Is there a correlation drawn between late 1st picks that perform as top 5 players and league winners?
For example; last year Jose Reyes fell to end of round 1 in most cases, but overall was top 5 performer. I know drafts aren't won in the first round, but it seems like if you pick the right guy in round 1, like Jose Reyes, you can gain value. (Say you get him with pick #14, and he performs as #3 overall, that is pretty good value...on the other hand, if you picked ARod #1 overall (like some dumb f*ck
did in the Ultamite Draft in NY last year...same idiot who came in last place overall 
it seems like you put yourself in an unintential whole right off the bat.A lot of people like the number 1 pick, but even if you get Pujols and he hits .325 125 Runs 50 HR 140 RBI and 15 SB and rates out to be #1 overall, you can't gain anything. Meaning your #1 pick cannot be any higher in vale than #1 overall. Make sense? On the other hand, if he does not perform #1 overall, than you lose value.
Of course there's always the chance to make up slides like these for everyone...like last year Ryan Howard went in round 3 a lot and was top 5-10 performer, if not better.
Well, I was just wondering if that plays into any strategies when selecting draft slots? Or if you look beyong round 1. If so, how many rounds do you look? 3? After about 3-4 rounds, it gets harder to plan on players being around, unless you plan to grab them early - which sets you up for possible value loss.