stated some observations about all the players. Some obvious and other what I saw when I looked a little deeper.

If I told you I would draft BJ Upton before Brandon Phillips? Would you pull the trigger on draft day? I don't think so. [/QUOTE]Not so sure Eddie does not have a point in the law of averages- but to me 2 things are clear.

1) Wow what a 4 year run-

2) I think it will be a long time if ever before someone duplicates it.

Well done!

As for me I am not going to be the one betting on that it stops this year and as I have said before I look forward to meeting you- I just hope I have to walk across the room to do it.

Quahogs · Post by **Quahogs** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 3:04 am

Originally posted by Greg Ambrosius:

quote:Originally posted by CC's Desperados:

Greg, I'll give it a shot on February 6th. You're hired. I'll have Tom get you set up for next week. I trust we'll have some fun with this Shawn.

[/QUOTE]remember Shawn...

Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime.

Careful you don't put too many lobstah boats in the habbah.

[ February 01, 2008, 09:09 AM: Message edited by: Quahogs ]

sportsbettingman · Post by **sportsbettingman** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 5:25 am

"Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime."

Exactly, Q.

...and you are 100% correct, Shawn...the A) and B) you listed will separate the winners from the competitive.

What I've also learned from your great articles on Baseball Mafia...

(I guess I could have dug this up on my own with little effort...but you opened my eyes with these nuggets.)

Runs are slightly more valueable than RBI. I always banked a bit more on RBI, and at the very least thought they were equal. Thank you.

Here are my notes from your articles...great stuff!

Notes for 2008 NFBC…

Target goals for all 10 categories…(Top 20% or better)

AVG: .285 or higher.

HR: 300 or more.

RBI: 1125 or more.

RUN: 1150 or more.

SB: 160 or more.

W: 105 or more.

ERA: 3.75 or less.

WHIP: 1.25 or less.

SO: 1250 or more.

SV: 95 or more.

NFBC season = 26 weeks of setting lineup.

Pitching…

4 wins and 48 K per week.

Consider double starts if falling behind.

9 P slots…7 SP = 1100 K, 2 RP = 150 K

Draft Closers who get high K

157 K per SP.

3 Closers. (if possible)

95 Saves, 2-40 SV closers, and a spot starting 3rd. (in waiting?)

Try to only start 2 RP to load up on SO early in the season.

Hitting…

Daily = .285, 7 R, 2 HR, 7 RBI, 1 SB.

Weekly = .285, 45 R, 12 HR, 44 RBI, 7 SB

Bench players who will miss At Bats during the week. (unless superstar)

FRIDAY DL…

If I have a player officially on the MLB DL by Friday at 12pm…I can swap him out.

(Maximize weekend at bats and starts.)

~Lance

DOUGHBOYS · Post by **DOUGHBOYS** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 6:15 am

I hope I'm not in the same league as you this year, Lanceroo. Every pick its gonna take you the full minute to shuffle through all of Shawn's notes before you pick!

Don't forget your calculator!

And take Pineiro's name off any paperwork that you bring.

sportsbettingman · Post by **sportsbettingman** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 6:38 am

Originally posted by DOUGHBOYS:

I hope I'm not in the same league as you this year, Lanceroo. Every pick its gonna take you the full minute to shuffle through all of Shawn's notes before you pick!

Don't forget your calculator!

And take Pineiro's name off any paperwork that you bring. I hate that guy! (Pineiro!)

I've got a cool idea for a cheatsheet...no more than two sheets!

I'll show you at the draft.

My only real gamble this year will be on Francisco Liriano!

I just purchased Baseball America 2008 Almanac to go with the Forecaster and Bill James book.

I also grabbed a book called "Dominate your Fantasy Baseball League" by David Sabino.

I don't recall his name...so I doubt he's played or won here...but if it has even one worthy note...it'll be worth the $20.

My life's an open book!

~Lance

[ February 01, 2008, 12:43 PM: Message edited by: sportsbettingman ]

DOUGHBOYS · Post by **DOUGHBOYS** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 8:34 am

Usually, books that are called "How to dominate your Fantasy Baseball League" should be subtitled "Here is information you can get free on the internet, thank you for the 20 bucks".

Guaranteed you will learn more from the info garnered from Shawn in your last post than you will from the book.

Let me know how BA works out for you, never have purchased it.

eddiejag · Post by **eddiejag** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 8:34 am

Lance im with you , people have forgotten about Liriano .He's been going in the 10th round or later , a really nice upside pick.I had my shot at him in the Childs Classic but couldnt pass on Myers.I was hoping he would make it back but 5 picks later Childs himself snatched him.

Liriano will probably move up a couple rounds if he can have a good and healthy spring.

About Shwan cracking the top ten again would be amazing and a good thing for the baseball mafia.

BUT the law of avg will be watching him.

headhunters · Post by **headhunters** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 8:59 am

as a former gambler i can tell you there really isn't a law of averages- never bet against the streak. betting against the childs record would be like betting against tiger woods. although injuries can stop anyone.

Vander · Post by **Vander** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 10:18 am

Originally posted by Walla Walla:

Other than Todd,(Standup guy!) Are any of these industry experts going to actually fork some bucks to play? I know Shandler won't. God forbid he get caught drafting with the common folk. I'd rather hear from some of our own experts here at the NFBC. Shawn, Eddie etc.

I'd rather hear from the baseballmafia guys too. Shawn's stuff is outstanding. Far better than anything you have to pay for.

Cowboy Joe · Post by **Cowboy Joe** » Fri Feb 01, 2008 10:21 am

What I've also learned from your great articles on Baseball Mafia...

(I guess I could have dug this up on my own with little effort...but you opened my eyes with these nuggets.)

Runs are slightly more valueable than RBI. I always banked a bit more on RBI, and at the very least thought they were equal. Thank you.

Here are my notes from your articles...great stuff!

Notes for 2008 NFBC…

Target goals for all 10 categories…(Top 20% or better)

AVG: .285 or higher.

HR: 300 or more.

RBI: 1125 or more.

RUN: 1150 or more.

SB: 160 or more.

W: 105 or more.

ERA: 3.75 or less.

WHIP: 1.25 or less.

SO: 1250 or more.

SV: 95 or more.

NFBC season = 26 weeks of setting lineup.

Pitching…

4 wins and 48 K per week.

Consider double starts if falling behind.

9 P slots…7 SP = 1100 K, 2 RP = 150 K

Draft Closers who get high K

157 K per SP.

3 Closers. (if possible)

95 Saves, 2-40 SV closers, and a spot starting 3rd. (in waiting?)

Try to only start 2 RP to load up on SO early in the season.

Hitting…

Daily = .285, 7 R, 2 HR, 7 RBI, 1 SB.

Weekly = .285, 45 R, 12 HR, 44 RBI, 7 SB

Bench players who will miss At Bats during the week. (unless superstar)

FRIDAY DL…

If I have a player officially on the MLB DL by Friday at 12pm…I can swap him out.

(Maximize weekend at bats and starts.)

~Lance [/QB][/QUOTE]