I was curious about the opinions of some other Main Events participants. It might seem like a silly question, but I have asked myself this last year and while preparing for this years Main Event.
When you are preparing for your draft, do you have the Main Event overall standings in mind when planning your draft strategy or are you drafting to win your 15 owner league only with the overall Main Event only in the back of your minds.
For example, are you drafting Hamilton and Revere in hopes to be on top of the overall standing in SB therefore accumulating the most overall points. Obviously, you only get 15 points for your individual league. But 200+ points from the overall event.
It would be cool to hear some feedback from some of the past Overall Main Event Champions and past Main Event league winners.
Thanks and Good Luck to Everyone
Main Event
Re: Main Event
I am trying to field the best team possible. It can't be too safe or too speculative, either of which is shooting yourself in the foot. Category targets are guidelines for maintaining balance; but one key injury and precision is out the window so don't obsess over them.
Re: Main Event
Don't obsess over either league or the Overall.
A good team is a good team.
An Overall team in the top 10 can be mediocre in a couple or three categories and still compete.
One year, the Thelans punted Saves, got a zero, and still did well in the Overall. It isn't normal, but it can happen.
As far as mind set, I don't think much about the Overall when I am drafting my team in the Main Event.
Roster construction and intuition in the player pool and players available in the draft is top priority.
For me, something just clicks in looking at my roster and knowing 'what I need' to further a team.
But really, I think of neither league or Overall, I think of building a good team.
A good team is a good team.
An Overall team in the top 10 can be mediocre in a couple or three categories and still compete.
One year, the Thelans punted Saves, got a zero, and still did well in the Overall. It isn't normal, but it can happen.
As far as mind set, I don't think much about the Overall when I am drafting my team in the Main Event.
Roster construction and intuition in the player pool and players available in the draft is top priority.
For me, something just clicks in looking at my roster and knowing 'what I need' to further a team.
But really, I think of neither league or Overall, I think of building a good team.
On my tombstone-
Wait! I never had the perfect draft!
Wait! I never had the perfect draft!
Re: Main Event
Well, you're paying for the prize money so you might as well go for it. If you play to win your ME league your strategy becomes stand alone league like and will limit your ceiling. In a standalone you can fade a category(and never pursue it) and limit your high beta players because the goal is to beat 14 others - sometimes that only takes 110 pts.
You won't come out of the draft with an 87% category team across the board on draft day so you have to determine what categories you can pilfer in rounds 21+ and on the free agent wire that will help you run up those cats later.
You won't come out of the draft with an 87% category team across the board on draft day so you have to determine what categories you can pilfer in rounds 21+ and on the free agent wire that will help you run up those cats later.
Re: Main Event
that was more advice that I've ever heard you give anybody before juprinka
Re: Main Event
I should have also mentioned that the thoughts of league and Overall really come more into focus during the in-season Management phase, rather than the draft.
It is only then that we discover our true weaknesses and strengths. And even more importantly, what is needed to not only put a league away, but also compete in the Overall.
It is only then that we discover our true weaknesses and strengths. And even more importantly, what is needed to not only put a league away, but also compete in the Overall.
On my tombstone-
Wait! I never had the perfect draft!
Wait! I never had the perfect draft!
Re: Main Event
+1 on Q's answer
I actually wrote about this a couple days ago... http://t.co/0rhEkczSRi
The key is your risk baseline.
What I consider to be a risk may not seem like a risk at all to someone else.
So when I say add more risk, it's relative to my norm.
Someone else's norm may already have built-in what I consider to be risk.
I actually wrote about this a couple days ago... http://t.co/0rhEkczSRi
The key is your risk baseline.
What I consider to be a risk may not seem like a risk at all to someone else.
So when I say add more risk, it's relative to my norm.
Someone else's norm may already have built-in what I consider to be risk.
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-
ikenbaseball
- Posts: 163
- Joined: Tue May 07, 2013 5:09 pm
Re: Main Event
Todd. I read your article, and I think you hit the nail on the head when you said "winning is risky business".
Poker, stocks, and fantasy baseball, they all have the same premise.
If you want to win big you need to take some risks. If I'm holding Aces. I can either play it safe and go all in before the flop while collecting a little cash or I can try to take down a big pot by "playing it out." But I'll never win big collecting antes.
I can buy Coca cola stock and play it safe and collect a yearly 8% "ROI" or I can buy IPO stock and hope it becomes a ten bagger. Again Cola cola stock will never make me the big bucks.
This year, Javier Baez has the chance to be that Ace/Ace or ten bagger. A 9/10th round pick that has the potential to be hit 30hr and steal 20 bases----thats a top five pick folks. Or he could be in AAA by May 1.
Or you could play it safe and draft Matt Carpenter around the same time. A safe solid player if I ever saw one. But Matt Carpenter will never put me over the top.
I've been spending a lot more time this year examining my real intentions for my 2 main events. Last year, I didn't have a clear logic of what I wanted to do. I wanted to win my leagues but I also wanted to position myself for the overall.
I wanted to go all in but I also wanted to play it safe.
I wanted the Dow Stock and the new IPO. I was in between positions.
I wanted to get settle down, get married but I also still wanted to date other girls.
It doesn't work that way. And I'm starting to realize it more and more.
Poker, stocks, and fantasy baseball, they all have the same premise.
