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poopytooth
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by poopytooth » Sun Nov 17, 2013 8:48 am
Greg/Tom,
I am not rushing...just asking...when do the live chats begin? They are always fun and even when I miss them, I like going back and reading all the q&a's. They really help to spur some great discussions. I know it is early, but just trying to remember when they begin.
In the meantime...here is one...last year, Chris Davis and Yu Darvish outperformed expectations. What methods do you use to help identify these types of breakouts and could you give us a couple names for 2014?

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CC's Desperados
- Posts: 2558
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by CC's Desperados » Sun Nov 17, 2013 11:14 am
poopytooth wrote:Greg/Tom,
I am not rushing...just asking...when do the live chats begin? They are always fun and even when I miss them, I like going back and reading all the q&a's. They really help to spur some great discussions. I know it is early, but just trying to remember when they begin.
In the meantime...here is one...last year, Chris Davis and Yu Darvish outperformed expectations. What methods do you use to help identify these types of breakouts and could you give us a couple names for 2014?

I don't think Darvish outperformed expectations.
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ALL-IN JD
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by ALL-IN JD » Sun Nov 17, 2013 11:35 am
I can answer that, HELL YEAH!!

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poopytooth
- Posts: 317
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2011 5:10 pm
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by poopytooth » Sun Nov 17, 2013 7:01 pm
CC's Desperados wrote:poopytooth wrote:Greg/Tom,
I am not rushing...just asking...when do the live chats begin? They are always fun and even when I miss them, I like going back and reading all the q&a's. They really help to spur some great discussions. I know it is early, but just trying to remember when they begin.
In the meantime...here is one...last year, Chris Davis and Yu Darvish outperformed expectations. What methods do you use to help identify these types of breakouts and could you give us a couple names for 2014?

I don't think Darvish outperformed expectations.
you are right but didn't see the K total as large as it ended up being. I think he was a top 5 SP...maybe top 10...not sure he was there at draft time for everyone. For those who did though, what did you see that others, like myself, missed.
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ToddZ
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by ToddZ » Sun Nov 17, 2013 7:11 pm
You can't predict a surprise or outlier - if you could they wouldn't be a surprise.
All you can do is look for someone that
if **THIS** goes right, **THIS** can happen.
You're not predicting it WILL happen, but looking for some plausible outcome.
IF Chris Davis can hit more fly balls (his FB% was 36%, very low for a power hitter) he can hit 45+ HR.
Basically, you're looking to give yourself a reasonable chance to be right.
2019 Mastersball Platinum
5 of the past 6 NFBC champions subscribe to Mastersball
over 1300 projections and 500 player profiles
Standings and Roster Tracker perfect for DC and cutline leagues
Subscribe HERE
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poopytooth
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by poopytooth » Sun Nov 17, 2013 7:20 pm
ToddZ wrote:You can't predict a surprise or outlier - if you could they wouldn't be a surprise.
All you can do is look for someone that
if **THIS** goes right, **THIS** can happen.
You're not predicting it WILL happen, but looking for some plausible outcome.
IF Chris Davis can hit more fly balls (his FB% was 36%, very low for a power hitter) he can hit 45+ HR.
Basically, you're looking to give yourself a reasonable chance to be right.
got ya...ty!
And haven't seen many of your fb one liners in a while.

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ToddZ
- Posts: 2798
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by ToddZ » Sun Nov 17, 2013 7:30 pm
poopytooth wrote:
got ya...ty!
And haven't seen many of your fb one liners in a while.

It's projection time -- I celebrated finishing them with a Tweet/FB one-liner.
2019 Mastersball Platinum
5 of the past 6 NFBC champions subscribe to Mastersball
over 1300 projections and 500 player profiles
Standings and Roster Tracker perfect for DC and cutline leagues
Subscribe HERE
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fwicker
- Posts: 319
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by fwicker » Mon Nov 18, 2013 12:45 am
When will the projections be up on the site?
"You can observe a lot by watching" - Yogi Berra
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ToddZ
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by ToddZ » Mon Nov 18, 2013 7:27 am
fwicker wrote:When will the projections be up on the site?
Projections are ready today. 2013 subscriptions run through Nov 30 so I can't post the link on the site but those that have paid for the 2014 subscription and NFBC Primer contributors will get an e-mail with the link once the caffeine kicks in and I'm sure I'm not screwing up.
2019 Mastersball Platinum
5 of the past 6 NFBC champions subscribe to Mastersball
over 1300 projections and 500 player profiles
Standings and Roster Tracker perfect for DC and cutline leagues
Subscribe HERE
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Greg Ambrosius
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Contact:
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by Greg Ambrosius » Mon Nov 18, 2013 8:40 am
poopytooth wrote:Greg/Tom,
I am not rushing...just asking...when do the live chats begin? They are always fun and even when I miss them, I like going back and reading all the q&a's. They really help to spur some great discussions. I know it is early, but just trying to remember when they begin.
In the meantime...here is one...last year, Chris Davis and Yu Darvish outperformed expectations. What methods do you use to help identify these types of breakouts and could you give us a couple names for 2014?

Wow, we've never had a request for Live Chats before!!

We're honored.
Sure, we can start one up this week once we have DCs rolling. If folks have questions about the upcoming season we'll gladly answer them in one spot for all to see. Anything that helps folks better understand what's ahead of us is good for everyone. We're just doing all we can behind the scenes to get the DCs rolling and the season started. Thanks for the request.
Greg Ambrosius
Founder, National Fantasy Baseball Championship
General Manager, Consumer Fantasy Games at SportsHub Technologies
Twitter - @GregAmbrosius
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poopytooth
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by poopytooth » Mon Nov 18, 2013 2:21 pm
Greg Ambrosius wrote:poopytooth wrote:Greg/Tom,
I am not rushing...just asking...when do the live chats begin? They are always fun and even when I miss them, I like going back and reading all the q&a's. They really help to spur some great discussions. I know it is early, but just trying to remember when they begin.
In the meantime...here is one...last year, Chris Davis and Yu Darvish outperformed expectations. What methods do you use to help identify these types of breakouts and could you give us a couple names for 2014?

Wow, we've never had a request for Live Chats before!!

We're honored.
Sure, we can start one up this week once we have DCs rolling. If folks have questions about the upcoming season we'll gladly answer them in one spot for all to see. Anything that helps folks better understand what's ahead of us is good for everyone. We're just doing all we can behind the scenes to get the DCs rolling and the season started. Thanks for the request.
YW, I really enjoy them.
