Lessons from Satellite

Schwks · Post by **Schwks** » Wed Mar 18, 2009 4:01 am

Did a satelite last night. This can not be overstated...closers are going fast and furious. I completely misread the closer lay of the land. In retrospect it made sense. THere are at least 6-7 unsettled closer situations: Seattle, St Louis, Balt, Tampa, Col, Oak, Fla. Then you add in the recent inj to ancient Hoffman. So there are about 23 guys who have definite jobs, 3-4 of who are last resorts only. Doing the math and utilizing supply and demand and there arent enough to go around. Then factor in the inevitable guy trying out the LIMA, RIMA or whatever BS, non-winning strategy, and there is serious scarcity.

In last night's draft, the end of the 10th round, there was maybe one or two closers with definite jobs remaining. For those in the main event beware.

Quahogs · Post by **Quahogs** » Wed Mar 18, 2009 4:45 am

Originally posted by Schwks:

Did a satelite last night. This can not be overstated...closers are going fast and furious. I completely misread the closer lay of the land. In retrospect it made sense. THere are at least 6-7 unsettled closer situations: Seattle, St Louis, Balt, Tampa, Col, Oak, Fla. Then you add in the recent inj to ancient Hoffman. So there are about 23 guys who have definite jobs, 3-4 of who are last resorts only. Doing the math and utilizing supply and demand and there arent enough to go around. Then factor in the inevitable guy trying out the LIMA, RIMA or whatever BS, non-winning strategy, and there is serious scarcity.

In last night's draft, the end of the 10th round, there was maybe one or two closers with definite jobs remaining. For those in the main event beware. The funny thing is I bet the O/A winner will end up nailing 2 guys from those teams in the late teens. He'll have loaded up on O and Sp's early giving him a distinct advantage and he'll end up with 65 saves(for starters) to boot.

Top Dawg · Post by **Top Dawg** » Wed Mar 18, 2009 4:49 am

Q is correct. The overall winner will "back into" saves either by accident or by design. My guess is it will be by design.

Pete

Quahogs · Post by **Quahogs** » Wed Mar 18, 2009 5:13 am

Originally posted by Top Dawg:

Q is correct. The overall winner will "back into" saves either by accident or by design. My guess is it will be by design.

Pete If by design it would certainly be a ballsy move. You definitely won't have any warm and fuzzies coming out of the draft with 2 clunkheads for closers. If you miss on both your season could very well be a lonnnnnnnng one.

Which way you leaning Pete ?

Schwks · Post by **Schwks** » Wed Mar 18, 2009 5:16 am

Here is the problem with the backing in strategy...how many of the back up guys do you have to draft and at what cost? The "closers in waiting" started to go in 13-14th round. Those 123-20 rounds are the meat and potatos rounds, when you fill in your needs. If you have to draft 3-5 to get MAYBE 2 closers, what are you sacrificing in other areas? In retrospect, Id draft one solid guy, maybe in 8-9 and then try to take another flier in 12. Then wait until 20s to add a couple of potential guys

Gordon Gekko II · Post by **Gordon Gekko II** » Wed Mar 18, 2009 5:29 am

bahhhhhhhhhhhhhh....i had one closer last year and did very well. one category guys are always overrated.

i'm just waiting for the year i hit on one of my "closer in waitings".

Quahogs · Post by **Quahogs** » Wed Mar 18, 2009 5:33 am

Originally posted by Schwks:

Here is the problem with the backing in strategy...how many of the back up guys do you have to draft and at what cost? The "closers in waiting" started to go in 13-14th round. Those 123-20 rounds are the meat and potatos rounds, when you fill in your needs. If you have to draft 3-5 to get MAYBE 2 closers, what are you sacrificing in other areas? In retrospect, Id draft one solid guy, maybe in 8-9 and then try to take another flier in 12. Then wait until 20s to add a couple of potential guys Doug,

the winner won't sacrifice anything. He'll take a shot at two late and that'll be it. It's a gamble for sure but that's what it'll take to get you an edge over 389 other teams.

- like this guy who posted right above.

[ March 18, 2009, 11:36 AM: Message edited by: Quahogs ]

DOUGHBOYS · Post by **DOUGHBOYS** » Wed Mar 18, 2009 5:35 am

Originally posted by Schwks:

Here is the problem with the backing in strategy...how many of the back up guys do you have to draft and at what cost? The "closers in waiting" started to go in 13-14th round. Those 123-20 rounds are the meat and potatos rounds, when you fill in your needs. If you have to draft 3-5 to get MAYBE 2 closers, what are you sacrificing in other areas? In retrospect, Id draft one solid guy, maybe in 8-9 and then try to take another flier in 12. Then wait until 20s to add a couple of potential guys Look at the other teams rosters. How many went with all reliever or something like it. If even one team went that way, it won't relate to the Main.

Most Main drafts are done with 5 or 6 closers in question since we draft two weeks before the draft. Nothing different this year.

MGBMARTY · Post by **MGBMARTY** » Wed Mar 18, 2009 5:37 am

Guess L Nunez should be taken in the 10th LOL Closers 5 to 6 of the quote safe picks will miss time anyway 1 then fish. Got Wood last year in round 19. Arriendo in round 24 sounds like the pick Oops

Marty

Sir Larry Wildman · Post by **Sir Larry Wildman** » Wed Mar 18, 2009 6:40 am

Originally posted by Schwks:

In last night's draft, the end of the 10th round, there was maybe one or two closers with definite jobs remaining. For those in the main event beware. Drafters taking the league by the goolies? My last weeks satellite didn't mirror this one. Closers were drafted proper. Some drafts are all over the gaff.

Schwks · Post by **Schwks** » Wed Mar 18, 2009 6:58 am

Jim Stanard went the closer route, but actually only got two locked in closers and did so later then youd want if you would want to go the LIMA plan or whatever its called. Then he took a couple of possibles like Corpas. So even though he did utilize the reliever stratgy, he didnt affect the draft much, if at all...I did think of that.

Anyway, just thought it was interesting fodder for this venue. If what Im hearing is true, the winner will have either the added insight as to who steps into the role, luck or some combo thereof.

If anyone wants to critique my team let me know and I will post it.

Gordon Gekko II · Post by **Gordon Gekko II** » Mon Mar 23, 2009 8:50 am

Originally posted by Schwks:

Did a satelite last night. This can not be overstated...closers are going fast and furious. I completely misread the closer lay of the land. you misread something else?