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poopy tooth
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Post by poopy tooth » Mon Feb 25, 2008 2:13 pm

Do you think BJ Upton will be closer to 30/30 or 15/15?

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Post by Liquidhippo » Mon Feb 25, 2008 2:51 pm

Originally posted by Greg Ambrosius:

quote:Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

quote:Originally posted by Greg Ambrosius:

quote:Originally posted by Bobby J:

Greg, I am sure I heard somewhere before that you have a blackberry. Don't you have your office emails forwarded to your blackberry? I sure do and none are coming through. They blew up our server here, so nothing is coming through and there's no guarantee we'll have the ones that were being sent the last five days. I've never seen such a disaster for such a huge company like ours. I mean, this is affecting every division in our company. [/QUOTE]First the "spam MB signups" ruining the MB photos...now this!



Tell the truth...what computer virus making player did you **** off in years past???



Kidding...but geez! ;) :D :D



Edited to add..."Sweet...mail just came...NFBC mag #2! Gotta go!" (No lotion! :D :D :D c'mon!)



~Lance
[/QUOTE]I agree Lance, all is not good here in IT land.



Now what's worse, we haven't even received any copies of our second baseball mag yet from the printers. Our subscribers like you get them before we do. I sure wish I could see my own magazine. As Vince Lombardi liked to say, "What the hell is going on around here???"
[/QUOTE]Maybe you should subscribe.



;)

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Post by eddiejag » Mon Feb 25, 2008 3:04 pm

I agree with lance, you need to get one closer then hope to get some saves on the wire[Soria,Accardo,Wilson] I was able to get Putz last year for 20 dollars, more than fair value.

Poppy i would say Upton is 30 , 30 this year, got his feet wet last year and on a team with no care's . Plus the outfield is much easier than 2nd base .
EDWARD J GILLIS

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Post by Gordon Gekko » Mon Feb 25, 2008 3:08 pm

totally punting 1 category on draft day is a mistake

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Post by Top Dawg » Mon Feb 25, 2008 3:25 pm

Originally posted by Gordon Gekko:

totally punting 1 category on draft day is a mistake Going for $100K - agreed 100%. Trying to win a satellite, not necessarily the case. Even if everyone in the league spends 2 of their first 4 round picks drafting 2 closers; someone will still get only one point. I've "punted" saves more often than not in private leagues with much success. Heck, it seems even when I draft top-end closers I end up getting 1 or 2 points. For some reason if I draft Rivera (like last year) early.... yup..... nada.



Pete
OK - So I'm not as good as I thought I was; but at least I am consistent.

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Post by Catch » Mon Feb 25, 2008 3:30 pm

Greg, I think it is too late for this year. Thinking forward, can there be 10 minute breaks after rounds 10 and 20 for satellite drafts similar to the "live" main events.

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Post by Greg Ambrosius » Mon Feb 25, 2008 4:06 pm

Originally posted by Catch:

Greg, I think it is too late for this year. Thinking forward, can there be 10 minute breaks after rounds 10 and 20 for satellite drafts similar to the "live" main events. It's harder to get everyone back together when you can't see everyone and some folks may log off and have trouble logging back in. I understand the reason, but once you're flowing it's best to keep the satellites rolling.
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Post by Tom Kessenich » Mon Feb 25, 2008 4:14 pm

Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

quote:Originally posted by Bobby J:

Greg, I am sure I heard somewhere before that you have a blackberry. Don't you have your office emails forwarded to your blackberry? Wouldn't that require the office e-mail to work?





~Lance
[/QUOTE]Yup. Our blackberry e-mail is connected to our work e-mail so no work e-mail means no blackberry e-mail.



It's 10:13 p.m. CST and our work e-mail still isn't functioning. Why am I not convinced it'll be working when we arrive for work tomorrow morning?
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Post by Plymouth » Mon Feb 25, 2008 5:23 pm

Living without e-mail is a b*&^h. A company your size should have your e-mail spread over at least two servers and ideally each of you (Greg and Tom) would be on opposite servers. Losing e-mail at a crucial time like this can be a business disaster as you well know.



Not to kick you when you guys are down but I received your second magazine around the middle of last week.



I know there are some e-mail rerouting services out there that might help you but the only one that comes to mind right now is bigfoot.com .



Good luck guys.

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Post by Edwards Kings » Mon Feb 25, 2008 11:58 pm

Planning to pick up a few "closers-in-waiting" and trying to trade for an established entity is a strategy that works (or, like all strategies, can work). Stick to your guns.



I got my magazine last Friday. I was reading the Sleepers section. Boy, that Lisa Edwards sure knows what she is talking about. :D
Baseball is a slow, boring, complex, cerebral game that doesn't lend itself to histrionics. You 'take in' a baseball game, something odd to say about a football or basketball game, with the clock running and the bodies flying.
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Greg Ambrosius
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Post by Greg Ambrosius » Tue Feb 26, 2008 12:30 am

Originally posted by Edwards Kings:

Planning to pick up a few "closers-in-waiting" and trying to trade for an established entity is a strategy that works (or, like all strategies, can work). Stick to your guns.



