Arizona Fall League Mock Draft

Greg Ambrosius · Post by **Greg Ambrosius** » Thu Nov 06, 2008 4:33 am

During the Arizona Fall League Symposium, we held a breakout session with 15 participants, 12 of which played in the NFBC last year. We held a quick mock draft and got through 12 rounds in 50 minutes. It was a fun speed draft -- and even had some guys requesting a pay speed draft in the future -- and some of the results are interesting. Without uncovering the participants (they can chime in if they'd like), here are the first 12 rounds with yours truly drafting from the 15th spot:

FIRST ROUND

1. Alex Rodriguez

2. Hanley Ramirez

3. Grady Sizemore

4. David Wright

5. Albert Pujols

6. Chase Utley

7. Josh Hamilton

8. Jose Reyes

9. Miguel Cabrera

10. Matt Holliday

11. Ryan Braun

12. B.J. Upton

13. Jimmy Rollins

14. Lance Berkman

15. Ryan Howard

SECOND ROUND

16. Ian Kinsler

17. Dustin Pedroia

18. Mark Teixeira

19. Carlos Beltran

20. Carl Crawford

21. Alfonso Soriano

22. Brandon Phillips

23. Manny Ramirez

24. Evan Longoria

25. Johan Santana

26. Carlos Lee

27. Ichiro Suzuki

28. Tim Lincecum

29. Carlos Quentin

30. Justin Morneau

THIRD ROUND

31. C.C. Sabathia

32. David Ortiz

33. Brian Roberts

34. Joe Mauer

35. Rafael Furcal

36. Aramis Ramirez

37. Matt Kemp

38. Alexei Ramirez

39. Jason Bay

40. Brandon Webb

41. Curtis Granderson

42. Prince Fielder

43. Vladimir Guerrero

44. Nick Markakis

45. Russell Martin

FOURTH ROUND

46. Alexis Rios

47. Adrian Gonzalez

48. Corey Hart

49. Brian McCann

50. Cole Hamels

51. Kevin Youkilis

52. Shane Victorino

53. Dan Haren

54. Jake Peavy

55. Geovanny Soto

56. A.J. Burnett

57. Magglio Ordonez

58. Roy Halladay

59. Bobby Abreu

60. Jacoby Ellsbury

FIFTH ROUND

61. Torii Hunter

62. Chipper Jones

63. Cliff Lee

64. Francisco Rodriguez

65. Victor Martinez

66. Nate McLouth

67. Ervin Santana

68. Jermaine Dye

69. Garrett Atkins

70. Jonathan Papelbon

71. Francisco Liriano

72. Brad Lidge

73. Hunter Pence

74. Troy Tulowitzki

75. Joe Nathan

SIXTH ROUND

76. Scott Kazmir

77. Jay Bruce

78. James Shields

79. Derek Lee

80. Johnny Damon

81. Dan Uggla

82. Stephen Drew

83. Carlos Pena

84. Howie Kendrick

85. Michael Young

86. Mariano Rivera

87. Jon Lester

88. Joakim Soria

89. Matt Cain

90. Adam Dunn

SEVENTH ROUND

91. Kerry Wood

92. Brad Hawpe

93. J.J. Hardy

94. Derek Jeter

95. Elijah Dukes

96. Carlos Delgado

97. Justin Verlander

98. Chris Davis

99. John Beckett

100. Chone Figgins

101. John Lackey

102. Felix Hernandez

103. Chad Billingsley

104. Jorge Cantu

105. Roy Oswalt

EIGHTH ROUND

106. Joey Votto

107. Delmon Young

108. Robinson Cano

109. Miguel Tejada

110. Yovani Gallardo

111. Vernon Wells

112. Ricky Nolasco

113. Rich Harden

114. Jonny Peralta

115. Daisuke Matsuzaka

116. Alex Gordon

117. Mark Reynolds

118. Xavier Nady

119. Aubrey Huff

120. Ryan Ludwick

NINTH ROUND

121. Andre Ethier

122. Zach Greinke

123. Pat Burrell

124. Raul Ibanez

125. Kelly Johnson

126. Willy Tavares

127. Edinson Volquez

128. Jose Valverde

129. Chris Young (SP)

130. Matt Garza

131. Hank Blalock

132. Chris Young (OF)

133. Bobby Jenks

134. B.J. Ryan

135. Eric Byrnes

TENTH ROUND

136. Adrian Beltre

137. Aaron Harang

138. Ryan Zimmerman

139. Ryan Doumit

140. Milton Bradley

141. Benjie Molina

142. Orlando Cabrera

143. Mark DeRosa

144. Joba Chamberlain

145. David Price

146. Ty Wigginton

147. James Loney

148. Troy Glaus

149. Dionar Navarro

150. Carlos Zambrano

ELEVENTH ROUND

151. Francisco Cordero

152. Kurt Suzuki

153. Brian Fuentes

154. Ryan Dempster

155. Josh Johnson

156. Jonathan Broxton

157. Lastings Milledge

158. Conor Jackson

159. Matt Capps

160. Adam Wainwright

161. Brett Myers

162. J.D. Drew

163. Javier Vazquez

164. Jered Weaver

165. Paul Konerko

TWELFTH ROUND:

166. Ben Sheets

167. Scott Baker

168. Jayson Werth

169. Chien-Ming Wang

170. Mike Jacobs

171. Derek Lowe

172. Chris Iannetta

173. Brian Wilson

174. Clayton Kershaw

175. Mike Mussina

176. John Maine

177. Placido Polanco

178. Mike Napoli

179. J.J. Putz

180. Max Scherzer

Thoughts?

[ November 07, 2008, 06:37 AM: Message edited by: Greg Ambrosius ]

Sack · Post by **Sack** » Thu Nov 06, 2008 10:01 am

Greg:

Yo Greg......me thinks this was ADRIAN?

