$$Gekko Saturday_Chat!!

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 4:28 am

Originally posted by Hard Heads:

Do you think with how weak the catching position is this year that you really want to get one of the top 5 or do you just take the value as it comes? i don't think it's weak at all. when i can get a catcher i have ranked in the top 20 in the 23rd/24th round, that's great value IMO.

Cornhusker · Post by **Cornhusker** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 5:18 am

What is your typical approach to closers in the main? Get 2 studs, one stud and a middling option or go for 3 guys? Will this year be any different as it seems there are fewer camp battles than in recent years?

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 5:32 am

i'm here all day folks. i'm doing my pitcher projections today.

post questions all day and i'll answer them!

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 5:35 am

Originally posted by Cornhusker:

What is your typical approach to closers in the main? Get 2 studs, one stud and a middling option or go for 3 guys? Will this year be any different as it seems there are fewer camp battles than in recent years? i've always tried to get one legit closer and then a lesser one. last year i was F'd as i took b.lyon in round 15, and then i was ready to take f.rodney in the 22nd round (even told a few of my friends i was going to do so) and then the dude in my leaue plucks him in the freak'n 22nd round. probably the earliest he went in ANY main event league. bad luck for me.

this year, i will plan a simialr approach. i don't like using one early pick on closers, let alone TWO!?!?!?

Glenneration X · Post by **Glenneration X** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 5:39 am

What's your feelings on factoring in position scarcity during the early rounds of a draft?

What round do you see yourself picking your first pitcher?

How many of your first 10 rounds can you see being pitchers? relief pitchers?

Early rounds....safe picks or roll the dice on upside?

Auction strategy....stars & scrubs? punt a category? all value picks or do you have a couple players you target that you'd spend "whatever it takes" for?

Glenn

Glenneration X · Post by **Glenneration X** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 5:44 am

Originally posted by Gekko:

quote:Originally posted by Red Sox Nation:

Mark,

How many team are you taking on this year including all satellites and local leagues?

Are you the favorite to repeat again in the Mixed $1300?

Is Pujols worth $50 this year. I can keep him at that price in a draft.

Thanks i imagine i'll be in 7-8 45 round no faab slow drafts. zero local leagues. 2 main events. 1 $1,300 auction. and i thin that's it.

am i the favorite? not sure, i'd have to see the final signup list. i might as well mention that if you had stopped bidding on milledge last year and "stuck" me with him for $17, the winner may have been different!! i owe you guys a couple beers!

[/QUOTE]7-8 slow drafts? Do you feel these drafts are good prep for the Main considering you get some exotic strategies that you wouldn't see in the main? Do you do that many for ADP purposes? Right now I have two Slow drafts and another draft under my belt....trying to decide if I want to do another.

No 12-teamers?

Would you consider doing the $1300 auction at 10AM?

Glenn

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 5:47 am

Originally posted by Glenneration X:

What's your feelings on factoring in position scarcity during the early rounds of a draft?

there's no way around it, owners INFLATE the values of 1B. if you want to own a good one, u will need to play along and take on before they should be drafted.

as for other positions, in previous years i put a slight edge on middle infielders, but when i did that last year i selected alexei ramirez in the 2nd round.

i think i'm just going to go with the most valuale player their regardless of the position. an auction is a different beast though.

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 5:51 am

Originally posted by Glenneration X:

Would you consider doing the $1300 auction at 10AM?

Glenn i'll be taking the train in. no way i can make it that early.

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 5:55 am

Originally posted by Glenneration X:

What round do you see yourself picking your first pitcher?

anywhere from round 2 through round 5

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 5:56 am

Originally posted by Glenneration X:

How many of your first 10 rounds can you see being pitchers? relief pitchers?

that i won't know for sure until the draft unfolds. going into it, i'll probably budget for 3-4 pitchers, no more, no less.

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 5:58 am

Originally posted by Glenneration X:

Early rounds....safe picks or roll the dice on upside?

mixture. anyone who goes all safe or all "roll the dice" is probably in trouble.

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:00 am

Originally posted by Glenneration X:

Auction strategy....stars & scrubs? punt a category? all value picks or do you have a couple players you target that you'd spend "whatever it takes" for?

aren't you a potential opponent of mine in the $1,300 mixed auction?

i like to get "my guys". last year i bought Poodles for $50 and got outbid for Milledge $18 to $17. i almost went $19, bust ***** 'd out!?!

Glenneration X · Post by **Glenneration X** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:01 am

Your 23rd drafted starting player will be what position?

Glenneration X · Post by **Glenneration X** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:03 am

Originally posted by Gekko:

quote:aren't you a potential opponent of mine in the $1,300 mixed auction?

[/QB][/QUOTE]I'd like to be....but a 4PM start would create a scheduling conflict for me.....too bad, would have been fun.

