Who is more locked in?

Spyhunter · Post by **Spyhunter** » Sat May 17, 2008 2:09 pm

Soriano or Berkman? Crazy stats. I can't believe Berkman has kept it this locked in for so long. He and Soriano are single handedly trying to save the train wreck that is my $1300 auction team...

Spy

Lunatic · Post by **Lunatic** » Sun May 18, 2008 12:46 am

Originally posted by Spyhunter:

Soriano or Berkman? Crazy stats. I can't believe Berkman has kept it this locked in for so long. He and Soriano are single handedly trying to save the train wreck that is my $1300 auction team...

Spy You answered your own question...

Berkman has been UNREAL; funny Spy, Saxk and I have the same 2 guys on our 650 NL Auction team.

sportsbettingman · Post by **sportsbettingman** » Sun May 18, 2008 5:36 am

Speaking of locked in...Cliff Lee vs. Thomas Alva Edison Volquez...I'm betting the OVER 7.5 due to **** has to balance out sometime with these two guys...they are not this good.

~Lance

KJ Duke · Post by **KJ Duke** » Sun May 18, 2008 6:23 am

Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

Speaking of locked in...Cliff Lee vs. Thomas Alva Edison Volquez...I'm betting the OVER 7.5 due to **** has to balance out sometime with these two guys...they are not this good.

~Lance Think you're right Lance, maybe something like a 7-5 ballgame.

Hard Heads · Post by **Hard Heads** » Sun May 18, 2008 8:29 am

Originally posted by KJ Duke:

quote:Originally posted by sportsbettingman:

Speaking of locked in...Cliff Lee vs. Thomas Alva Edison Volquez...I'm betting the OVER 7.5 due to **** has to balance out sometime with these two guys...they are not this good.

~Lance Think you're right Lance, maybe something like a 7-5 ballgame. [/QUOTE]I had a very bad feeling about this game being in Cincy during the day and my feelings were valid. Volquez worked out of trouble all day and Lee gave up HR's when in trouble. There goes that sub 1 era. Man I thought it would last all year.

Da bears · Post by **Da bears** » Sun May 18, 2008 8:39 am

Originally posted by Spyhunter:

Soriano or Berkman? Crazy stats. I can't believe Berkman has kept it this locked in for so long. He and Soriano are single handedly trying to save the train wreck that is my $1300 auction team...

Spy Don't forget about Braun. I don't own him but sure wish I did...

[ May 18, 2008, 02:46 PM: Message edited by: Da bears ]

Hard Heads · Post by **Hard Heads** » Tue May 20, 2008 2:38 pm

I think we can take Soriano off the locked in list.

Edwards Kings · Post by **Edwards Kings** » Wed May 21, 2008 1:42 am

Add Uggla. I have him in Mag II and wondering when I should sit him down!

Seriously, he is not a .323 hitter and even this power surge is over his head. But right now...WOW!

headhunters · Post by **headhunters** » Wed May 21, 2008 2:34 am

betcha berkman is hitting more points over career ba than ugla.

Edwards Kings · Post by **Edwards Kings** » Wed May 21, 2008 6:05 am

No bet, but it is close and the underlying question should remain. How long do you ride "Locked-In" Uggla?

Coming into this year, Berkman was a career .3004 BA. This year as of yesterday he was at .3882 or a difference (that Berkman owners are very happy with) of .0878 higher BA.

Uggla in his first two years was a "career" .2574 BA. This year he his .3230 or .0656 higher BA. Uggla owners are happy (anyone have both?).

If Berkman were to get his "average" at bats (517 AB is his average for 2001 to 2007) but end up with his BA at his seven year average, he will hit .2565 the rest of the way.

If Uggla were to get his "average" at bats (622 AB is his average for 2006 to 2007) but end up with his BA at his two year average, he will hit .2343 the rest of the way.

Not exactly scientific I know, but based on pure math, the currently locked-in Uggla is a greater risk to your future BA if he becomes a average Uggla (i.e. more AB with greater downside).

Just conjecture for fun, but in Mag II, I might start looking for a good MI back-up better than the one I have (one Mr. Uribe currently stinking it up again in Chicago).

[ May 21, 2008, 12:06 PM: Message edited by: Edwards Kings ]