If you want to win big you need to take some risks. If I'm holding Aces. I can either play it safe and go all in before the flop while collecting a little cash or I can try to take down a big pot by "playing it out." But I'll never win big collecting antes.
I can buy Coca cola stock and play it safe and collect a yearly 8% "ROI" or I can buy IPO stock and hope it becomes a ten bagger. Again Cola cola stock will never make me the big bucks.
This year, Javier Baez has the chance to be that Ace/Ace or ten bagger. A 9/10th round pick that has the potential to be hit 30hr and steal 20 bases----thats a top five pick folks. Or he could be in AAA by May 1.
Or you could play it safe and draft Matt Carpenter around the same time. A safe solid player if I ever saw one. But Matt Carpenter will never put me over the top.
I've been spending a lot more time this year examining my real intentions for my 2 main events. Last year, I didn't have a clear logic of what I wanted to do. I wanted to win my leagues but I also wanted to position myself for the overall.
I wanted to go all in but I also wanted to play it safe.
I wanted the Dow Stock and the new IPO. I was in between positions.
I wanted to get settle down, get married but I also still wanted to date other girls.
It doesn't work that way. And I'm starting to realize it more and more.
Re: Main Event
I hear your premise, but don't agree.
If Matt Carpenter hits 25 homers this year, he could be your Baez and more.
Last year, nobody thought Brantley would go .300/90/20/90/20.
He was thought to be a nice player like Carpenter.
Same with Altuve. Then, big breakout.
Gamblers took Harper and CarGo and lost.
You don't have to bet on the new horse like Baez.
There could be a horse just waiting to break out this year.
In my mind, Carpenter would be better prepared for a breakout than Baez.
With Baez, you're drawing to an inside straight.
With Carpenter, the straight's in hand, and you're one card away from a straight flush.
Just my thoughts.
If Matt Carpenter hits 25 homers this year, he could be your Baez and more.
Last year, nobody thought Brantley would go .300/90/20/90/20.
He was thought to be a nice player like Carpenter.
Same with Altuve. Then, big breakout.
Gamblers took Harper and CarGo and lost.
You don't have to bet on the new horse like Baez.
There could be a horse just waiting to break out this year.
In my mind, Carpenter would be better prepared for a breakout than Baez.
With Baez, you're drawing to an inside straight.
With Carpenter, the straight's in hand, and you're one card away from a straight flush.
Just my thoughts.
On my tombstone-
Wait! I never had the perfect draft!
Wait! I never had the perfect draft!
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ikenbaseball
- Posts: 163
- Joined: Tue May 07, 2013 5:09 pm
Re: Main Event
I can understand what your saying also.
However, Matt Carpenter has 25 home runs in 1532 career AB's. Double digit hr's is not going to happen. He'll hit 300 and get you tons of runs though...He was a 4/5th round pick last year. 9/10th round pick this year. Nice safe pick. But not for me.
Michael Brantley, another solid hitter last year. But, before last year, he hit 26 home runs in 1968 AB's. Only hit 5 home runs after the AS break. Can hit 20+ home runs again. Sure. Will he do it? Probably Not.
Jose Altuve, I love that guy. 341 BA this year. Will it happen again? Very unlikely. 360 BABIP is inflating that BA. Will he steal 50+ bases. Well, he became a better base stealer and strikeouts less so maybe. But with the heavy hitters they have behind him now I don't know if he will be ask to do that.
I'm betting that the Cubs stick with Baez this season. He hit 37 HR & 20 SB in 2013 and 31 HR & 21 SB in 2014. I'll take that bet over Carpenter.
Last year we had a discussion regarding Bruce(2nd Rounder) vs Trumbo(5th Rounder).....it didn't work out well for either of us.
However, Matt Carpenter has 25 home runs in 1532 career AB's. Double digit hr's is not going to happen. He'll hit 300 and get you tons of runs though...He was a 4/5th round pick last year. 9/10th round pick this year. Nice safe pick. But not for me.
Michael Brantley, another solid hitter last year. But, before last year, he hit 26 home runs in 1968 AB's. Only hit 5 home runs after the AS break. Can hit 20+ home runs again. Sure. Will he do it? Probably Not.
Jose Altuve, I love that guy. 341 BA this year. Will it happen again? Very unlikely. 360 BABIP is inflating that BA. Will he steal 50+ bases. Well, he became a better base stealer and strikeouts less so maybe. But with the heavy hitters they have behind him now I don't know if he will be ask to do that.
I'm betting that the Cubs stick with Baez this season. He hit 37 HR & 20 SB in 2013 and 31 HR & 21 SB in 2014. I'll take that bet over Carpenter.
Last year we had a discussion regarding Bruce(2nd Rounder) vs Trumbo(5th Rounder).....it didn't work out well for either of us.
Re: Main Event
True. We both don't know nothing.ikenbaseball wrote:
Last year we had a discussion regarding Bruce(2nd Rounder) vs Trumbo(5th Rounder).....it didn't work out well for either of us.
On my tombstone-
Wait! I never had the perfect draft!
Wait! I never had the perfect draft!
Re: Main Event
Something that happened to me in my main event 2 years ago. I was first in my league with about 6 weeks to go. Was sitting around 20th overall started chasing the overall and I think I made it up to around 12 or so but in the process dropped to 3rd in my league. Since it would do me no good to keep chasing the overall (I would of had to make it to 5th or higher to win more than my league amount). I went back to focusing on my league and think I finished 28th overall. It was an awesome ride though.