I got my magazine last Friday. I was reading the Sleepers section. Boy, that Lisa Edwards sure knows what she is talking about. :D Yeah, I liked her pick so much I kept mine out of that magazine. It was too close to deadline to add my sleeper, so she made the cut. Tell her good job. ;)
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Post by Greg Ambrosius » Tue Feb 26, 2008 12:31 am

Originally posted by Plymouth:

Living without e-mail is a b*&^h. A company your size should have your e-mail spread over at least two servers and ideally each of you (Greg and Tom) would be on opposite servers. Losing e-mail at a crucial time like this can be a business disaster as you well know.



Not to kick you when you guys are down but I received your second magazine around the middle of last week.



I know there are some e-mail rerouting services out there that might help you but the only one that comes to mind right now is bigfoot.com .



Good luck guys. You're preaching to the choir Rev. Swol, you're preaching to the choir!! :D Tom and I have enough to worry about without wondering if our company has its e-mail system backed up. I never heard of this happening to such a big company and there's still no e-mail as we enter Day Six.
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ALL-IN JD
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Post by ALL-IN JD » Tue Feb 26, 2008 12:50 am

I guess tou guys out there still havent made the switch from the abacus to the calculator yet! :--))

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Post by Joe Sambito » Tue Feb 26, 2008 12:55 am

Greg/UFS,



Since typically you guys take a long look at some cheapie closers, what is your feeling if/when Gagne gets hurt or pitchers poorly in Milwaukee? Riske seems to lack closer gonads. Turnbow imploded so much that he'd be difficult for his same manager to trust him again. Torres has some history at it, but I am not sure. Thoughts?
"Everyone is born right-handed, only the greatest overcome it."

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Post by Greg Ambrosius » Tue Feb 26, 2008 3:35 am

Is this all you have for me today? As Jed Clampitt would say, "Pitiful, just pitiful." :D
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Post by King of Queens » Tue Feb 26, 2008 3:39 am

To quote Hank Hill, "Where's m'damn magazine?"

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Post by Gordon Gekko » Tue Feb 26, 2008 3:40 am

since you asked greg, here you go...

1) what's your best guess as to when the super Draft participants will get their draft slots? :cool:



2) do you think there will be any draft day ice storms this year in NY?



3) how many bases do you think Taveras will steal this year?



4) Orlando Hudson or Kaz Matsui



5) will Kosuke Fukudome be undervalued or overvalued on draft day?

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Post by Greg Ambrosius » Tue Feb 26, 2008 3:40 am

Originally posted by Chest Rockwell:

quote:Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

Just a buzzed thought...



Seems like although the closers values are volatile and moody...there are no more real question marks as to who will close than the "standard" year...



BUT...



This year seems to have more horrible offensive teams than in years past...and thus a better chance for more "bats" to emerge (AL waiver wire) (via playing time/better spots in the lineup/more AB's) on teams like OAK, BAL, KC, etc (even SEA and TOR seem to be changeable)...who's lineups are far from being set in stone.



Therefore drafting a reliable closer may be worth the money???



Just a thought.



~Lance Lance- no need to clarify that it is a buzzed thought. It is assumed.



Greg- I do not know much about these leagues. Is a mixed auction going to happen there? If so how many teams? Do they post results in the near future?
[/QUOTE]Nope, no mixed auction league this weekend for LABR. Just an AL-only on Saturday night and an NL-only on Sunday night. I believe they are going to run a straight 12-team serpentine draft on Sunday morning as well. All of the results will be in the Sports Weekly issue that hits newsstands the week after the NFBC drafts.
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Post by Greg Ambrosius » Tue Feb 26, 2008 3:43 am

Originally posted by poopy tooth:

quote:Now what's worse, we haven't even received any copies of our second baseball mag yet from the printers...I sure wish I could see my own magazine. You'll probably want to fire the editor once you see he has you picking the Mets to win the World Series! :D [/QUOTE]We went to press just after the Santana trade and I had no problem switching from the Red Sox winning the World Series to the Mets winning it all. I actually thought the Mets would do it last year until they imploded down the stretch, but this year I think they have enough offensive power and pitching to reach the playoffs this year while winning the NL East and there's no doubt that they now have the starting pitching to excel in a playoff series. If they get home field advantage and have Johan, Pedro and Maine going in a short series, they will be fine.



I'll stick with my pick, dammit. ;)
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Post by Greg Ambrosius » Tue Feb 26, 2008 3:49 am

Originally posted by poopy tooth:

Do you think BJ Upton will be closer to 30/30 or 15/15? Absolutely 30/30. This guy was ready offensively to reach the majors in 2006, but his glove kept him out of the lineup. Then when the Devil Rays brought him up to the big leagues that year, he was under so much pressure that he struggled in his short stint there. Everytime he went back to Triple-A in 2006, he hit well.



