Cocktails and Dreams wrote:
Can you please enlighten me on the advantage that faab gives me and Eric? Last I knew there are 12 teams in a league trying to win that league. We bid accordingly, to help our specific team try to improve and better position it. You are making this far too complicated.
Quite frankly you sound like a chickenshit. And if we get 3 of the top 5 I will consider it an unbelievable accomplishment. Having 16 times, I should have about one in the top 12.75. I should have one from 12.75 to 25.5 and on and on. To get 3 in top 5 would be absurdly good. About a one in 13 chance of winning with 16 teams. Hoping to overcome those odds and have a shot. But if I do, it will be because I did a hell of a good job. Not because you didn't have a chance because I had 16 teams. That is a bunch of bullshit. I have never even won anything before at the NFBC. Eric had. I should have been a chickenshit too I guess since he is an awesome player.
Chad, about DFS, you wrote:
Cocktails and Dreams wrote:They are choosing to spend far more than they need to IMO. Obviously, they have determined that will work better in the long run. There are ways for newcomers to take advantage of all of the advertising that draftkings and fanduel do and have better margins. Have heard one such idea recently and it was very interesting.
To sustain growth, people need to have success. That is a problem with the current set up. I don't think that strategically the companies are maximizing efficiency. I am not exactly sure what the right solution is, but there has got to be a better one than is currently in place, especially at fanduel. Very few newcomers have much of a chance at success in the long run without getting very lucky. There are tremendous amounts of very good players.
Lets look at baseball for instance. I would personally like to play some large money contests. I think I can hold my own with most. But holding your own is not going to work, when they are taking out so much rake. I want to know I have a shot at beating the rake levels. So I go to the lobby and there are obviously the large tournaments. Perhaps I should specialize in large field tourneys. Enter 20-50 lineups, using stacks of players that are not going to be widely owned. Eat it when the obvious plays get it done, but succeed some when they don't. I personally don't like playing that way at this point. It is sort of like punting wins and K like I did in diamond one year. It is just not for me. I like playing what I think is my best club, or some close alternatives of it if I enter a few teams in a tourney. But it is not brilliant tournament strategy, especially in baseball. I think it can work fine in NBA and maybe NFL though.
So now that we have determined that I don't want to specialize in tournaments, or at least want to try to stabilize things in the "cash games." These are 50-50 tournaments, head to heads, and 3 man tourneys. I go to the lobby to look at the options. I cannot play in any league for ten dollars on up without having to play against lovesbases. He is one of the best I have ever seen. Seems he runs lucky as hell, and is also skilled as hell. After trading plenty of rake and eventually losing more often than winning against him last year, I had to pump the brakes and figure out a new plan. Even though two thirds of the losses were an investor(and I got 2/3rd of profit if I had won) it was wearing on me. So I decided that I just wouldn't play any 50-50 in any league he was(all of them) unless there were at least 20 people. I would not play in any type of league with him, other than multiplayer tournaments. I would migrate down to play people I can beat. And play in bulk. And there are better players than me that have done the same thing. So it is very hard to the newcomer to have any level of success with the current structure.
They also have no matchup blocking. I enter a head to head 5 times at the 200 level for instance. Lovesbases can grab all five just like that. Not a damn thing I can do about it, other than probably lose, or trade rake at the very best. Fanduel is costing themselves an insane amount of revenue. Nobody is opening up any contests at the large levels, other than lovesbases and the same other couple of guys. If you could put stipulations on who you do not want to play against in a particular event when setting it up, then it simply didn't show up in those players lobby, then people would be much more inclined to offer contests. And more imortantly, those contest would fill and fanduel would make more money.
By allowing these lobby hogs to occur at all levels, it is both allowing the fewest amount of people to have success, which is horrible for their business. And it also prevents contests from filling, which is also horrible for their business. There would be so many more people willing to play 500, 1k matches etc if you could do it without having to play lovesbases every single time. It is hard to believe how fanduel doesn't realize it is damaging the health of the industry, and more importantly their amount of contests that fill.
The percentage of payouts has nothing to do with the problems they have. And it is completely noncomparable to the full season companies percentages IMO. They would be better off having lower rake. And allowing for more people to have a chance to be successful. If people are successful they will pass word on to friends. If you have a great business you can succeed without spending so much on advertising. But I am sure as hell not going to recommend them to my friends. I know they are likely to get gobbled up by the shark pools that reside at every buy in level due to nobody wanting to take on the best at the larger levels. It all funnels down. And they are making a huge mistake by not fixing it.
I guess you sound like "chickenshit" to you, as well?
To me, your argument against DFS tournament flooding sounds smart. And I think it plays here, too.
You and Eric have clearly figured something out in 12-team formats that most others haven't. I congratulate you for that. Makes me want to play against you. However, it doesn't make me want to play against 16 of you.
I'm not against multi-team entries. I am against every league entries. Again, not a shot at you or Eric. You are playing by the rules. And you both really are admirably excellent at this format. But if you two finish first in 8 of the 17 leagues you currently lead in, you are likely to be playing by yourself next year.
To put it another way. I'd love to play in a poker tournament with Doyle Brunson. I won't play in a poker tournament where Doyle Brunson sits at every table.
You made this argument, Chad. It's the smart argument for the sustained growth of the competition.