Shawn Childs Chatting Tonight At 7 ET

Hard Heads · Post by **Hard Heads** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 9:38 am

Originally posted by Captain Hook:

Having fun yet Shawn?

17th round - you have a good pitching staff so far - four SP and two closers: Rich Harden and Randy Johnson are both available - which one would you take and why?

If you liked your hitting and the one you didn't pick in 17 was available in 18 would you add him? Great question and oddly enough I was nearly posed with the same question in a mock I did last week. I was debating it with 2 picks left before me when Harden was swooped up that pick so my decision was made, until the next guy picked Unit, doh! Curious to see if I would have made the same choice as Shawn. Me personally at this moment would have gone with Old Man Unit since Harden still hasn't fully recovered from last years shoulder. Anyway, just thought I would add on to that cause I am bored waiting around.

Navel Lint · Post by **Navel Lint** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 11:39 am

I know a lot of people have pre draft routines. I like to bang a groupie and eat a fried chicken dinner ( beg the wife for a quickie and get a three piece via the drive thru ). Do you have any pre draft rituals?

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:00 pm

Good evening gentlemen...It looks like I have my work cut out for me.

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:01 pm

Originally posted by Chest Rockwell:

Shawn,

I think it would be too much to expect you to give up what KDS slots you like the most- so I will ask what spots are you avoiding and WHY? I usually don’t change my KDS. I feel as though if I move away from a position I might be missing on an opportunity if a higher ranked player fell to me. I always want the highest draft position possible. If I don’t like the choices that fall to me, I have no problem jumping a player if I think he fits my plan better. I think have change my KDS once in all my NFBC and NFFC league. It was the 2006 $1000 mid-season league. I didn’t like the players who had hot first halves. I ended up with A-Rod and I wanted him. I won the league.

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:02 pm

Originally posted by Gordon Gekko:

shawn - when bedard gets dealt to Seattle, is he the clear-cut #3 SP on your board? I had Bedard ranked 3rd four months ago. I think it strengthens his hold on it for sure.

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:03 pm

Originally posted by Crazy Like a Fox:

Hey Shawn. Without giving away too much, what's your drafting philosophy?

Do you go into a draft with a goal of top 5 in every category, or do you focus more attention on categories you feel your competition will pay less attention to, making it easier to dominate those particular categories? I’m a balance player. I want to be in the top 20% in every category. I try to evaluate the inventory and try to find where players are getting drafted to accomplish those goals.

I really don’t pay attention to what anyone else is doing unless I’m at a live event. I’ll try to finesse a pick here and there on a short turn if I’m drafting in the right position; something like pitching into the turn and hitting out of it in the later rounds. It depends on what I think they need and who I like.

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:03 pm

Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

Shawnee-Shawn Shawn!

If you broke rank and reached for two Catchers with last names that start with the letter "M"...would any advantage you gained be washed away by what you sacrificed in order draft them a tad before the going rate?

~Lance It would depend on your plan. If you draft two catchers and five other bats before you took any other pitchers, you might be in for a long year on the pitching side if you miss on your top pitchers. If you go the other way and draft two pitchers in the first seven rounds, you might be at risk with your offense if your catchers don’t play at a high level.

No matter what plan you chose, you are going to have some players at some position who are ranked say 11-15 at a position. If you feel some of these players will out perform players ranked higher at those positions, you can take whatever edge you can find at other position.

I think someone could win by taking two catchers early for sure, but you will be at risk if one of them under performs.

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:04 pm

Originally posted by King of Queens:

quote:Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

Shawnee-Shawn Shawn!

If you broke rank and reached for two Catchers with last names that start with the letter "M"...would any advantage you gained be washed away by what you sacrificed in order draft them a tad before the going rate?

~Lance Are you thinking Jose Molina and Doug Mirabelli, or Jose Morales and Eric Munson? [/QUOTE]I think Greg will let you play all four this year at one catcher’s slot this year!

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:07 pm

Originally posted by Sack:

Shawn:

Most people don't realize your other area of expertise is wagering on the dog races.

Knowing that you can spot a good "dog" when you see one, what two or three players being selected in the first three rounds of the MOCKS are "dogs" this season.

If you want to make it a Superfecta ticket, I'll gladly take a 4th dog to include on my ticket.

Thanks pal. K The only players that stand out to me are Roberts, Granderson and Byrnes. I can’t see Roberts and Byrnes repeating in the stolen base department. I think that is the only reason they are getting drafted that high. I think Grandserson needs to prove he can hit left handed pitching before I would take him that early.

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:10 pm

Originally posted by King of Queens:

quote:Originally posted by Sack:

Shawn:

Most people don't realize your other area of expertise is wagering on the dog races.

Knowing that you can spot a good "dog" when you see one, what two or three players being selected in the first three rounds of the MOCKS are "dogs" this season.

If you want to make it a Superfecta ticket, I'll gladly take a 4th dog to include on my ticket.

Thanks pal. K As a follow-up question, how do you feel about dog fighting? Was the punishment bestowed on Michael Vick too lenient? [/QUOTE]I think he was made an example of. Maybe they could put in a stadium with 50 staving pit bulls if he can make it off the field alive, he has paid his dues!

Quahogs · Post by **Quahogs** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:11 pm

CCD,

Your inclusion as a chat host has been received well due to your past NFBC successes. How about the

non NFBC player or one with sub par results ? I think their insights would be just as valuable. Your take ?

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:12 pm

Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

Shawn...