Glenn

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:06 am

Originally posted by Glenneration X:

7-8 slow drafts? Do you feel these drafts are good prep for the Main considering you get some exotic strategies that you wouldn't see in the main? Do you do that many for ADP purposes? Right now I have two Slow drafts and another draft under my belt....trying to decide if I want to do another.

yep, 7 or 8...maybe more before the season starts. i like the slow drats for a couple reasons...

1. the payback % is better than the live events or "championship" formats"

2. it's a low investment. $125 for a shot at $1,000.

3. i can't stess this enough. if you haven't done a real draft or two before you walk into the main event, you are putting yourself at a real disadvantage IMO. doing these slow drafts allows me to see my mistakes from earlier slow draft (and yes, i've made many mistakes already). why pay $1,300 for the main event and have that be your first or second actual team you drafted for real money. you will make mistakes and your main event team will suffer.

4. i'm not concerned about exotic strategies. i want to "get a feel" for drafting, where players are going, be faced with decisions where i have time to think, etc...in the main event you have 1 minute to think. better hope you have your process down pat!

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:11 am

Originally posted by Glenneration X:

I'd like to be....but a 4PM start would create a scheduling conflict for me.....too bad, would have been fun.

Glenn sorry to hear that. have a auction proxy till you can get there

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:12 am

Originally posted by Glenneration X:

Your 23rd drafted starting player will be what position? no way i can answer that! probably pitcher if i had to guess. maybe Paulino!

[ January 30, 2010, 12:13 PM: Message edited by: Gekko ]

rockitsauce · Post by **rockitsauce** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:20 am

alex rios or andrew mccutcheon?

do you think kershaw takes a grienkelike step forward?

zobrist or aaron hill?

you've said yer closer situation cost you last yr, do you go for a nathan or broxton this time.

if you were to wait until 8th or 9th rd for a starting pitcher, who do you hope is there?

butler or kendry?

always enjoy the banter gordon.

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:21 am

u guys want some adp's from random players? here's a few...

Jhonny Peralta 15th round

Edwin Jackson 14th

Neftali Feliz 13th

Scott Kazmir 12th

Yunel Escobar 11th

Scott Baker 10th

Brandon Webb 9th

Howie Kendrick 8th

Carlos Gonzalez 7th

Billy Butler 6th

Cliff Lee 5th

Lance Berkman 4th

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:23 am

Originally posted by rockitsauce:

alex rios or andrew mccutcheon?

i was a huge mccutchen fan last year. got him everywhere i could. i'll stick with him. i don't think he'll hit more than 12 hr, but his speed, runs, and BA should be good.

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:24 am

Originally posted by rockitsauce:

do you think kershaw takes a grienkelike step forward?

now if i said "YES", then his adp just moved up a round! seriously, there are a few pitchers that i think have the possibility to do so. Kershaw is on that list. not a question of if, we are only debating when. it's either this year or next year. how lucky do u feel?

Glenneration X · Post by **Glenneration X** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:27 am

Originally posted by Gekko:

u guys want some adp's from random players? here's a few...

Jhonny Peralta 15th round

Edwin Jackson 14th

Neftali Feliz 13th

Scott Kazmir 12th

Yunel Escobar 11th

Scott Baker 10th

Brandon Webb 9th

Howie Kendrick 8th

Carlos Gonzalez 7th

Billy Butler 6th

Cliff Lee 5th

Lance Berkman 4th Funny how some of these look like value picks to me while others look like crazy reaches....

Any reason you picked these players to post?

Glenn

Glenneration X · Post by **Glenneration X** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:28 am

Originally posted by Gekko:

quote:Originally posted by rockitsauce:

do you think kershaw takes a grienkelike step forward?

now if i said "YES", then his adp just moved up a round! seriously, there are a few pitchers that i think have the possibility to do so. Kershaw is on that list. not a question of if, we are only debating when. it's either this year or next year. how lucky do u feel? [/QUOTE]Now, wasn't Kershaw's teammate Billingsly your guy last year?

Using the same this year or next year breakout formula.....is this Billingsly's year to put it all together?

Glenn

Gekko · Post by **Gekko** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:29 am

Originally posted by rockitsauce:

zobrist or aaron hill?

i value both pretty close all depends on if you need a few extra steals from zobrist.

Glenneration X · Post by **Glenneration X** » Sat Jan 30, 2010 6:30 am

Originally posted by Gekko:

quote:Originally posted by rockitsauce:

alex rios or andrew mccutcheon?

i was a huge mccutchen fan last year. got him everywhere i could. i'll stick with him. i don't think he'll hit more than 12 hr, but his speed, runs, and BA should be good. [/QUOTE]McCutcheon looked great to me when I saw him going in the 6th round....

Now he's starting to be picked regularly in the 5th, sometimes 4th rounds....is he starting to lose his potential upside being picked that early?

Glenn