2008 Baseball Forecaster

King of Queens · Post by **King of Queens** » Mon Dec 10, 2007 5:28 am

Advantage to staying home with the sick kids: I just got my copy in the mail.

Ladies and gentlemen, start your cramming.

Gordon Gekko · Post by **Gordon Gekko** » Mon Dec 10, 2007 5:51 am

Where does he rank c.zambrano (my bust pick)?

Gordon Gekko · Post by **Gordon Gekko** » Mon Dec 10, 2007 5:54 am

If u have time, what does shandler say about my sleeper pick of m.garza?

King of Queens · Post by **King of Queens** » Mon Dec 10, 2007 5:55 am

Carlos Zambrano - 15-12 4.01 1.35 218/184 $19

King of Queens · Post by **King of Queens** » Mon Dec 10, 2007 5:57 am

Matt Garza - 12-13 4.25 1.46 189/158 $14 "BPIs are not overwhelming, but serviceable, and there is upside."

KJ Duke · Post by **KJ Duke** » Mon Dec 10, 2007 6:32 am

Originally posted by King of Queens:

Carlos Zambrano - 15-12 4.01 1.35 218/184 $19 Looks like a cut and paste of '07 stats, how did he come up with this insight?

King of Queens · Post by **King of Queens** » Mon Dec 10, 2007 6:57 am

Originally posted by KJ Duke:

quote:Originally posted by King of Queens:

Carlos Zambrano - 15-12 4.01 1.35 218/184 $19 Looks like a cut and paste of '07 stats, how did he come up with this insight?

[/QUOTE]"We're not just crying wolf -- all those IP really are taking a toll. Dom fell, Ctl is poor, rising FB rate means more HRs. xERA trend can't be ignored.

DN: 4.50+ ERA, for real"

Doesn't sound very promising...

KJ Duke · Post by **KJ Duke** » Mon Dec 10, 2007 7:28 am

Originally posted by King of Queens:

quote:Originally posted by KJ Duke:

quote:Originally posted by King of Queens:

Carlos Zambrano - 15-12 4.01 1.35 218/184 $19 Looks like a cut and paste of '07 stats, how did he come up with this insight?

[/QUOTE]"We're not just crying wolf -- all those IP really are taking a toll. Dom fell, Ctl is poor, rising FB rate means more HRs. xERA trend can't be ignored.

DN: 4.50+ ERA, for real"

Doesn't sound very promising... [/QUOTE]He went too early for me last season, looks like I'll have him back in '08.

eddiejag · Post by **eddiejag** » Mon Dec 10, 2007 11:17 pm

Wow the forecaster is in, how about Bonderman he destroyed my ultimate team.Could have had Sabbathia or Lackey and took the clock down to the end.Went with the 202 strike outs but should have stayed away from the high era [i think over 4.00] its funny how one pick can change so much.

Edwards Kings · Post by **Edwards Kings** » Mon Dec 10, 2007 11:58 pm

Got mine yesterday as well. I have already gotten the "...if you try to tell me about ONE more baseball player, you are on the COUCH..." look from my wife.

Thunder · Post by **Thunder** » Tue Dec 11, 2007 11:18 am

big carlos #37 overall SP

KJ Duke · Post by **KJ Duke** » Tue Dec 11, 2007 11:33 am

Originally posted by cleaver beavers:

big carlos #37 overall SP I'll take the under (I say he'll be ranked better at season end), anyone?

[ December 11, 2007, 05:34 PM: Message edited by: KJ Duke ]

Thunder · Post by **Thunder** » Tue Dec 11, 2007 1:06 pm

KJ, i'll venture to say he'll be a top 15 SP on the ADP's

Hard Heads · Post by **Hard Heads** » Tue Dec 11, 2007 2:49 pm

I say easily under. Should be no lower then #25

Edwards Kings · Post by **Edwards Kings** » Wed Dec 12, 2007 12:07 am

I will give it to Shandler, he will go out on a limb. I will also take the under. Even if you (like me) question whether or not he should be the staff anchor, he is certainly a strong #2.