Last year, he settled into centerfield and even felt more comfortable at second and let his true talents take over. Remember, he's just 23 and headed for even more success, not less. He has as much upside as any player in the game today and he should definitely steal more than 22 bases this year. The fact that he tried only 30 steals last year is criminal. This guy has 40-SB potential, easily. The power is what surprised me last year, but as he develops physically on that 6'3" frame, he will generate even more power.



Upton is the real deal. Now I'll admit I haven't taken him yet in the Top 25 overall, but those owners who do grab him early will be rewarded in 2008 unless an injury occurs. The talent is there for him to be a first-round pick in 2009 or 2010 at the latest.
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Post by Greg Ambrosius » Tue Feb 26, 2008 4:01 am

Originally posted by Joe Sambito:

Greg/UFS,



Since typically you guys take a long look at some cheapie closers, what is your feeling if/when Gagne gets hurt or pitchers poorly in Milwaukee? Riske seems to lack closer gonads. Turnbow imploded so much that he'd be difficult for his same manager to trust him again. Torres has some history at it, but I am not sure. Thoughts? Gagne is interesting right now because he's going so low in drafts and auctions. In the CBS Sports NL Auction League a few weeks ago, guys like Manny Corpas went for $18 and Gagne went for $9. At that price, he's worth the gamble. In NFBC satellite leagues last week, he went in the 12th, 13th and 13th rounds.



I can tell you for a fact that he is the biggest subject on Milwaukee talk radio right now. Brewers' fans are hopeful that he can produce like he did in Texas, but everyone is calling it the $10 million gamble by Melvin. Gagne posted a 2.16 ERA with Texas, converted 16 of 17 save chances, and struck out 29 in 33.1 IP. Then with Boston, he blew all three save chances, posted a 6.75 ERA and walked 9 in 18.2 IP.



Personally, I think it's a good gamble by Melvin as he's signed for just one year. Melvin has also surrounded the staff with pitchers for the sixth, seventh and eighth innings leading up to Gagne. Turnbow is the setup man, so he would likely get the first call if Gagne fails to deliver. But I could see Yost saying that Turnbow will remain in the eighth inning and Torres could close. Torres was upset when he was traded to Milwaukee, but I think his agent told him it's not the worst situation for him after all. So my answer would be Torres, but you never know.
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Post by Greg Ambrosius » Tue Feb 26, 2008 4:03 am

Originally posted by Gordon Gekko:

since you asked greg, here you go...

1) what's your best guess as to when the super Draft participants will get their draft slots? :cool:



2) do you think there will be any draft day ice storms this year in NY?



3) how many bases do you think Taveras will steal this year?



4) Orlando Hudson or Kaz Matsui



5) will Kosuke Fukudome be undervalued or overvalued on draft day? 1. We haven't run any of the Super or Ultimate league credit cards yet as we're still trying to run all of the main events now. We'll do that today and tomorrow likely. I think we'll have all of the Super and Draft spots picked by next Wednesday or Thursday. I'm going to post a special thread with KDS deadlines for everything very soon.
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Post by Greg Ambrosius » Tue Feb 26, 2008 4:09 am

Originally posted by Gordon Gekko:

since you asked greg, here you go...

1) what's your best guess as to when the super Draft participants will get their draft slots? :cool:



2) do you think there will be any draft day ice storms this year in NY?



3) how many bases do you think Taveras will steal this year?



4) Orlando Hudson or Kaz Matsui



5) will Kosuke Fukudome be undervalued or overvalued on draft day? 2. Tom has talked with the Big Guy upstairs and he has assured us that there will be no ice storms in New York this year. Our penance for that was six months of winter in Wisconsin before Draft Day. :cool:



3. I don't go after these one-trick ponies often, but Taveras is interesting. He stole 33 bases in 99 games last year and hit .320. He attempted 42 steals, which was 0.4 attempts per game. If he stays healthy, that means he should attempt 65+ steals in this offense and could get 53-54. He will run more in Colorado than he did in Houston, so the key is staying healthy and of course hitting .300 again.



4. Hudson. Matsui was a product of Coors Field, and even though Houston is a hitter's park, I like Hudson better. He just needs to stay healthy this year.



5. It depends if folks see enough of him in spring training before Draft Day. I've never seen him play, so I'd like to see him in a few games first. In Chicago drafts, he will be overvalued. Outside of Chicago, probably slightly undervalued. ;)
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ALL-IN JD
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Post by ALL-IN JD » Tue Feb 26, 2008 4:21 am

Greg, I for one think that Reyes will approach 100 sb's this year. What are your thoughts on him coming close or eclipsing the century mark?

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Post by Greg Ambrosius » Tue Feb 26, 2008 4:22 am

Okay, I'll ask a few questions:



1. Is it worth my time and effort to show you the KDS preferences from the satellite leagues? I can do a few more today if people think it's worth looking at.



2. Am I giving away too much information by revealing some of the satellite league draft picks from 3-4 leagues? Is that unfair to the owners who participated? Or is this valuable information that's worth teasing before the main event?



3. Do you think we'll sell out the NFBC perfectly in each city? We're on pace at 390 if New York would just pick up.



4. Why is New York signups slower than last year? Is it the economy? The bad weather from last year? The Yankees?
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