47. Alex Gonzalez

headhunters · Post by **headhunters** » Thu Nov 06, 2008 10:11 am

i think the booze kicked in right around pick 162. good thing you stopped after 12 rounds

Greg Ambrosius · Post by **Greg Ambrosius** » Thu Nov 06, 2008 11:09 am

Originally posted by Sack:

Greg:

Yo Greg......me thinks this was ADRIAN?

47. Alex Gonzalez Tell Chip thanks for the spell check!

Edwards Kings · Post by **Edwards Kings** » Fri Nov 07, 2008 12:28 am

Greg,

You have two Carlos Lee's (#26 and #63). Since Derek Lee is at #79, I assume #63 is really Cliff "Clavin" Lee?

Greg Ambrosius · Post by **Greg Ambrosius** » Fri Nov 07, 2008 12:38 am

Originally posted by Edwards Kings:

Greg,

You have two Carlos Lee's (#26 and #63). Since Derek Lee is at #79, I assume #63 is really Cliff "Clavin" Lee? Yup, good catch. I corrected it now.

Edwards Kings · Post by **Edwards Kings** » Fri Nov 07, 2008 12:40 am

Jose Reyes #8...AFTER Josh Hamilton?

Hamilton had a great half, but...

Whoever had the #8 pick was saying "Why can't this happen next March?"

Edwards Kings · Post by **Edwards Kings** » Fri Nov 07, 2008 12:55 am

Even with the "speed" aspect of the AFL Mock, of the three drafts posted, 159 of 180 (88%) of the players taken in the first twelve rounds were common. Another 15 players were taken in the top twelve rounds in at least two of the three mocks. In all, only 201 players were taken in the first 180 picks of at least one of the three drafts.

Some of the real outliers may be:

Dioner Navarro (Pick #255 in MD#1)

JD Drew (Pick #259 in MD#1)

Mike Mussina (Pick #273 in MD#1)

Kurt Suzuki (Pick #299 in MD#1)

Joe Sambito · Post by **Joe Sambito** » Fri Nov 07, 2008 1:14 am

Greg,

Are you related to Scott Kazmir?

Captain Hook · Post by **Captain Hook** » Sat Nov 08, 2008 5:47 am

Originally posted by Edwards Kings:

Jose Reyes #8...AFTER Josh Hamilton?

Hamilton had a great half, but...

Whoever had the #8 pick was saying "Why can't this happen next March?"

I can HOPE it does Wayne

Greg Ambrosius · Post by **Greg Ambrosius** » Sat Nov 08, 2008 8:32 am

Originally posted by Joe Sambito:

Greg,

Are you related to Scott Kazmir? I must be wrong about him because he falls farther and farther in each mock draft. But I believe in him, so we'll see.

Nah, we're not related. He's not Dutch!!

Captain Hook · Post by **Captain Hook** » Sat Nov 08, 2008 11:23 am

If it ain't Dutch - it ain't Much!

Thunder · Post by **Thunder** » Sat Nov 08, 2008 1:51 pm

sizemore and hamilton top 2 OF's taken....you got to love it!

Captain Hook · Post by **Captain Hook** » Sun Nov 09, 2008 3:44 am

Any of the peanut gallery want to comment on my draft from the 8 hole?

1.08 Jose Reyes, SS

2.08 Manny Ramirez, OF

3.08 Alexei Ramirez, 2B

4.08 Dan Haren, SP1

5.08 Jermaine Dye, OF

6.08 Carlos Pena, 1B

7.08 Chris Davis, 3B

8.08 Rich Harden, SP2

9.08 Jose Valverde, CL1

10.08 Mark De Rosa, MI (2B/3B/OF)

11.08 Conor Jackson, OF/CI

12.08 Brian Wilson, Beach Boys

Head 2 Head · Post by **Head 2 Head** » Sun Nov 09, 2008 3:35 pm

Originally posted by Edwards Kings:

In all, only 201 players were taken in the first 180 picks of at least one of the three drafts.

Some of the real outliers may be:

Dioner Navarro (Pick #255 in MD#1)

JD Drew (Pick #259 in MD#1)

Mike Mussina (Pick #273 in MD#1)

Kurt Suzuki (Pick #299 in MD#1) May just be me, but I would NOT touch any of these guys in the first 12 rounds.

[ November 10, 2008, 04:07 PM: Message edited by: Head 2 Head ]

DOUGHBOYS · Post by **DOUGHBOYS** » Sun Nov 09, 2008 4:08 pm

Originally posted by Head 2 Head:

quote:Originally posted by Edwards Kings:

In all, only 201 players were taken in the first 180 picks of at least one of the three drafts.

Some of the real outliers may be:

Dioner Navarro (Pick #255 in MD#1)

JD Drew (Pick #259 in MD#1)

Mike Mussina (Pick #273 in MD#1)

Kurt Suzuki (Pick #299 in MD#1) May just be me, but I would touch any of these guys in the first 12 rounds.

[/QUOTE]Inappropriate!!

Head 2 Head · Post by **Head 2 Head** » Mon Nov 10, 2008 10:06 am

Originally posted by DOUGHBOYS:

quote:Originally posted by Head 2 Head:

quote:Originally posted by Edwards Kings:

In all, only 201 players were taken in the first 180 picks of at least one of the three drafts.

Some of the real outliers may be:

Dioner Navarro (Pick #255 in MD#1)

JD Drew (Pick #259 in MD#1)

Mike Mussina (Pick #273 in MD#1)

Kurt Suzuki (Pick #299 in MD#1) May just be me, but I would touch any of these guys in the first 12 rounds.

[/QUOTE]Inappropriate!!

[/QUOTE]LOL Guess I should proof read.