Originally posted by rkulaski:
quote:Originally posted by sportsbettingman:
I look at guys like Aaron Hill this year and Cliff Lee last year and it just screams LUCKY!!!
Everyone jumps on the guys who string together a run of good games...and just hope and pray they do that every once in a while. When those players do it week in and week out...that is luck. Different minds. A Hill was a guy I targeted in EVERY draft. I didn't draft him expecting 30 hr, 100 runs- of course not so owners are geting more than they expected out of him but... I did expect 15-16 HR, 90rbi, 285 avg...
for his ADP, he was a great target on draft day. My co manager believed the same. We've owned him the last 2 years. Concussion- no concerns for us this year. In one satellite, my co manager took him 5 rds before adp. [/QUOTE]If I had not been "lucky" enought to get Rollins and Phillips in my first two picks, Hill would have been near the top of my list. However, after watching him in spring training (picture below), I still did have concerns about post-concussion syndrome. He was even wearing the wrong uniform!
LUCK and fantasy baseball...
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Edwards Kings
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LUCK and fantasy baseball...
Baseball is a slow, boring, complex, cerebral game that doesn't lend itself to histrionics. You 'take in' a baseball game, something odd to say about a football or basketball game, with the clock running and the bodies flying.
Charles Krauthammer
Charles Krauthammer
LUCK and fantasy baseball...
The subject is starting to flame out, but Lance seems to be taking some hits for my 70% luck figure, which of course, is purely arbitrary.
Our ego's want to say that there is more than a 50% skill level, it's only natural. We come to the draft table armed with knowledge about baseball players. Each one of us will use that knowledge in different ways in filling a roster. That is the extent of our skills on draft day.
After we select the city; our leagues, our draft numbers, our leagumates are all about Lady Luck.
Each draft, depending on the luck of the draw will have a different flow to it. That flow was created by Lady Luck and who she put in your league. Even though we are all just thrilled with the 30 players we selected, in most cases, little more than half of those players will be on our rosters by year's end.
I miswrote in a previous post that there are 390 like minds. I should have wrote that there were 390 people all with the same goal in mind. The diversity with which they want to achieve those goals is what makes this game fun.
In the end, it doesen't matter how much is luck and how much is skill. It turns my crank. When you buy a lotto ticket, there is no sense of excitement. It is bought and stuffed in the wallet until thrown away at a later date.If you're the typical NFBC male (sorry Jules ), our team(s) is probably the thing we think about second most during a day. And in some cases, the thing we think about the most.
[ July 02, 2009, 04:02 PM: Message edited by: DOUGHBOYS ]
Our ego's want to say that there is more than a 50% skill level, it's only natural. We come to the draft table armed with knowledge about baseball players. Each one of us will use that knowledge in different ways in filling a roster. That is the extent of our skills on draft day.
After we select the city; our leagues, our draft numbers, our leagumates are all about Lady Luck.
Each draft, depending on the luck of the draw will have a different flow to it. That flow was created by Lady Luck and who she put in your league. Even though we are all just thrilled with the 30 players we selected, in most cases, little more than half of those players will be on our rosters by year's end.
I miswrote in a previous post that there are 390 like minds. I should have wrote that there were 390 people all with the same goal in mind. The diversity with which they want to achieve those goals is what makes this game fun.
In the end, it doesen't matter how much is luck and how much is skill. It turns my crank. When you buy a lotto ticket, there is no sense of excitement. It is bought and stuffed in the wallet until thrown away at a later date.If you're the typical NFBC male (sorry Jules ), our team(s) is probably the thing we think about second most during a day. And in some cases, the thing we think about the most.
[ July 02, 2009, 04:02 PM: Message edited by: DOUGHBOYS ]
On my tombstone-
Wait! I never had the perfect draft!
Wait! I never had the perfect draft!