With Joe Nathan earning a save in 9 out of Johan Santana's 15 wins...(24% of his saves coming when Santana Started)...does Nathan drop down a tiny bit with the departure of Johan...or does that not factor in enough to matter...it's simply save opportunities regardless of the SP?

~Lance It wouldn't be a big issue for me if I wanted Nathan. He will get his chances.

751542 · Post by **751542** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:12 pm

of these 3 fantasy players rick thomas, shawn childs and gekko something....how do you see them finishing in final 2008 standings???

freddiezee · Post by **freddiezee** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:14 pm

Shawn,

What is the latest round you would consider drafting your first starting pitcher?

Also, how many pitchers (starting + relievers) would you consider too many to pick in the first ten rounds?

Hard Heads · Post by **Hard Heads** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:19 pm

Of these 3 disappointments who do you see rebounding the most and who would you take first?

Hafner, Wells or Bay?

Asumijet · Post by **Asumijet** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:21 pm

Newbie question-- Great articles on your website. I have been reading since last September. Aside from drafting a "Judy", what are the 3 biggest mistakes you see at the draft?

Thanks- Neal

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:23 pm

Originally posted by Edwards Kings:

Shawn, What is a better strategy with regards to reserves? Is this where you seed minor-leaguers with potential MLB current year probability, high-risk major leaguers (i.e. coming off injury, still injured, but due back, et al), pure gambles, or players with starting or reasonably high-AB roles, but whom might only be filler on your team, but could do in a pinch? I think you only have room on your reserves for one minor leaguer. I tried to carry two years ago. It really hurt me. I would stay away from injured players if possible. I could see picking up a player who will be ready in a couple of weeks. Your reserve spots are too valuable to be holding players who can't play for you. I wouldn't cut a top player I drafted if he was hurt, but I would avoid picking up DL'd players coming off a bad injury.

In an ideal world, I would like two starters, one closer or closer in waiting, corner, middle, outfielder, and maybe a hot shot rookie early in the year. Once the season starts I would just be searching for players who you think might get full time at bats.

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:26 pm

Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

Shawn...

In your opinion...are there too many easy ways to "rig" one league, in a big multi-league auction format main event...that it is not a realistic goal for the near future...even with enough interest?

~Lance I think it would pretty obvious at a draft if a group of players were trying to rig a league.

It might be easier to rig an auction. If a few star players were bought at a discount, it could tilt the playing field.

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:27 pm

Originally posted by Gordon Gekko:

Shawn - I believe both of us will win the 100K in the near future. My question, who does it first, me or you? I would say you, but it would only be disinformation!

Terry H · Post by **Terry H** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:31 pm

Shawn, Without question you have been the NFBC's most successful participant. Thanks for giving us the opportunity to get to know you better.

As you drift off to sleep at night are your thoughts more apt to be of Evan Longoria or Eva Longoria?

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:36 pm

Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

Please rank the following players on "UPSIDE" for 2008...not what you conservatively think they will get...but potential upside...

A) Jeremy Hermida (Age 24, Highly hyped prospect who broke out in the second half of 2007.)

Projecting a 550 AB season using 2007 2nd half numbers...

.330 Avg, 23 HR, 76 R, 78 RBI, 4 SB

B) Matt Kemp (Age 23, may now be a regular)

Projecting a 550 AB season using 2007 2nd half numbers...

.319 Avg, 21 HR, 85 R, 78 RBI, 18 SB

C) Delmon Young (Age 22, Trade to MIN impact???)

Projecting 550 AB (to keep things even) using 2007 2nd half numbers...

.298 Avg, 6 HR, 43 R, 80 RBI, 6 SB

~Lance If you using those batting average numbers for Kemp and Hermida, you might be taken to the cleaners this year!

Kemp might have the highest upside going into this year, but I don't think he will get enough at bats with Piere and Ethier in the mix.

I would draft Young first, Hermida second, and Kemp third.

Young should improve some, Hermida will get a chance to bat in the middle of Florida's line-up, but he needs show some speed to be ranked before Young. Kemp would move to number one if he was guaranteed full time at bats.

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:37 pm

Originally posted by DOUGHBOYS:

Shawn,

Do you think Lance has too much time on his hands?

I think the cement shoes business is down this Winter!

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:42 pm

Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

Better chance of happening in 2008...

1) Harden gets 10+ Wins.

2) Prior gets 10+ Starts.

3) Sheffield qualifies as OF at some point.

4) Either Ortiz, Hafner or Thome qualify at 1B.

(Sorry for too many questions.)

I figure...better to be so busy answering other questions, and never get to mine...than to run out of questions and have "dead air".

I've got plenty more...but feel I'm getting out of hand already!

~Lance 1)You will have to see if Harden make it to the regular season before you can even dream of him getting one win.

2)I think Prior will get ten starts this year. For a million dollars, I think the Padres do too.

3)I think Sheffield has a shot. It might take until inter league play

4)Hafner has the best shot.

CC's Desperados · Post by **CC's Desperados** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:44 pm

Originally posted by bjoak:

Shawn, how many main event teams do you plan to have this year?

Seriously. I will have one only this year. I would try it again, but I have enough trouble finding time for my Vegas teams.

Gordon Gekko · Post by **Gordon Gekko** » Wed Feb 06, 2008 12:44 pm

Originally posted by RoundTrippers:

of these 3 fantasy players rick thomas, shawn childs and gekko something....how do you see them finishing in final 2008 standings??? rick, the problem that you're going to have is that you're in TOO MANY FRIGG'N LEAGUES!!!!