For my friend GLU, did you notice where he had James Shields? #15 I think.

Hard Heads · Post by **Hard Heads** » Wed Dec 12, 2007 4:15 am

As a newbie will I get a copy of the forecaster?

bjoak · Post by **bjoak** » Wed Dec 12, 2007 12:15 pm

Originally posted by King of Queens:

quote:Originally posted by KJ Duke:

quote:Originally posted by King of Queens:

Carlos Zambrano - 15-12 4.01 1.35 218/184 $19 Looks like a cut and paste of '07 stats, how did he come up with this insight?

[/QUOTE]"We're not just crying wolf -- all those IP really are taking a toll. Dom fell, Ctl is poor, rising FB rate means more HRs. xERA trend can't be ignored.

DN: 4.50+ ERA, for real"

Doesn't sound very promising... [/QUOTE]You guys crack me up. Everyone laughed at me for saying the same exact thing a week ago. Now everyone is dropping him on their draft board. I have to get in a November league.

Captain Hook · Post by **Captain Hook** » Wed Dec 12, 2007 12:43 pm

Originally posted by Hard Heads:

As a newbie will I get a copy of the forecaster? Sure - if you pay for it > www.baseballhq.com

DOUGHBOYS · Post by **DOUGHBOYS** » Wed Dec 12, 2007 12:56 pm

Originally posted by Hard Heads:

As a newbie will I get a copy of the forecaster? We received one in our goodie bag last year.

Hard Heads · Post by **Hard Heads** » Wed Dec 12, 2007 1:43 pm

Aha! I assumed it was part of the sign up package, but if it costs me money I don't want it. Shandler is overrated if you ask me.

DOUGHBOYS · Post by **DOUGHBOYS** » Wed Dec 12, 2007 2:14 pm

Originally posted by Hard Heads:

Aha! I assumed it was part of the sign up package, but if it costs me money I don't want it. Shandler is overrated if you ask me. Overrated, genius it doesen't matter what you think of him or his theories he is a must read for anybody that is serious about doing well in the NFBC. Here's why, if you read it and buy into it, it'll open doors that will lead the reader in directions that were considered closed before. If you read it and don't buy into it, you're going to get insight into what, I'm guessing, 20-25 percent of your competitors are going to follow pretty closely. I've said it before, read it as if you're a Pepsi-Cola exec who has just intercepted a memo from Coca-cola.

All information is good information (even Gekko's) as long as you use it correctly.

Thunder · Post by **Thunder** » Wed Dec 12, 2007 4:23 pm

Originally posted by Hard Heads:

Aha! I assumed it was part of the sign up package, but if it costs me money I don't want it. Shandler is overrated if you ask me. educate me on why you think the forecaster is overrated.

Hard Heads · Post by **Hard Heads** » Wed Dec 12, 2007 6:16 pm

Never said everything he wrote was worthless and yes you can take even the smallest, yet very important thing from everything you read. He simply(maybe the wrong word) takes what analysis most of us can do on our own and puts creative overanalyzed acronyms on them, PQS, DOM/DIS, BPI, etc. He is an amazing man with all of his statistical analysis, but I don't and will never put that much weight in his work.

RON@HQ · Post by **RON@HQ** » Thu Dec 13, 2007 2:06 am

Originally posted by Hard Heads:

Never said everything he wrote was worthless and yes you can take even the smallest, yet very important thing from everything you read. He simply(maybe the wrong word) takes what analysis most of us can do on our own and puts creative overanalyzed acronyms on them, PQS, DOM/DIS, BPI, etc. He is an amazing man with all of his statistical analysis, but I don't and will never put that much weight in his work. Dad, please get off these boards.

Gordon Gekko · Post by **Gordon Gekko** » Thu Dec 13, 2007 3:29 am

Ron - you do fine work. Don't let a couple hard heads get to you.

Btw, will you be in York, PA in february for the baseball panel? That was a good time last year.